I have read the entire thread and one of the older threads on Shaffer and one thing i did not see discussed or explained in much length (although @itsrak has noted it a few times over the last dozen pages) which is the issue of complete radio silence since he disappeared. How do the people who believe he ran away to start a new life address the fact that absolutely nothing has been heard of him since? There has been literally zero sign that he is alive. He disappeared on the cusp of the social media age and even had an active Myspace page. His case is kind of well known as far as missing persons go too. If you Google "people who vanished" "people who disappeared into thin air" Brian is always listed in the top 5 or top 3 going back years and some of these articles about him have thousands of views and hundreds of comments. There are Youtube podcasts and videos of his case that have wracked up hundreds of thousands of views and comments. For me it's unfeasible that someone somewhere would not have given even a hint of him being alive or that Shaffer himself would not have made a mistake, an error, used numbers or details that gets something traced back to his real identity, etc in over 14 years. We live in the most monitored and surveilled society of all time. There isn't much privacy these days at all. Unless he moved to some island in the middle of the pacific or had thousands worth of plastic surgery or something i just don't see how he can just vanish and be living a regular life. I think the phone pings shortly after his disappearance are a red herring but aside from that, what do we have that indicates he's still alive?
The camera footage apparently shows a Brian going back into the bar shortly before it closed, with no footage of him leaving. One possibility I thought of over time is that the bar had one or more aggressive bouncers, who beat an inebriated Brian and put him inside some construction site void, whether it was a wall, a large duct or some other convenient disposal area. So, he could have been a victim of foul play in the bar, with his remains somewhere in the building.
The lack of cooperation from the building owner is notable, and the CPD less interested than they should have been. From my visits to Columbus, I never felt very safe there. I just had a feeling that there was a certain indifference or lack of interest in having a safe city.
The problem i have with him being harmed by someone in the building and buried is that it seems to call for too many leaps of faith. A bouncer would have to leave his station outside the bar entrance, get into an altercation with Brian inside and beat him severely enough or incapacitate him, then have a void located within easy distance to haul a big grown mans body in. All in a small time frame and all the while people are still hanging around, coming in and out, putting away equipment, etc, and nobody notices the bouncer is missing at the most hectic time of the night when everyone is getting ready to pile out. It's why I've never believed that he was harmed by a band member who stuffed him inside an instrument case and hauled him off never to be seen again.
And the other thing is that if there was more than one person involved i feel like someone would have talked by now either out of guilt, or for leeway in another criminal case (some have claimed he was killed by drug dealers in the street and stuffed in a trash can). These things would most likely involve more than one or a couple of people. Another semi-popular theory is the construction crew covering up his body for fear of liability, but again, how many people would this involve? Casually concealing a body at the drop of a hat no questions asked is not something that would be too common for regular working citizens let alone several normal men all being in on it and all keeping their lips tightly sealed for over 14 years. People talk, hints would be given, tips phoned in, anonymous comments would appear online, "inside info" posted to facebook, etc. We don't see anything like this in Brian's case. Not a single person who knew a "strange side" to Clint, worked in the bar at the time and noticed something off, had suspicions about the creepy patron or thuggish bouncer, an ex of a band member, or whatever. We don't have even a hint of anything that posed a threat or places Brian in any immediate danger that night.
I assume that CPD has withheld some significant information. They would be hard-pressed to limit their investigation to three scenarios based only on what the public knows.I think an accident in the construction area is the most likely scenario, but there is also some possibility of foul play. It is one of the most unusual missing person cases I’ve ever read about. I wonder whether the Columbus PD has withheld anything that would push us in one direction or another..
My understanding is that there was no camera covering the bar entrance or inside of bar, so there is thus no footage showing that Brian returned to the bar after chatting up Brightan and Amber. There was a cam near the bar entrance, but it was trained on the escalator (and that cam showed Brian going up the escalator) and not on the bar entrance. Brian was near the entrance to the bar and the entrance to the construction area when last seen. It seems pretty likely that since he was not seen in the bar by his friends who were looking for him, and since he did not exit the building by conventional means, he may have passed through the door through which the construction area could be accessed.The camera footage apparently shows a Brian going back into the bar shortly before it closed, with no footage of him leaving.
I doubt their 3 theories are well-developed based on facts unknown to the public. Rather, I'd bet they simply have 3 generic theories - suicide, homicide, he ran off. They'd probably leave off accidental death in the building as a theory because it wouldn't reflect well on them.I assume that CPD has withheld some significant information. They would be hard-pressed to limit their investigation to three scenarios based only on what the public knows.
If only they would tell us what their theories are...
If I recall correctly, the lead investigator with the CPD, Sgt. Hurst, not long ago in a podcast interview was asked that question and stated that there was no immunity. Immunity is a promise not to prosecute for a crime in exchange for information or testimony in a criminal matter, granted by the prosecutors, a judge, a grand jury. I don't think Clint faced criminal action, so nothing to be immunized against.So this case is new to me. I'm confused about a few things related to Clint. Did he ask the police for immunity?
So this case is new to me. I'm confused about a few things related to Clint. Did he ask the police for immunity?
If you’ve got nothing to hide, why hide at all?
The camera footage apparently shows a Brian going back into the bar shortly before it closed, with no footage of him leaving. One possibility I thought of over time is that the bar had one or more aggressive bouncers, who beat an inebriated Brian and put him inside some construction site void, whether it was a wall, a large duct or some other convenient disposal area. So, he could have been a victim of foul play in the bar, with his remains somewhere in the building.
The lack of cooperation from the building owner is notable, and the CPD less interested than they should have been. From my visits to Columbus, I never felt very safe there. I just had a feeling that there was a certain indifference or lack of interest in having a safe city.
This is actually a great theory and the first time I have seen it. Bouncers getting violent is not uncommon at all. Especially in a college town where it's a bunch of younger college kids thinking they can mouth off without consequence. I'm from Detroit and the bouncers in Greektown do not play around. There was actually a man from my hometown who was nearly beaten to death by bouncers at a strip club.
I also want to add, 99.999% of the time, the police know way more than the public. I understand we like to act like experts, but evidence is always withheld from the public for a variety of reasons. So when people ask "I wonder if the police are holding back evidence", the answer is always yes.