So, I've perused the Statutory Instrument creating the new rules.
These Rules make amendments to the Firearms Rules 1998 (S.I. 1998/1941).
www.legislation.gov.uk
The SI specifies the exact layout and wording of the application forms. At annexe "A" of the application form which is the part relating to the advice to referees, it says;
As a referee you are not required to guarantee the applicant's good behavior.
and,
...please be assured that the actions of the applicant would not reflect upon you as the referee.
When taken with the rest of the advice in Annexe "A" it is fairly clear that the referee is not "vouching" for the applicant. They are there to support the applicant, and the police in their role as the licensing authority. Basically, they are there to give factual information to the police and not much else.
To be honest, I'm not really sure how increasing the number of referees needed for a shotgun certificate is going to change anything. Most people can most likely round up two people who will be a referee for them and you aren't going to ask someone who thinks you're a total toss-pot to begin with. Although, yes, I suppose if you are a total toss-pot it's harder to find two people as against one.
We must remember, however, that we are discussing this in the context of a guy who violently assaulted people in public (there is CCTV of it), had his certificate revoked (or at least had his guns removed for a time), got possession again and murdered people.
This was the fault of the system than administers the licensing regime - the police - rather than how it was designed to work. I think I've said this before but I can state with absolute 100% certainty that had he behaved like that in my police area there would have been zero chance of him ever getting his guns back and that the cops would have immediately revoked him, something I don't believe happened in this case. I know people who have been revoked over altercations with neighbors and garden hoses!
Neither does it address such things as people forging certificates as has happened recently. The idea that in 2025 firearms transfers are facilitated by a certificate consisting of multiple pieces of A4 paper is ludicrous, quite frankly.
Not only is a ludicrous, it is also a huge security issue; the cert consists of your name, address, date of birth, and contains the details of every firearm you possess, what you are authorised to acquire and likely quantities of ammunition that you hold. Absolute madness!
The lad who killed his mother with a shotgun he purchased with a forged certificate would have, in my opinion, experienced much greater difficulty in acquiring it - even with a good forged cert - if he and the seller were required to pass the gun through a firearms dealer, rather than doing it as a private sale. In fact, I'd suggest that unless he was extremely confident in his forgery skills - not to mention being confident in his skills at blagging to an RFD - he probably wouldn't have got away with it or even attempted it.
So, yes, I think that the one significant thing, and very easy thing, that the new rules could have done, and totally failed to do, was to require all transfers to go through an RFD which would prevent private sales from happening. I've always been very, very anti regulation unless it's necessary but this one thing would have almost certainly have prevented that incident. And, no, that's not me as a firearms dealer trying to make money on transfers; the transfer fee could be set in law and the number of private transfers aren't that great anyway so I'd never get rich off it - tbh, they are a pain in the backside and I (along with most other RFD's) would prefer not to do them.