Everything I've ever read says that about 115 children are abducted by strangers every year in the United States. What puzzles me is the quickness with which the difficult case with little information available to the public are assumed to be crimes perpetrated by the last person to see the child (isabel celis, maddie mccann, lisa irwin, dylan redwine) If 115 are actually kidnapped, we read about some that are resolved, what makes it so hard to think that Dylan Redwine may be one of the 115?
BBM
In regard to the statistics that are available, which out of those 115 children were abducted by complete and total strangers, and where they were;
1.) from an extremely rural location classified as a "Statutory Town" (not even a "city" - Bayfield has a population of just over 1500 people in 2000 - only 300 people more than the amount of people in my high school my freshman year, btw - more current statistics indicate around 2,087 residents)
2.) in a remote area with barely any public access (no interstate highways, or even "real highways", but mountain roads),
3.) in a location where no other children have gone missing at all for any reason in over 25 years
4.) With no-one witnessing the abduction at all, and no apparent sightings of anything suspicious at all (especially in an area where everyone knows everyone else)? And no other attempted kidnappings in the time leading up to DR's disappearance. (How many children were taken from a public area like a shopping mall, or at a park, etc...)
5.) Where the age of the abducted child is over the age of say 5 year old? How many were aged 12 and older?
6.) Where no-one reported them missing for almost 12 hours after they were last seen, and the person reporting the crime was not the one whose custody the child was in at the time?
7.) In an area where the violent crime rate is so far below normal that it barely registers (no murders reported, no rapes for years and even then only one or two a few years back, and single-digit crimes in other categories - the biggest problem being burglary theft (not violent crime) - see crime stats for Bayfield, here:
http://www.city-data.com/crime/crime-Bayfield-Colorado.html )
8.) Where the last person they were known to be with has stated conflicting stories in regard to almost everything that happened for a 24-hour time period (from Sun. night around 7pm, to Monday night at 7pm).
9.) Where scent dogs have not been able to track a person to a location that indicates they may have been picked up in a car, etc...
etc... etc...
The statistics are just numbers and can be interpreted in many ways, really... It's when you start looking at the in-depth variables that you get a clearer picture of the
true statistics that meet the criteria above (especially points #1-7).
In looking at those estimated 115 children per year, how many of those children meet that criteria above? Look at those variables, and then you will have an even clearer picture in regard to why a stranger abducting a 13yo boy with all of the factors above becomes even less of a likely possibility...