These answers to Quester's questions are just my opinion:
Originally Posted by Quester
I suppose the answer to your question ("What are the odds DH was shot by BW?") depends on the following answers:
1. What are the odds BW and DH were actually together after CW said BW left CW's [future memorial] yard on that Wed evening?
I think it's likely. Their phones pinged together as they traveled to the Styx River house and then for a bit after they were at the house.
2. What are the odds BW was alive after her last known [confirmed having spoken with a credible person] cell phone conversation [?Wed evening/Thurs early am?]?
If the last person she spoke to (voice) was P's dad (looking for him to come get her, he says no, and she then gets DH to get her), I think it's somewhat likely she was alive until the last text conversation she had with the friend who can't remember or at least until her phone stopped pinging by Styx River. After that, I don't think she was alive for long.
3. What are the odds the gun in question was actually BW's?
I say 50/50. One half makes the odds against it being BW's gun b/c ths info is from Chessie. The other 50 that makes me think it was BW's gun is because one of her friends told Steph that she knew BW had this gun.
Also, if I lived in that family, I'd have a gun. Especially if I was in a position where I was scared one of the family members would disappear me and had even written a letter about what had gone on to give to a friend in case I did disappear.
4. What are the odds BW's habit was to only keep two bullets in said gun
I say slim to none. Mainly because this info comes only from Chessie but also because who the heck purposely has only two bullets in his/her gun and makes that explicitly clear to their mother. My hubby keeps most of his guns loaded- I just know they are loaded. For all I know, some may have one less or a couple less bullets than being fully loaded, like if for some reason he didn't have the number of bullets to fully load it after returning from the range. We've never had a conversation about the
exact number of bullets in the guns. How exactly would that mother-daughter conversation go? "So Mama, I'm always sure to keep two bullets- never ever any more or any less- in my gun." How would that even come up in conversation?
5. What are the odds BW was near the DH/WWH home on that Fri morning when DH wound up with a bullet in the head?
I'm not sure, but I think less than a 50% chance. I think by the time DH was frantically calling BW, she had already been "disappeared" and he was looking for her (because he knew what might have happened). Although I suppose it's possible BW is still near the home but hasn't been found. (I also think DH might have been calling her phone constantly that day because if he was involved in disappearing her, maybe he couldn't locate her phone and was trying to call it to make sure it wasn't in/on his property or vehicle or to try to find it to dispose of it. I haven't really thought about this before - so maybe this theory about calling the phone so much to try to locate the phone instead of trying to locate/talk to BW herself is kinda wonky.)
6. What are the odds anyone in this family speaks/has spoken the truth?
Slim to none, with the exceptions of the brave victims.
My personal belief is that the odds are strongly against BW having shot DH but I could very well be wrong. JMO, MMO, etc.
I agree. Unfortunately, I think BW was deceased before DH had a bullet in his head.
