Missy normally got to the church around 4:00, not 4:18. This was in the dispatch report, recorded by LE as told to them by one of the campers. So she was running late. If she normally got there at 4, why is SP only emerging 10 mins before that on the other side of the church and then proceeding to tour the church rather than looking for her? As far as you saying we can "approximate SP being along the Western Hallway", that is true if you are meaning to include the main entrance and the auditorium. You yourself already postulated that SP might be in the auditorium. And actually we would probably have to include the north hallway as well. SP could have been making noise or walking along that hallway. We only know Missy jerked her head and then started up the W hallway, so basically we can figure SP could not have been on the S hall and most likely not the E hall either, because Missy is visually and/or audibly led to venture up the W hallway. Basically, SP could be anywhere in the western half of the building at that point. And my point remains - if SP has done all this planning and knows she normally gets there at 4 and knows (as I do) that the early birds were normally always on time and began promptly at 4:30, then why does SP behave the way they do and why do they not abort the "mission" when she hasn't shown by 4:15? Whether a personal targeted attack or a hitman, it seems like they wouldn't stick around with the timeline so tight. And it sure seems like they would be behaving differently than the way we see them behaving between 3:50 and 4:15.
How do you think SP would know so much about what MB was going to do? Along with all the other circumstances that you believe SP controls, do you believe they controlled the weather too? They had no way of knowing whether the weather was going to allow the class to work out under the awning or if they were going to move inside. If you assume SP monitored Missy's FB, her last comment is that they have cover under the awning. The class only moved indoors when it was colder than 35 or storming - not gentle rain but actually storming. The times they moved inside were rare. So how is SP going to be able to plan for this? The answer is, they couldn't have. For all they knew, she was going to unlock the doors so that campers could use the bathroom if need be, but not go inside herself.
If SP intended to "confuse LEO" that this was an interrupted burglary, then why not do more to remove the ambiguity? If you are wanting to APPEAR to be a burglar while committing a pre-meditated murder, why dress up as LE? Burglars don't typically do that, right? The first thing most people ask me when I talk about interrupted burglary is, "Is there precedent for other burglaries in the area at churches or other buildings in which the burglar dressed similarly?" People realize that this isn't a run-of-the-mill burglary. But if SP wanted it to APPEAR to be, seems like they would have fallen into stereotypes - wearing a ski mask or maybe a hoodie, etc. If they want it to appear to be a burglary, then they seem to be shooting themselves in the foot. They also could have left trash bags laying around, could have made sure they were on camera taking something of value. They could have unplugged a computer monitor and put it by the exit as if they intended to steal it, etc. For all the premeditation that you think SP put into this, they sure suck at being convincing. And I disagree with you on it being "highly probable that MB entered the church every time." What basis do you have for saying that? I've talked to the early bird campers themselves, and even THEY have no idea what Missy's routine would be before their arrival. All we know is that she unlocked the doors. But that did not require entering. And why do you think the murder "had to appear to be a B&E gone woefully wrong"? Why would SP have a NEED for that? Are you thinking it's because a connection to Missy would be apparent and SP didn't want that? If that's the case, how come, even with police saying even on day 1 that they had questions about it being a burglary, no connection has been made yet? SP obviously failed, by your theory, in faking a burglary. Police as far as we know have never pursued that theory; instead they pursued a target list of people all with a connection to Missy, and then BWH who they also believed would have targeted Missy. So if SP thought it was necessary to fake a burglary to avoid detection, why didn't their failure to pull off the fake burglary result in identification and arrest?
When I talk of intelligence I am not necessarily speaking of IQ. It can be all the planning and organization and research. That is where you have landed with SP. And yet despite all of that, SP did not accomplish what you believe was their most important goal beyond killing Missy - making it seem like it wasn’t an assassination.
Of course I have. I tell everyone, all the time, that I “lean toward it being untargeted.” Never once do I take the black and white position you do when you say something like “This particular murder was a premeditated attack on MB in order to end her life.” So tell me, who is the one who isn’t considering that they may be wrong? A lot of new evidence has been revealed since we re-opened these threads; have you re-examined your theory about this case in the light of the evidence, or do you take the new evidence and force it to fit a theory you’re already dead set on?
So you think SP would basically dress as what they are (or used to be) - LE or military. Does that seem smart to you? Again, they’re supposed to be faking a burglary. So now you have them not only failing to do the things a burglar would do - you have them dressing in such a way that it potentially gives LE a big lead on profiling and identifying them. And your answer didn’t really address what I said. I questioned why SP would go all over the place and not even seem to be aware of time or of entry location. Does that seem like something this organized, methodical, LE or military trained SP would do when setting up for a kill?
I’m not sure where you come up with the idea of SP looking at pictures of the church online, much less determining that it’s “highly likely”. It just seems that you’re working backward from your talented hitman theory, and so you figure that looking up the church online is something that they would do. As for “monetary gain from a targeted hit”, how do you suppose the hitman and the person who hired said hitman managed to get away with it for 5 years? With (1) no evidence of a financial transaction for police to find; and (2)No other people finding out about it despite the fact that you’ve involved more than one person in this thing; and (3) the fact that Person 1 managed to hire Hitman successfully without accidentally getting an undercover cop as they often do?
So far there is no proof that SP even knew who Missy was or expected her to come walking in, much less hating or despising her.
With new evidence that comes out, I keep allowing for the fact that something might come to light that pushes me back toward targeted. I mean, I have been there before, with BWH.
- The gunshot came out - that didn’t really point one way or the other. Burglars carry guns, same as hitmen.
- Details about the early bird campers came out. That upended the whole timeline. We could no longer think of SP has having plenty of cushion. A strike against targeted.
- Details about the outside camera that wasn’t working came out. Turned out there was no possibility of tampering. Just bad luck. So there is a strike against targeted.
- Details about the mystery object came out. instead of some sort of Dexter-style kill box, it turned out to be a storage tray containing small, non-sharp tools that would not be helpful in a murder. A strike against targeted.
There are probably others that I’m not thinking of right now. But bottom line is that everything that comes out does nothing to help the targeted cause. So it’s not that I’m insisting on being right. I’m perfectly fine to be wrong. I actually HOPE I am wrong, because targeted is going to be easier to crack than untargeted. But give me some things that actually point toward targeted in a meaningful way so that I can get behind it. So far, that isn’t happening, and anything that does come out just points me in the other direction.
