While I agree with both those statements, I find them at odds with each other given what we know of this crime.
If the criminal is experienced and in an area he's familiar with, you'd think there would be some other similar crimes both prior to and after JK in the vicinity.
And if he's a first timer that just got really lucky so far, you wonder why it hasn't happened again.
I agree with some of your statement. But, it is true that criminals do prefer to commit crimes where they feel comfortable, fit in, etc.
In this case, who is to say that whomever took JK didn't just move into Mosaic in the past few months, or was a frequent visitor of a friend, or even a grass cutter, maintance, garbage, cable installer, et.
those are all types of people who feel comfortable in a particular setting. Maybe he has other victims, but, in different counties, but changed his m.o.. or maybe he just got out of prison.
Maybe he is a serial dape rapist, who never went the next step. Maybe he is just a burglar, and JK surprised him.
the list goes on and on.
My point is simple. IF this was a first time crook, a young 20 year old punk, I wouldn't expect such a clean crime scene. that is, there is no known crime scene. No witnesses, turns off the phone, moves the car, doesn;'t talk to anyone, nobody suspects him, etc.
I still think that his name is on that call-in sheet from the community. Maybe he was passed over since he didn't have a record, or maybe someone was lazy and didnt' check out is alibi.
But, I do agree, I don't think it was the first crime. That doesn't mean this is the first time he is responsible for someone missing. It could have been a burglary, carjacking, and it got out of hand. Who knows? Criminals tend to get more bold, more violent, with each offense.
Again, LE shouldn't rule out any scenario or anyone.
Personally, I don't think LE had enough manpower the first time around. NOw, I think they have enough detectives, the video, and this animal is in big trouble.IMO
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