2024 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

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Thursday video discussion on Invest #94L in the western Caribbean and Invest #95L in the central Atlantic. 95L could beocme a tropical storm and approach the Lesser Antilles early next week.
 
Tropical Storm Beryl has formed and interests in the Caribbean should monitor it. There's another wave behind it too.

Screenshot 2024-06-28 213913.png

From the NHC:


...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BERYL... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
11:00 PM AST Fri Jun 28
Location: 9.3°N 43.6°W
Moving: W at 18 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
 
HmmMysterious said:
National Hurricane Center

...BERYL EXPECTED TO BECOME A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
2:00 PM AST Sat Jun 29
Location: 10.0°N 48.4°W
Moving: W at 23 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph
Click to expand...
...BERYL IS NOW A HURRICANE AND FORECAST TO INTENSIFY QUICKLY......EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...
5:00 PM AST Sat Jun 29
Location: 10.1°N 49.3°W
Moving: W at 22 mph
Min pressure: 992 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

Hurricane Beryl Forecast Discussion

203825_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
 
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FIND BERYL NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE......LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
11:35 AM AST Sun Jun 30
Location: 10.8°N 54.9°W
Moving: W at 21 mph
Min pressure: 962 mb
Max sustained: 130 mph
 
My youngest is headed to vet school in August, in West Indies Grenada where, according to their website,

St. George’s University is located in Grenada, just north of South America and below the path most hurricanes follow through the Caribbean.​

Well, I guess Hurricane Beryl is blowing that concept right outta the water. So much for reassurances!!! I was thinking I wouldn't have to worry about storms much. Kiddo said today that they have everyone sheltering at the school.

1719788762223.png​


From St George's University website:

Safety and Security | St. George's University, Grenada, West Indies

St. George's University has off-campus Safety Patrol, available 24/7. Find out more about our safety and security, including emergency contacts.
www.sgu.edu www.sgu.edu

Hurricanes: Grenada lies south of the typical path of Atlantic hurricanes, but hurricane conditions can occur. In the past 60 years, Grenada has only experienced one major hurricane. In 2004, a severe storm hit Grenada. However, the True Blue campus, built to withstand a Category 5 hurricane, was a safe haven for our students, staff, and faculty.
 
PayrollNerd said:
This looks like a rain event for Mexico. I hope there isn't any landslides and the electric stays on.

Current Storm Information | Tropical Tidbits

The latest information on active storms in the Atlantic Ocean
www.tropicaltidbits.com www.tropicaltidbits.com

View attachment 514576
Click to expand...
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CHRIS......BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OFEASTERN MEXICO...
10:00 PM CDT Sun Jun 30
Location: 20.0°N 96.2°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
 
HmmMysterious said:
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CHRIS......BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OFEASTERN MEXICO...
10:00 PM CDT Sun Jun 30
Location: 20.0°N 96.2°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
Click to expand...
...CHRIS MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO...
11:50 PM CDT Sun Jun 30
Location: 20.0°N 96.6°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
 
US Virgin Islands Tropical Hurricane Weather Station

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Good Monday morning July 1 2024

Hurricane Beryl is still well to our south, headed for the Windward Islands - Grenada looks to be the main island along with SVG, St Lucia and Tobago. It’s compact and storm force winds extend only 35 miles from the center, and TS force winds to 125 miles. The “closest approach” tool from Storm Carib shows 275 miles from St Croix, and our weather should start to change late afternoon through tomorrow. Wind forecast for our area will be 30-35kts.

Invest 96L may or may not develop, the computer models cannot seem to agree if this system will close and start to spin and become TD4 but the spaghetti model is posted for reference.

€€ Forecaster Caley
 

Attachments

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...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 BERYL PRODUCING CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...
12:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1
Location: 12.5°N 61.7°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 950 mb
Max sustained: 150 mph
 
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