• #41,881
I also agree with some of your sentiment @Napoli, but dude (LD)...read the room. Maybe hold off until this poor woman's fate is revealed. Damn :mad:

JMO
Amen, @girlhasnoname. You said succinctly what I didn't. But he had a lawyer allowing or advising him to do this. Not done in ignorance and certainly not done considering anyone else but himself.
 
  • #41,882
Have authorities ever stated that the doorbell cam was disconnected physically? I feel like they meant it was disconnected from the network, suggesting someone had familiarity with the security system(s). That would narrow the search to family, very close associates, contractors (security, electric, maintenance).
Don't mean to be sexist, but I think many mechanically minded men could disconnect it.
 
  • #41,883
I'm not a big AB fan but her most recent show is interesting, and if it's accurate I think it supports the idea that they are getting close. She discussed a search for Nancy in a neighboring county that was guided by cell tower data.

I believe they are closer than we think as well. They might be putting the Sheriff N up there to keep eyes off the what is really going on. The widely televised, and perhaps staged (IMO) exit of the Guthrie family from Nancy's home, the changing of FBI personnel from Tucson/Phoenix, the new RING camera footage.

We also thought we were getting nowhere in the BK Idaho case for weeks and then BAM, Genetic Genealogy testing linked that disgusting killer to the crime. We had no clue about him or that he was even on the radar. This case in far from cold IMO.

#Justice4Nancy
 
  • #41,884
I'm not a big AB fan but her most recent show is interesting, and if it's accurate I think it supports the idea that they are getting close. She discussed a search for Nancy in a neighboring county that was guided by cell tower data.


Since AB also indicated that nothing came out of the search, I can provide the info of where they were searching. Here is how I found it.

I checked all neighboring counties for there SAR/PD helicopters. Santa Cruz (South), Cochise(East),Graham(NE),Pinal (N)and Maricopa(NW) of Pina County. Santa Cruz’s and Graham do not own Helios and depend on the other counties for assistance, when needed. So Cochise, Pinal and Maricopa were left.

I found the tail numbers of the Helis and checked their flight profiles for yesterday. Pinal County flew their heli yesterday during 2 legs. They left from Coolidge Muhnicipal to ARIVACA AZ, stayed for app 2hrs and returned via half arch around Tucson, then following I10 a few miles east and landing back in CM.

ARIVACA is app 11 miles N of the MEXICAN border. Flight coordinates for ARIVACA N31.6295 W111.4972


I thought you like to know..

-Nin
 
  • #41,885
I think "it might take years" and "100,000s of cars" and other Nanos' quotes are intentionally misleading and designed to make us think there's nothing to see.
Hope so. Knock wood.
 
  • #41,886
Amen, @girlhasnoname. You said succinctly what I didn't. But he had a lawyer allowing or advising him to do this. Not done in ignorance and certainly not done considering anyone else but himself.
Once CP was released, he spoke out. Nobody seemed to have many lingering doubts, and nobody faulted him for declaring his innocence. LD made bad choices in life and that is why he is being scrutinized so heavily. That's on him and he should have considered his reputation long ago. His mom is innocent and has clearly dealt with his issues for many years. Out of touch but not in a great place to be.

JMO
 
  • #41,887
Since AB also indicated that nothing came out of the search, I can provide the info of where they were searching. Here is how I found it.

I checked all neighboring counties for there SAR/PD helicopters. Santa Cruz (South), Cochise(East),Graham(NE),Pinal (N)and Maricopa(NW) of Pina County. Santa Cruz’s and Graham do not own Helios and depend on the other counties for assistance, when needed. So Cochise, Pinal and Maricopa were left.

I found the tail numbers of the Helis and checked their flight profiles for yesterday. Pinal County flew their heli yesterday during 2 legs. They left from Coolidge Muhnicipal to ARIVACA AZ, stayed for app 2hrs and returned via half arch around Tucson, then following I10 a few miles east and landing back in CM.

ARIVACA is app 11 miles N of the MEXICAN border. Flight coordinates for ARIVACA N31.6295 W111.4972


I thought you like to know..

-Nin
But she says "several days ago", not yesterday, and later claims it was a day after it was reported that the images from the doorbell camera were taken on separate days. So presumably some time in the last week.
 
  • #41,888
I believe they are closer than we think as well. They might be putting the Sheriff N up there to keep eyes off the what is really going on. The widely televised, and perhaps staged (IMO) exit of the Guthrie family from Nancy's home, the changing of FBI personnel from Tucson/Phoenix, the new RING camera footage.

We also thought we were getting nowhere in the BK Idaho case for weeks and then BAM, Genetic Genealogy testing linked that disgusting killer to the crime. We had no clue about him or that he was even on the radar. This case in far from cold IMO.

#Justice4Nancy
Yes, I have thought of all of this, and it does definitely give reason for hope.

In my more pessimistic moments I remember the first months of the Delphi, Indiana murders, and remember how so many posters really believed state police were just "getting their ducks in a row", when in reality it too 5 more years to make an arrest, and that just by happenstance.

Here's hoping it will be like the Kohburger case .🤞
 
  • #41,889
  • #41,890
Sheriff said yesterday that they were getting close but I no longer trust whether he's speaking the truth to the public or communicating with the possible suspects through his press conferences or interviews. Or just speaking hopefully.

JMO
Maybe all of the above. JMO
 
  • #41,891
"Hundreds of thousands of vehicles" - seems a bit much or is that just me..? 🤔

No, some Pima County streets have AADT counts [Annual Average Daily Traffic] as high as 50,000 like East River Road.

North Campbell Ave, which I believe is on the way to NG’s home, has AADT 15,688.

Here’s an interactive map of AADT to check around if you are familiar with addresses:

https://pag.public.ms2soft.com/tcds/tsearch.asp?mod=tcds

all imo
 
  • #41,892
I think similar, but no hotel, just parked in the neighborhood. Full moon, enough light to drive without lights near NG’s house. JMO
I think there are three people involved, one driver and two people went inside the house. I don’t think one person alone could have carried her out and into the car. MOO
 
  • #41,893
  • #41,894
There is no doubt in my mind that the video of Lantana man was recorded at 2:12 a.m.

i wonder what was going on from 1:47 to 2:12?

moo
 
  • #41,895
Okay, @Napoli. Team of 2? Inside guy and getaway driver. If this is a preplanned kidnapping, you have to figure out how you are going to remove the target from the scene. If it is a 1 person job, you have to be parked very close by. You can’t be parading a mobility impaired 84 year old through the streets at 2:00 am. You can’t park on the street where your vehicle would stick out like a sore thumb. You can’t park in Nancy’s yard or a neighbor’s yard because your vehicle would be caught on camera.
So what’s a kidnapper to do? You have an accomplice. You both have walkie talkies. The plan is the inside guy enters the house from the side slider or rear door, overtakes the victim, binds her hands, duct tapes her mouth, gets her ready to be taken. The accomplice parks nearby, but not in a yard or on the street. He gets a call on his walkie talkie that the inside guy is ready for pickup with the target. The accomplice swings into the circular drive for a 2 minute pickup from his parking area. Inside guy walks the victim down from the side or back. In and out in 3 minutes.
Where does the accomplice parks so he won’t be noticed? Small businesses and malls often have nighttime security and/or cameras. How about a nearby hotel? People in and out all hours of the night. Not much security except for maybe a drive by every hour or so. They have cameras, but were they all checked? Pull in, shut off your lights and engine, and wait for the call on your walkie talkie. In 5 minutes you are at the victim’s home.
The problem with the original plan was that something went wrong in the house. Nancy put up a much bigger fight than was expected. She got hurt. They had to abort the original exit plan. She had to be carried out and they would use the front door.
1 night, 1 trip, 2 kidnappers. 😊
Whatcha think?

Could be 1 trip, 1 kidnapper. Kidnapper knew that she is elderly and disabled, lives alone, and so he felt safe initially parking his car around by the garage area. Kidnapper knew about the cameras at both doors and in the backyard/guesthouse from casing the house earlier. Disabled the cameras he could get to easily and quickly, but knew there were others in the backyard he couldn't reach by himself or disable quickly. Didn't mind being on camera himself but didn't want an injured or dead Nancy being carried out because that could ruin a payday and/or diversion from the real motive. So he chose the front door in his plan, moved his vehicle around to the semicircle, and since he'd already taken the front door camera, discreetly moved Nancy and went on his way. Probably practiced all of this in his mind a thousand times.

Nancy wouldn't have had garage/side cameras in this scenario. It appears she didn't from photos I've seen. And if her purpose for having cameras was primarily viewing wildlife she probably wouldn't.

JMO.
 
  • #41,896

Brian Entin update. Full text of the tweet, since media preview cuts off:

The Pima County Sheriff did an interview with NBC and says “I think the investigators are definitely closer” to finding Nancy Guthrie suspect.
Says new video of car 2.5 miles away has not been identified and they are looking at “hundreds of thousands of other vehicles.”
Says backpack may not have been purchased at Walmart. Could have been purchased secondhand.
“We have information on this case that we think is going to lead us to solving this case, but it takes time.”
I get the feeling the car video is going to be similar to the black glove found miles away. Unrelated and a drain on resources.
 
  • #41,897
I think there are three people involved, one driver and two people went inside the house. I don’t think one person alone could have carried her out and into the car. MOO
I can see 2 perps being possible, but throwing in a 3rd makes me think of over doing it. It's hard to keep a secret this big, 2 can keep a secret if one of them is dead. Another famous quote, but I wonder if it could be a real possibility here, especially if Nancy passed during or shortly after the abduction.

The main perp would have no reason to keep the 2nd one around if they're not holding her or collecting $6M and riding off into the sunset. Sadly I don't believe he (they) ever planned for Nancy to return to her family. 😭

JMO

#Justice4Nancy
 
  • #41,898
In your theory, Lantana video was 212. We know Nancy's pacemaker was out of range at 228. So, fewer than 10 minutes? Doesnt make sense to me. There's still that 147 camera time that has NOT been accounted for in your scenario. Besides, Nanos said something was detected, maybe an animal, at 212. That's a separate issue. jmo This was not done , in and out in 10 minutes. Subduing her. Binding her. Carrying her to car. IMO this was 1:47-2:28. MOO

What 1:47 a.m. "camera time"?

"Sunday morning, early morning at 1:47 a.m. the doorbell camera disconnects." - Sheriff Nanos 02/05/26

"At 2:12 a.m. software detects a person on camera." - Sheriff Nanos 02/05/26
(Nanos said it's possible that it could be an animal but he wasn't sure because they didn't have the video. This was five days before the FBI recovered the door nest cam video.)

"2:28 a.m. Nancy's pacemaker app shows that it was a disconnect from the phone." - Sheriff Nanos 02/05/26

Nanos didn't say that Nancy's pacemaker shows that it was a disconnect from the phone he said her "pacemaker app" shows a disconnect.
 
  • #41,899
But she says "several days ago", not yesterday, and later claims it was a day after it was reported that the images from the doorbell camera were taken on separate days. So presumably some time in the last week.
Yes, the Pinal County heli did go to the Saguaro National Park on Sunday but stayed around TANQUE VERDE, which is still in Pima county. They flew there from Coolidge with direct heading to TANQUE VERDE. Pima county could have done that themselves. The only 2 legs, that would fit another agency, county as AB mentions, to be involved are those two legs. One flying from Coolidge (very close to MM230 by the way!!) to ARIVACA, which again is app 11 miles N of the Mexican border. They STAYED for app 2 hrs in that area before flying back (2nd leg) SE around Tucson (TANQUE VERDE) and traversing the PIMA COUNTY/PINAL COUNTY corridor back to Coolidge Municipal.

ALL IMO

-Nin
 
  • #41,900
I can see 2 perps being possible, but throwing in a 3rd makes me think of over doing it. It's hard to keep a secret this big, 2 can keep a secret if one of them is dead. Another famous quote, but I wonder if it could be a real possibility here, especially if Nancy passed during or shortly after the abduction.

The main perp would have no reason to keep the 2nd one around if they're not holding her or collecting $6M and riding off into the sunset. Sadly I don't believe he (they) ever planned for Nancy to return to her family. 😭

JMO

#Justice4Nancy
There were two unsolved murders in February both male victims. One in a homeless encampment and another about 3 miles from Nancy's home.
 
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