Thanks, I've been reading this site for years and finally joined last year...and posted last night! I wish I wasn't so interested in missing person/unidentified person cases, every single one of them is heartbreaking. I have a few I can't let go and doubt will ever be solved.
Good to know on the Park Ranger, I wasn't sure anymore. Given what we know to be true, I tend to lean on the side of an actual sighting that LE is keeping to themselves. Hard to say, but it would make sense with the continued searching inside JTNP and why would they bother searching there unless she was seen on camera entering the park. A park ranger sighting wouldn't be out of the ordinary. Who knows though?
Regarding JC's knowledge of the affair, for some reason I thought I had read it in an article. In my mind I had it as fact, but I honestly can't remember the official place I read it. It is possible that I've read it so many times by people giving unverified information that I began to accept it as fact. I'll have to research it and see what I come up with. Good call.
I agree it is very frustrating that JC has been absent. I've able to dismiss that given the tight control the military has on its soldiers. I know people in the military and they confirmed that a soldier can be ordered to remain silent or face serious consequences for disobeying orders. At this point, the military is all he has to hang on to right now and it would make sense that he is completely overwhelmed and following orders on autopilot. I would be, anyway. I also have to wonder what he would say? He's in a horrible position of everyone expects the spouse versus pointing the finger at CL. If he truly loves Erin, then I can't imagine he would want to address the affair and there is no way around that if he publicly appears. He would also have to address his timeline, and LE most likely doesn't want that information released. Either way he loses. Plus, if they have told him she is not coming home, what is the point? LE might also want to keep him off tv so they make CL and NL think he is a suspect and they have less to worry about. I don't think LE considers him a suspect, but that is pure speculation on my part based on the attitude of her family toward him and their attitude toward CL and NL. Maybe they are trying to confuse all 3 of them though? It's frustrating for the public, but I can't see the point in his appearance other than to sate our curiosity. I'd love to hear what he has to say, but not sure why he would do it. It won't bring Erin home or further the investigation. Also, if he never appears, people will leave him alone. After his very first appearance, or statement, he will be hounded to death by the media begging for more.
Based on everyone's behavior, it seems LE thought she was deceased almost immediately. It seems they also feel reasonably sure who is responsible and are just building their case, based on CL's inconsistencies, NL comments to IM, and the many search warrants directed toward them. I also find it telling that they charged CL for the potato gun. That seems like nothing more than an additional way for LE to let him know they are on to him, get further under his skin, and give him something to dread by forcing him to return to CA for the court appearance.
I agree this case has been nothing short of BIZARRE! However, the way I see it, and clearly this is only my opinion, is that LE immediately knew Erin was gone and their chances of finding her in such vast and desolate spaces is minimal. They are searching everywhere they can, but I'd say their main focus is on the successful prosecution of the guilty parties and getting them to admit where Erin is. They are keeping ALL information secret because the public can't help. There are no witnesses in the desert, so why post flyers or ask for tips? If they release nothing, the suspect(s) are left wondering what LE knows and that has to drive them crazy. They don't know what LE has, so they don't know how to build their cover story. For instance, lets speculate that they did drive to JTNP, was Erin caught on camera or seen by a Park Ranger-were they? Did JC leave bases at any time during a timeframe that would make is possible for him to be involved? Everyone in the military knows they are on the base cameras every time they enter or exit, so that is a given even without LE confirmation. CL can't point the finger at JC if he has zero knowledge of where JC was at certain times or if he left base, etc. JC can't point the finger at CL if he doesn't know where he was, either.
Something else we haven't considered is that just because other witnesses haven't come forward in the media, that does NOT mean there are no other witnesses known to LE.
And on to the red car.
Honestly, I'm undecided the sibling witness accounts. I can't decide if they are telling the complete truth or elaborating their story to make it more interesting, which has created a situation where misinformation is out there. There are too many situations where witnesses have truthfully given their account of what they saw, yet they got the details wrong. Look at all of the sketches of suspects that are given by multiple witnesses and none of them match-yet they are all of the same person. It happens all the time, even when witness accounts are taken moments, instead of days, after the crime. The witnesses had no reason to pay special attention and it was so far away that I have a hard time believing that he paid special attention to the person sitting in the car or that he could even see the details of the person sitting in the car. I think he wants to remember and might be trying so hard that he is making himself believe he saw something that he did not or might have seen at another time and is confusing things in his mind. Here is an example, my neighbor's house is directly across the street from me and I was in my driveway the other day. My neighbor's friend was visiting and before he drove away, he rolled his window down. I wasn't able to determine much about him even though I was paying attention and he was only about 50 feet from me. Try it sometime. Go about your day in a normal manner and without trying to cheat. As you lay in bed that night, go through your day and ask yourself to remember someone completely random such as a grocery store clerk, the UPS guy, the woman walking her dog, the family in the crosswalk, the guy eating lunch in his car at the park, etc. I was blown away by how little I remembered. As a result, I tend to dismiss the description of the person inside the car, and the car. We have no idea if he would have gotten Erin's car description correct since it was still sitting there so he didn't have to remember. In my opinion, it makes sense to me, that a car was being parked on the side of the road in the middle of nowhere and the witnesses were curious and looked to see what was happening. It makes sense to me that if they paid any attention at all, they would have watched the woman exiting the car out of curiosity. If it was me, I would have originally been focused on the car being parked to see if it was damaged or just being parked and then I would have moved my focus to the woman getting out of the car, locking her car, and then walking to the other car and getting inside. Then I'd be done. Maybe it is just me, but I wouldn't have paid much attention to the other car since my focus would be on trying to figure out what the woman was doing. I'm not sure I would be able to remember details about the other car or who was inside, other than another vehicle was there. This is pure speculation on my part, but when I put myself in the position of the witness, this is the way I would have watched it unfold and remembering it accurately several days later would be sketchy, at best. That said, my other issue is that CL's jeep tracks match the tracks at the scene. If a red car was present, where are the tracks? A red car doesn't match the hard facts known to be true. In my opinion, there is no red car. The witness wasn't paying attention because he never thought he would need to remember anything or that he was seeing anything sinister. When he realized that was Erin's car, he desperately wanted to remember everything and that might have created a situation where he wrongly convinced himself of what he saw or maybe saw at another time. I think it would be easy for misinformation to be presented, even when he believed he was giving accurate information.
On the other hand, let's say I'm completely wrong and there is a red car and there are tracks (that we don't know about) to support the car's existence. I think Erin was transported in the car and it is burned out and sitting in the desert somewhere in a different location than Erin is or it is at the bottom of a mine with, or without, Erin. I can only speculate, but if I used a car to carry out a murder, I would burn it so no trace evidence could be linked back to me or I would dispose of it in a location with minimal chances of it being located. I would dispose of it separately of the victim. In the desert, it would be WAY too easy to go out in the middle of nowhere, carry out the crime, dig a hole, or just walk away and let the animals do the work. A car is a lot harder to dispose of, I would think.
So, I'll finish my book (sorry!) by saying that I can't formulate any reasonably sound conclusion about anything since LE has so much vital information that has not been released. I could be completely wrong, but I tend to think LE is doing a good job in this instance and they are building the absolute strongest case they can so they can bring justice to her family. They are being FAR too quiet about information they obviously have for me to assume they have nothing else. At least I hope.
I strongly doubt she is alive, sadly. All I can say is that I truly hope it was over before she knew what was happening and she died believing in her happily ever after. Regardless of her actions, no one deserves what has most likely happened to her. I can only hope LE is building their case in such a way that they have the responsible party so clearly guilty beyond a reasonable doubt that they throw in the towel and disclose her location so her loved ones can have some type of closure. I can't imagine the agony for the people who love her. The not knowing would destroy me.