2024 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

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My oldest is headed offshore tonight on the Tyson B out of Daulphin Island, AL. I asked her if they’ll be affected by the storm. They’re expecting it to be choppy seas on Tues & Wed and then smooth after that.

I wonder if storm cranks up significantly, if they’ll be sent more eastward to wait it out.

 
...BERYL FORECAST TO BRING DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODINGAND STRONG WINDS TO TEXAS OVERNIGHT...
4:00 PM CDT Sun Jul 7
Location: 26.8°N 95.5°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph
 
..HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BERYL SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN PORTIONS OF TEXAS...
7:00 PM CDT Sun Jul 7
Location: 27.1°N 95.6°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 987 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph
 
...BERYL IS AGAIN A HURRICANE...

11:00 PM CDT Sun Jul 7
Location: 27.7°N 95.7°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 985 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph


Beryl's running out of time to strengthen before she makes landfall in less than 12 hours. Seems like she'll make landfall in the Lake Jackson area imo
 
Last edited:
...BERYL STRENGTHENING AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED...

1:00 AM CDT Mon Jul 8
Location: 28.2°N 95.9°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph
 
It’s chaos out there! Spoke to my oldest this evening. The two boats went out Sunday night. 1 went west and was immediately delayed due to Hurricane Beryl.

The one my daughter is on went east towards Pensacola FL. Today they were in 5-6’ seas and had to call it. The night shifts equipment broke. It was too dangerous for the day shift to continue.

They motored into Panama City Beach and docked for the night. They’ll head back out at 5:00am with only the boat crew & 2 day shift researchers.

They’re are many research trips planned on different boats thru Aug. If this hurricane season explodes as predicted, scheduled trips are going to be continuously disrupted. They typically don’t go out in Sept but weather permitting, they may have to.
 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Beryl, located near the Great Lakes.

1. Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some additional development of this system over the next couple of days before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
 
PayrollNerd said:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Beryl, located near the Great Lakes.

1. Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some additional development of this system over the next couple of days before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Click to expand...
Northern Vermont got clobbered with rain and flooding in some areas from the remnants of Beryl. There was serious flooding in Barre, VT, which was hit with terrible flooding a year ago.

My son in northwestern VT (south of Burlington) said they got 5.33 inches of rain yesterday and it's very wet there, but no flooding.
 

Central Florida Hurricane Center 2024 - 29 Years Tracking Storms

flhurricane is a Website focused on the tracking, data, and discussion of Atlantic Hurricanes with a focus on Florida.
flhurricane.com flhurricane.com

8PM EDT 27 July 2024 Update
The Area in the Central Atlantic is now up to a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days, those in the Leeward islands should watch closely, but it's unlikely to develop in the near term until it gets further west toward the middle of the week. If it were to approach the mainland US the timeframe would be Sunday-Monday or Tuesday Aug 4-5. However it's too early to say where it will go until it develops (if it does) and where. It's currently not being tracked as an invest area.
 
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

The forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are getting a bad vibe from the tropical wave out in the Atlantic. Here's the description

Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next day or two. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical
depression could form late this week while the system is in the
vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the
Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
 
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