I am not taking the rapper and his kids' stories at face value. As far as anyone knows, they are the last people to see her alive. Yes, the people who admit seeing a person last before they disappear are statistically the ones who have done the harm. I didn't make up the statistics. We all know this to be true.
Her truck ended up in an orchard with no sign of her anywhere and video evidence captures her car crossing over a levee, which is an 18 minute drive from the house where she was last seen alive, 5 minutes before she reportedly left the house? The time of departure was given by those who last saw her alive - the people in the house. She had been drinking according to them.
Who gave her the alcohol? Would this person also give her drugs? Yes, if they had any. This is just simple human fact.
I can not even understand the cell phone stuff, but it doesn't make much difference in my opinion.
ExBF? Maybe. If he really thought they were getting back together and he followed her on her date with the bricklaying rapper, he could have become very upset. Enough to kill her? Maybe. Momentarily suspending the time problem, I suppose it is possible that she got stuck in the mud and called the Ex who then came and rescued her, even gallantly carrying her away from the truck alive but not muddy, and never to be seen again. Nah. Why is he explaining her being on a back road as something she always did? Her truck wasn't found on a back road, it was found in an orchard where it had sat for days. If she always took back roads, she would know them well enough to not get stuck in the mud in an orchard.
It would just never occur to me to drive through someone's orchard. She wouldn't do that on purpose.
IMHO it is more likely an overdose and a dump the evidence situation. For example, no one wants an under-aged, drunk, overdosed, raped young woman dead in their house, it will bring the police and lots of questions. Especially when the adult in the house was seen in public with her just hours earlier and she was partying at his house afterwards.
I am not saying any of this happened, I am not accusing anyone of anything, I am just making a speculative call based on KISS and what I know of how this stuff usually goes down.
What is the simplest explanation? She died at the house and her body was dumped somewhere.
Believe me, LE is all over this group. And rightly so. They are the last to see her alive.
When they are cleared, I will still support my opinion that they are at the top of the suspect list at this moment in time. LE must rule them out first. That isn't my rule, it is theirs.
What is an unlikely scenario? That she got suck in the mud and someone carried her from the truck, took her away and then killed her.
Just my humble opinion.