What I'm interested in knowing is why you think Lance Williams is your most likely POI. You must be pretty sure of this as you have him favourite odds wise.
The only thing I'm sure of is that he is the most likely POI. This is a purely objective opinion as the circumstantial evidence is greater with him than anyone else. Does it mean he's the CSK? Of course not - the favourite doesn't always win the Melbourne Cup or the Brownlow Medal.
Subjectively, I think in this case the favourite is the winner.
Could you please provide a rundown of the evidence or your reasoning for him being number one. I'm not disputing him as the CSK or anything as I think we are all aware no one is really sure who it is but in my eyes the evidence and stories about him lean me into thinking it would be unlikely to be him.
1. During a period when police were conducting surveillance, LW was the only guy stalking women in the area.
2. Upon investigating him, it was discovered he stalked women every Thurs to Sun night
3. He was meticulous in routine. Same time every night. Not sort of the same time, exactly to the minute same time (2 variations). Same routine every night
4. He failed a lie detector test. So did 12 others (approximately 25%)
5. He was measured when under interrogation often taking minutes to carefully answer his questions
6. He always kept his cool. He never spat the dummy about the intense interrogation and accusation. Well respected psychologists agree that this is very unusual behaviour if innocent.
7. He had no alibi for any of the nights
8. He has a history of immense discipline. He was able to give up drinking, smoking and gambling cold turkey. If anyone is able to give of raping/killing he could probably do it
9. He had his car cleaned and detailed a few days after one of the girls went missing
10. CG had a wound on her head. A fire poker was missing form a set of fire tools in his parent's house. The end of the poker fit the wound.
11. The killing stopped when he was identified as a POI
12. He has never tried to sue police.
13. It is also my understanding that he was within a teenager's upper lip hair of being charged
All circumstantial evidence. But there is more circumstantial evidence for him that anyone else.
I hear lots of people claim it's not him, or have the opinion it's definitely not him but it's typically based on misinformation. I myself was also a victim to the well trotted out line "there's no way this meek and mild d1ckweed could pull off such a crime" and "police fitted up Mallard and they did it to LW too". I agree they discovered LW and tried to fit the case around him but that doesn't mean he didn't do it.
I have no problem if people don't think he's the guy. Not everyone should be compelled to back the favourite. But anyone who thinks there's another suspect with a more compelling case, I'd love to hear it.
Its interesting that someone a few pages ago said they were speaking to a detective who told him that they are pretty sure they know its LW but they just cant pin it on him and then ElleAU just a few posts ago said thats its a common thing that people, particularly in Perth, knows someone who knows someone who said something and the rumour mill has a lot of crazy stories going around. So for those reasons its hard to know who to believe and what people are making up.
This is common with all similar cases. Recently a rumour went around that LW would go into Subi hotels and in the sardine like crowd, ejaculate. Sounds like complete BS to me.
I've been posting here for a while and on BF and everyone knows the posters who can be trusted and which ones continually serve up rubbish.
As you have obviously read the Bigfooty 133 page thread on this one I was reading the first 5 pages or so of it the other day and people there had claimed to have been picked up by LW or they know him personally and they are certain it couldnt have been him. There was one poster that was picked up a few times in a yellow car and he was adamant he was just a loner that was after some friends etc. Of course LW might be the master illusionist and how much credence can you cant be 100% sure people posting on Bigfooty are the real deal but I still think it must hold some weight what they have said.
That was me and I can assure I got in LW's car on multiple occasions.
I also cant understand how LW would have evaded detection over the 20 years or so he has been in the radar. Wouldn't he have cracked at sometime or wouldn't something surely have come up that would pin him to this.....or is it simply just that they cant pin it on him. I just don't understand this whole scenario.
My understanding is they all but had him. The reason why could have evaded capture;
1. No DNA
2. He stuck to his minimalist story
3. If he is CSK and CSK did Karra then they would have had to have misplaced Karra DNA
His car, house and flat weren't searched until well after it's reasonable for any trace evidence to disappear
Some other things that come to mind without much thought. Wouldn't it be likely that if he picked up that police officer in that sting, and if you think the CSK is linked to Karrakatta and a blitz attack (which seems to be the consensus here) then he would have blitzed her. Instead he dropped her off on the side of the road. I'm thinking that if he had 3/3 successful murders and no stories to be really considered where someone was let go then the odds of just letting someone go are small. If it was LW picking up and killing the 3 girl then it sounds to me like he was vey good and efficient at it and not someone who picks up lots of people, gains a lot of Perthite attention doing that, and still chooses who to attack and can get away with it.
After CG the media coverage was intense. When LW was picked up he had no kit (knife, gun or whatever the CSK may have used). He may have been doing a dry run to see if surveillance was out and about.
If a fire poker was missing from his house wouldnt they surely be able to match that up with injuries to CG as you are assuming he hit her over the head with it. Would they not have DNA evidence from somewhere else as they shook his house down.
It matched but that doesn't mean it was the weapon. If someone was willing to testify in court it had to be that brand/model of fire poker then he would have probably been charged. It's nothing more than circumstantial albeit compelling.
Would it really be possible for someone like LW to not only attract young girls into his car but to subdue them, kill them and carry the bodies to the dump site all with leaving no evidence behind.
It was evidently possible for someone, why not LW?
If they stopped him after the female police officer sting wouldnt they have combed his car and found plastic lining, strangling wire etc etc or was he really that selective and lucky.
Potentially a dry run or potentially he isn't the CSK.
As I say I am writing this without much knowledge on him but if you read those first pages of Bigfooty I feel it paints a good picture of why he is unlikely. Not saying you are wrong or anything just that I know you must have a very good reason and it would be interesting to hear and beneficial to this forum.
That was a misinformed me painting that picture. Upon an odyssey of investigation I have discovered that he comfortable and deservedly has the most circumstantial evidence against him.