SBM
I agreed with your entire post.
My own personal favourite example illustrating the credibility of temporary restraining orders is this:
http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,1143004,00.html
David Letterman was served with a temporary restraining order barring him from coming within three yards of the petitioner and not "think of me, and release me from his mental harassment and hammering."
Yes, a judge signed that order.
Had Mr Letterman chosen not to challenge the order, it would automatically have gone into effect for a year (try not to think of pink elephants, Dave!).
Does anyone here really believe the petitioner's allegations? I sure don't. I believe it much more likely that she was suffering from some form of mental illness that was causing her real anguish but that it was not Mr Letterman's fault or doing.
Did the judge believe her allegations? The judge's beliefs are largely irrelevant to the granting of a temporary restraining order. By "largely" I mean that someone who believes that David Letterman is communicating with her via eye movements and thoughts is able to get a judge to sign a TRO. That's a pretty large "largely."
If the standard of proof is "a judge signed it, so it must be true" then that TRO against Mr Letterman must have been thought to be true.