Yes we do have greater then 1% I would say. Now we are discussing how flawed the justice system is and not really discussing this case.
Based on the law, jury instructions, and all the above discussion. The jury is going to be able to weigh the evidence in this case. Based on each jurors assessment of said evidence they are going to pass on a conviction. The jurors are allowed to have doubt in their minds just not enough that it out weighs their reasoning for the conviction. There is no requirement in the law for 99% certainty and I would say anything beyond 99% certainty is preposterous and only exists in some fantasy land where the juror is omnipotent or a confession is obtained (even that isn't beyond 99%). I believe based on the law and jury instructions as it is currently written and stated Casey will be found guilty. Which was pretty much stated long ago.
The little discussion asking about "should's" and mathematical computations was pretty much nothing more then a diversion that basically brought as right back to the start of this discussion. The jury instructions are such and based on those instructions the majority feel Casey will be convicted.
Hey Marspiter,
We can go back to the alien abduction that we joked about not long ago.
There are people who definitely believe in aliens and may even believe they've experienced something .There are others who absolutely believe it is all hocus pocus.Then there are those who don't really have much faith that there are aliens,but there COULD be,just doubtful.
So ,hypothetically ,KC's defense puts an alien abduction out there as a possible reason for the disapperance and death.They could even find "experts" and those who have been abducted before to be witnesses.Find similarities these witnesses had with Caylee's abduction.
It would explain why KC can't remember and acted for 31 days like nothing was wrong [mind control],it would explain why Caylee was found close to home [they missed],It would explain the duct tape [an experiment gone wrong].It would explain why they can't find the nanny.
It is not a reasonable defense in most peoples minds,but there could be a juror or two that do believe in the possibility of alien life forms .The way the defense lays it out with experts could,in a way,give the jurors pause.....well Maaaaybeee there was the possiblity of aliens abducting Caylee and messing with KC,even causing her to steal! But no,even though there is that slight doubt,it makes more sense that KC did it.
My point is that ,while we would then have people with NO doubt KC did it,because they don't believe in aliens,some might have some doubt,but not enough to say KC is not guilty.You might have one,that has such a belief that aliens exist that they just can't say KC is guilty.Each person so differen't.
Another topic:
If the evidence shows there was tape over Caylee's mouth AND nose,that would be enough for premeditation.That's a slow death,with time to rethink and remove the tape before the person dies.
I wonder if they tested for excess radiation from,you know,the aliens. :crazy: