I will try to respond to some intersting point you made:
Ok but it has been quite awhile and this is not a wilderness we speak of so if she has not been found by now is it really unreasonable for the parents to think she was kidnapped?
One of the things about panic is that it can be unpredictable. A lady recently told me that she was at her home in the countryside and some hunters were evidently shooting at anything that moved and shots started landing very close to her and she panicked and instead of hitting the dirt and staying down out of sight she went blindly running accross the field trying to get "away".
I wish we knew for certain when the last time the child was seen by non family.
In past cases I have seen parents use kidnapping stories to cover up the death of their own child at the parents hands and sometimes the actual facts turned out to be pretty complicated.
Maybe the dumpster story was checked out and we just don't know but its one of tha many things in this case I wish we knew more about.
I still have no reason to assume the parents did the crime but it is interesting to look at the possibilities of all potential suspects, including mr murat and others.
Docwho3 - I'm not Calikid - but I did want to post some thoughts. I have edited your return post to Calikid for the sake of space.
First - the search of the area. I would agree that it is not really a wilderness so something would have turned up by now. Also, recently, I read an old media link (sorry I'm not sure which one) that indicated that an extensive ground search and an extensive door to door search were conducted. However, it was very frustrating to read the media reports of the P-LE handling of the search in the area identified by the Dutch pyschic. P-LE did not want to search, after much pressure by the media, finally approximately a dozen of them searched a very large area for approximately 1.5 hours.
Then the reports of the towel..... whatever happened with that?
Does it make it reasonable to think she was abducted because she has not turned up somewhere? Not in my mind. Unless there is a reason why it is not possible that she walked out of the apartment by herself - then this should be the first line of inquiry. She could very well have gone to play in the ocean.....
Second - while I agree with your assessment of what might happen when you are in a panic, generally speaking, when a person finds themselves in such a position, it is not uncommon to: 1) check self for injury, potential harm and react accordingly; 2) once self is covered, do a mental check of where those of importance might be - run through your mind wife/husband/children/parents; 3) at this point - if you are safe, almost always you will check to be sure your "immediate" others are safe. As a parent, this is your first priority, it is second nature; 4) you do what is necessary to protect your "immediate" others.
I do not believe a parent, who just discovered her child missing, would abandon her 2 other children, even for a moment. There were so many options here.... picking up the phone, standing outside the door and screaming, taking the children with her. Having given this quite a bit of thought - picking up the phone might have seemed like a "nonoption" knowing the person on the other end would speak Portugese, not English - discard this immediately because you have no time not to be understood. Standing outside the door and screaming - definite option, after all the Tapas Bar was within sight of the apartment, but maybe being of a more reserved culture, this type of behavior would be unacceptable to a panic'ed mind. Picking up the remaining 2 children and running for cover - totally acceptable on all accounts, except one... leaving the apartment without knowing where the 3rd child was. To my mind - it would be extremely difficult to walk/run out of that apartment not knowing where the 3rd child was.... Having gone through the safety issues related to my "immediate" others - GM waiting for me, twin 1 in bed, twin 2 in bed, Madeleine missing....., double check, still missing, twins still there, okay... I need help.... she's not in the bathroom, she's not under the bed, I need help.... where is she, need GM, what do I do? what do I do? phone - they won't understand, call GM - he doesn't have his cell phone (I don't have my cell phone), call him from the door (then I'll make quite the scene), go get him.... go get him.... the twins, what about the twins????? what do I do??? I need GM, Madeleine is missing, I need help.... go get him.
Okay - that was quite interesting. I have just talked my self out of the argument I wanted to make. In her shoes, if I was panic'ed, my thought is I would go get my husband. No way around it. He takes care of us, he always knows what to do. I would go get my husband. Now being the very vocal person that I am, I woud have stood at the top of the stairs and screamed for him, but I can understand NOW why she might not have.
As for your other comments - I agree. I wish we had more information. Even though I have just worked my way to understanding how she might have gone back to the Bar, leaving the other two children in harm's way, this story still does not ring true.
The last thing I would like to point out is that Jane's description of the egghead was very detailed. There were several media reports that pointed out that as described by Jane, the man with the child had "longish" hair in the back, reaching the collar. Media also reported that Mr. Murat has never had such a haircut, always keeping his hair well above the collar.
Salem