It’s also interesting that Nancy’s car is a blue Subaru and the car used by the two teens in Arizona in the recent crypto-related home invasion was also a blue Subaru. The combination of crypto, Arizona and blue Subaru is a curious coincidence. (Obviously, it’s not the same car – just the same manufacturer and colour.)Interesting news about damage to the car.
Investigators believe the teens were extorted into the plot; police caught the pair shortly after they fled the scene in a blue Subaru.
It IS odd since the search of the house would likely uncover the clothes she wore to dinner, provided she went to bed before being taken. Many people only have a few different night clothes they wear each night. With the help of family they could look for the absence of those items. Nothing about this case fits.View attachment 641224
What I find interesting about this flyer from Pima County Sheriff’s Department is that it said it is unknown what Nancy Guthrie was wearing when she disappeared. Surely if she was out with family for any length of time, they could describe what she was wearing.
Were the clothes she had on that evening found at her home?
Link to she entered through garage please
I think LE deliberately did not disclose what clothing she was wearing to minimise the chances of false leads, if they already suspect who the potential perpetrators are or are in contact with them. It's striking how little information is being given and the minimal steps to appeal to the public for information. Billboards aside, the public appeals appear to be a bare minimum activity right now.It IS odd since the search of the house would likely uncover the clothes she wore to dinner, provided she went to bed before being taken. Many people only have a few different night clothes they wear each night. With the help of family they could look for the absence of those items. Nothing about this case fits.
So perhaps referencing Silence of the Lambs when talking to kidnappers is part of an old FBI protocol which at one time was effective based on data? Even though on the surface it is counterintuitive?I've thought hard about this too. I started thinking maybe the perpetrator has a fixation with the movie and wanted to recreate the specific scene in the movie. However, I'm now convinced that this is just standard language from historic FBI training based on messaging considered and tested as most effective in ransom situations. In other words, the specific language is just a hangover from past scripts and there is low tolerance from LE to deviate from the specific messaging to maximise the chances of cooperation.
Yes that is what we are discussing. It was a coded message as instructed by the kidnapper.Ah, but what if the ransom note instructed SG to read that line live on TV?
I wonder if the clothes she wore to dinner are there, in a hamper or folded sitting somewhere? Hope they looked for those.It IS odd since the search of the house would likely uncover the clothes she wore to dinner, provided she went to bed before being taken. Many people only have a few different night clothes they wear each night. With the help of family they could look for the absence of those items. Nothing about this case fits.
Right. Unless it was placed by LE? But I doubt that because I assume anything they had a surveillance warrant for would be viewed/listened to remotely. This video looked like discovery to me.
I’m then settled on how did the family not point out the rooftop device? This house has been in the family for years. IMO
Isn't it common for the last person to see a victim alive to be a prime suspect until they are cleared? So it may just be standard procedure at work.Actually she has the word MAY in front, MAY be considered the prime suspect.
I agree with you - and understand the "heterogeneity" problem; that one intervention applied to a population generally may not be effective for specific individuals or parts of a population. But we also know ransom situations are not common at all. So perhaps the "playbook" is based on a very limited data, testing and research. It is just a theory.So perhaps referencing Silence of the Lambs when talking to kidnappers is part of an old FBI protocol which at one time was effective based on data? Even though on the surface it is counterintuitive?
I would think the FBI would periodically update their protocols. Something effective in 1991 may not be effective in 2026.
Also this one size fits all and outdated strategy goes agains the entire notion of psych profiling which is to understand the unique personality of the perpetrator and develop a specific response strategy based on that personality. If the strategy is old and generic, then there is no need for profilers.
For those wondering about the short duration of time to get her settled, maybe when they arrived they went in the house via the garage, closed the door, got her settled and then exited out the front door instead of the garage?Sheriff Nanos stated this at the presser where they revealed the timeline and he states that the garage opening at 9:48 p.m. and closing at 9:50 p.m. was consistent with someone dropping her off and her going in to her home.
So I am assuming that this is information that they were given by the family member who dropped her off which has been said to be Nancy's SIL TC.
I am 25, and it’s one of my favorite movies. I watch it every Halloween. But I’m also weird so… lolExactly my thoughts. It gives us a possible age of the kidnapper?
Unless perhaps the movie is now a cult classic that young people watch? I do not know, others will have to chime in on this point.
You live in Tucson by any chance?I am 25, and it’s one of my favorite movies. I watch it every Halloween. But I’m also weird so… lol