Hey all, thanks for the informative thread and discussion. I'm a newbie here (stumbled onto this board searching for more articles/information on this case) but I wanted to add a few thoughts of mine. Though I am no longer in the field, I'm a former forensic biologist. My specialty is blood-spatter analysis, so the following points are not in my area of expertise, though my studies did moderately touch on them.
In addition to forensics, a major portion of my education in the field involved physiology. In a nutshell, this is how the human body works, its chemical functions, etc. Based on my training and the facts known at the moment about this case, there are a few things that I feel can be confidently (though not definitely) ruled out.
- CO2: Bodies of those exposed to CO2 will appear pink/red 96% of the time. This was not indicted by the on-site investigators. Further evidence of CO2 poisoning would have also been indicated at the autopsy stage by evidence of lesions in the brain and/or other organs
- Lightning Strike/Electrical Storm: Evidence would have been present at the autopsy stage; however, the more important thing to note is that the chances of three people plus the family dog being struck by lightning would be extremely, extremely unlikely - especially since Ellen's body was found approximately 30 yards away from the other three
- Heat-related death: This one is tricky, because heat strokes or heat-related deaths do not always show up in the initial autopsy and toxicology must be relied upon - especially when time of death is unavailable. How long someone survives after a heat-stroke would also affect these findings. But for three autopsies not to reveal that heat played a factor would be extremely rare
- Snake Bite: No. Not to all four.
I didn't include algae bloom in the list above because there are a lot of things that make sense about this possibility - but there are more things that do not. The parents seem to be very avid, experienced outdoor enthusiasts. They would not have used water from a possibly contaminated source, unless they were desperate. But even if they had a lapse in judgement and did, it does not explain how the baby was affected.
From a psychological standpoint, I cannot fathom any parent substituting river water for breastmilk or, if on formula, replacing bottled water with an unknown source. I am not trying to suggest that these parents were infallible or perfect, but they seem competent enough not to put dirty water into a baby bottle.
Having said all of this, there still isn't any one thing that stands out to me as a possible cause of death. The one thing I am 100% sure of is that we will have to wait on toxicology to know what happened and even there there is a chance we will not have conclusive answers. Sad, all around.