Tropical Storm Ophelia possible for Florida

[concernedperson]

OK so if it comes in to the North of me I can evac to the south of me. LOl Im trying to determine where to book reservations tomorrow if i need to. Hotels are still full from Evacuees from NO and Mississippi so it might be difficult

Consider some of the smaller towns like Melbourne which would be south and fairly far that you may not have to worry about power outages. Of course, you can always go to Miami or Fort Lauderdale where there would be lots of hotels and I doubt many evacuees made it that far.

 

[tybee204]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

 

[concernedperson]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

That would work if there are hotels. Lord, I haven't been there in so many years I hardly remember what it looks like.

 

[Casshew]

Tybee, how much advance notice do you need to get to the mainland safely?

 

[poco]

REPEAT AFTER ME:

OPHELIA OPHELIA WE HOPE TYBEE DON'T FEELYA!

Hey, Tybee - I'm in Florida - come on down, but get out as soon as ya can - we may get the next one!

 

[kgeaux]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

Sweetie, make sure you go far enough to be safe! And leave early enough to avoid all the nasty evacuation traffic jams.

 

[Buzz Mills]

OK so if it comes in to the North of me I can evac to the south of me. LOl Im trying to determine where to book reservations tomorrow if i need to. Hotels are still full from Evacuees from NO and Mississippi so it might be difficult

With the direction of travel being the 12 on a clock face--the 12:00 through 3:00 position is the most dangerous area.

 

[LovelyPigeon]

Ophelia now more than possible for South Carolina instead of Florida.

 

[tybee204]

Last evac it took me 3 hours just to get across Savannah then 10 hours to Atlanta. We have one road in and out. Statesboro is about 50 miles inland and will probably take me 4 freakin hours to get there.

Hope Hope Hope Ophelia just goes out to see and doesnt turn back in!!

 

[Buzz Mills]

Last evac it took me 3 hours just to get across Savannah then 10 hours to Atlanta. We have one road in and out. Statesboro is about 50 miles inland and will probably take me 4 freakin hours to get there.

Hope Hope Hope Ophelia just goes out to sea and doesnt turn back in!!

Ophelia appears to be beginning to break up. We'll have to wait and see if it reforms???

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

 

[tybee204]

I love you Buzz. :innocent:

 

[Casshew]

Ophelia appears to be beginning to break up. We'll have to wait and see if it reforms???

Sure hope it dies, and quick!

 

[Dark Knight]

From Accuweather.com

Ophelia should slowly strengthen over the weekend and could become a Category 2 storm, or even higher, later in the weekend. Satellite and radar images suggest Ophelia has been moving on a more east to northeast course. The hurricane will move northeastward, then start to loop. However, if it moves more to the east Friday night, it could take that looping path much sooner.

The main impact from this system over the next 24-48 hours will be rough surf and rip currents along the Carolina, Georgia and Florida coasts, especially north of Vero Beach, causing beach erosion and tidal flooding.

The forecast movement of Ophelia is a very complex issue. Ophelia will move north, then northeast, off the Florida coast Friday into the weekend as a weak upper-level trough of low pressure to the north of the storm influences it. This trough will then lift out to the northeast late in the weekend or early next week, leaving Ophelia behind. A large upper-level high pressure area will move into the mid-Atlantic states behind the trough, and should send Ophelia tracking back toward the coast, probably after making a loop out over the water. The location of the center of the high will influence where a potential landfall would be; the farther east that the high tracks early next week, the higher up on the Southeast coast a landfall would occur.

The bottom line is that the future movement of Ophelia will be slow, and all interests along the southeast U.S. coast should monitor the progress of Ophelia into next week.

 

[tybee204]

About time you wake up DK .

 

[Buzz Mills]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005

...HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS OPHELIA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST OR ABOUT 255
MILES... 410 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT
240 MILES... 390 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 75 MILES...120 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...30.4 N... 77.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Satellite Imagery
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

 

[Buzz Mills]

About time you wake up DK .

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

 

[DEPUTYDAWG]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

:laugh:

 

[Dark Knight]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

You are gonna be SO banned!!!

Forecasters watching erratic Hurricane Ophelia

TALLAHASSEE Fla. (AP) - It has vexed forecasters for days.
Ophelia, which has regained minimal hurricane status, is
centered about 255 miles east-northeast of Daytona Beach, Florida
and about 240 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina.
At eleven p-m Eastern, it had winds of 75 miles per hour and was
moving to the northeast at about nine miles per hour.
Forecasters say the erratic storm could possibly threaten the
southeastern Atlantic coast from the Carolinas to northern Florida.
Ophelia is the season's seventh Atlantic hurricane.

 

[tybee204]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

Well luckily I have a car , a credit card and flood insurance so Mike brown can kiss my a$$!!!

 

[LovelyPigeon]

I'm sleeping easier tonite knowing that Michael Brown is now in charge of Hurricane Ophelia.

(apologies to tybee204 LOL)