Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #86

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To answer: what are underlying health conditions COVID?
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Definite:
Cancer, kidney disease, COPD, heart conditions, immune system conditions, obesity, pregnancy, sickle cell, smoking, Type 2 diabetes.
Maybe:
asthma, ceberovascular disease, high blood pressure, dementia, liver disease, overweight, pulmonary fibrosis, blood disorder, Type 1 diabetes.
 
Texas kindergartner dies from COVID-19 | KTAB - BigCountryHomepage.com
Nov. 4, 2020

MIS-C has not been mentioned specifically; from the above link:
“This will be updated as more information is released.“

—-

COVID-19 and kids: Experts explain why cases of rare MIS-C are rising
Nov. 5, 2020

“Just days after the American Academy of Pediatrics revealed that cases of COVID-19 in children are at their highest since the pandemic began, reports are trickling in of an uptick in diagnoses of multi-system inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C), a serious complication of the virus.“

[...]

““This is very sobering news, but I’m afraid it was expected,” Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist and professor at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, tells Yahoo Life. “After all, we’re having widespread transmission of the COVID virus throughout most of the country now, and it’s one of the consequences. The more COVID-19 we have out there, the more cases of MIS-C we’ll see.”

“It’s not surprising given increasing number of cases,” Dr. Richard Watkins, an infectious disease physician in Akron, Ohio, and a professor of medicine at the Northeast Ohio Medical University, tells Yahoo Life. However, he stresses, MIS-C is “still rare.”

Dr. Daniel Ganjian, a pediatrician at Providence Saint John’s Health Center in Santa Monica, Calif., tells Yahoo Life that the increase in cases is “expected,” but, he points out, “it’s not growing exponentially, where we’re worried that it’s going out of control.”“

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Douglas County confirms new case of MIS-C, reports 381 new cases
Nov. 4, 2020

“OMAHA, Neb. — A new case of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) has been confirmed in Douglas County.

Two cases were reported in June, according to the Douglas County Health Department (DCHD).

The DCHD said the third is currently at Children’s Hospital after being admitted on Nov. 1.

The health department said the patient is under 10 years old, tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies and has no comorbidities.“

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Pasadena Reports 1st Case of Rare But Serious Coronavirus-Related MIS-C in a Child – Pasadena Now
Nov. 4, 2020

“Pasadena health officials on Wednesday reported the first known case in the city of a “rare but serious” complication affecting young COVID-19 patients known as multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children, or MIS-C.

A total of 43 cases of MIS-C have been documented countywide since the onset of the pandemic, according to the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health. No deaths linked to the condition have been reported.“

[...]

“MIS-C is a rare but serious complication associated with COVID-19. It’s a condition where different body parts, such as the heart, lungs, kidneys, brain, skin, eyes, or gastrointestinal organs, become inflamed,” according to Pasadena Public Health Department Director Dr. Ying-Ying Goh.

“We do not yet know what causes MIS-C, but it’s another unfortunate reminder of the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic,” Goh said in a written statement. “The best way to protect your child is by taking actions to prevent your child and the entire household from getting the virus that causes COVID-19.”“

—-

Specialists clarify why instances of uncommon MIS-C are rising | KYR News
Nov. 5, 2020

“This week, Nebraska’s Douglas County Health Department reported its third case of MIS-C since June. Additionally this week, the Louisiana Department of Health stated that a fifth baby within the state has died of MIS-C. Circumstances proceed to crop up throughout the nation — Pasadena, Calif., simply noticed its first case of MIS-C, as did Idaho’s Ada County. And there are lots of extra.”

[...]

“As of Oct. 30, there have been 1,163 reported instances of MIS-C within the U.S., and 20 deaths from the syndrome, in response to CDC data. Most instances of MIS-C are in youngsters youthful than 14, and greater than 75 % of reported instances have occurred in youngsters who’re Hispanic or Latino, the CDC says.“

—-

(MIS-C Thread)
 
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Colorado:

Polis: 1 out of every 100 people in the Denver area is contagious with COVID-19

“DENVER (KDVR) — Hospitalizations from COVID-19 have reached an all-time high in Colorado, Gov. Jared Polis and state health officials said Thursday.“

[...]

““This is a wake up call,” Polis said.“


Denver leaders considering all options to curb COVID-19 spread | 9news.com

“Multiple Colorado counties, including Boulder, Jefferson and Broomfield counties, all announced Wednesday they are also moving to a more restrictive, Safer at Home Level Orange rules in the coming days.

Safer at Home Level Orange means reducing capacity at places like restaurants, churches, offices, personal services, offices and retail from 50% to 25%. Restrictions will be in place until a decrease in COVID-19 cases allows the counties to downgrade the order.“


COLORADO CORONAVIRUS: Gov. Polis provides an update on COVID-19 as positivity rate rises above 11% / video
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Gov. Polis calls on Coloradans to only interact with household members in November - KRDO


High Risk: Boulder County Increasing COVID-19 Restrictions At Restaurants, Businesses, Places Of Worship

“State health officials say, in the past two week, new cases of COVID-19 among Boulder County residents is 312.1 per 100,000. If it gets to 350 per 100,000 the county will move to a Stay at Home order.“


COVID in Colorado: More counties moving to stricter restrictions | 9news.com
 
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The patriarch of the Serbian Orthodox Church has been hospitalized after testing positive for the new coronavirus, days after leading prayers at a large public funeral for the head of the church in Montenegro, who died after contracting the virus.

Patriarch Irinej last Sunday led the prayers inside a packed church for the church head in Montenegro, Bishop Amfilohije, who had died after contracting COVID-19.

Many of those inside the church did not wear protective face masks or keep their distance from each other, in violation of coronavirus-fighting restrictions. Many kissed the bishop’s body in an open coffin. :eek:

Coronavirus live news: Greece orders new three-week national lockdown as Covid cases rise

When Amfilohije died people were only told he had pneumonia. I'm not sure when they found out otherwise.
 
On a light note, I accidentally typed “Ovid” into google-

upload_2020-11-5_17-40-9.jpeg

“Publius Ovidius Naso, known as Ovid in the English-speaking world, was a Roman poet who lived during the reign of Augustus. Wikipedia
Born: March 20, 43 BC, Sulmona, Italy
Died: Constanța, Romania
Full name: Publius Ovidius Naso
Poems: P. Ouidii Metamorphosis *advertiser censored* integris ac emendatissimis Raphaelis Regii enarrationibus..., Ars Amatoria, Heroides, Fasti, Remedia Amoris, Medicamina Faciei Femineae, Ibis


Here is a quote from “Ovid” I thought was cool, and seems to speak to me at this moment, thought I’d share. (If too o/t, please delete.) I think we could all probably use some rest, idk.

“Take rest; a field that has rested gives a bountiful crop.“
-
Ovid
 
Missouri poll worker with COVID-19 still worked shift, died after election — New York Post

“A Missouri poll supervisor worked on Election Day despite knowing they were infected with the coronavirus — and has since died, local officials said Thursday

The election judge supervisor in St. Charles County got a positive COVID-19 test back on Oct. 30 and broke the recommended 14-day quarantine period to work at a polling site, county health officials said.”

what the !@#$%^&*
 
Missouri poll worker with COVID-19 still worked shift, died after election — New York Post

“A Missouri poll supervisor worked on Election Day despite knowing they were infected with the coronavirus — and has since died, local officials said Thursday

The election judge supervisor in St. Charles County got a positive COVID-19 test back on Oct. 30 and broke the recommended 14-day quarantine period to work at a polling site, county health officials said.”

Maybe he/she believed the rhetoric.

1,858 voters attended that site that day. Let alone the 9 coworkers.

IMO
 
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I've been busy this week studying those "other state counts" but now see that we are at 115,000+ cases today. That's nuts! Did testing increase after 11/3? Texas in particular looks to have spiked, though Thursday's numbers always seem to be among the worst.
 
I've been busy this week studying those "other state counts" but now see that we are at 115,000+ cases today. That's nuts! Did testing increase after 11/3? Texas in particular looks to have spiked, though Thursday's numbers always seem to be among the worst.

Yes and no. I read an article today that said testing increased by something like 2.4% and cases increased by something like 27%. That the increase cannot be attributed to testing. I will see if I can find the link again, and add it.
 
The US surpassed 116,000 daily new COVID-19 cases, again breaking the record for highest single-day count


“The Associated Press looked at 376 counties with the highest number of new COVID-19 infections per capita — and found that 93 percent of them went for Trump, a rate above areas that were less severely hit by the virus.“

Counties with surges in COVID-19 cases overwhelmingly voted Trump: report
—-

Austin, TX:
UT students still need COVID test to attend football games as cases in young people surge
—-

9 injured after vehicle crashes into University of Utah COVID-19 testing site
—-







Colorado Department of Public Health & Environment
@CDPHE

·
50m

Sick of COVID-19? We are too, but the virus isn't sick of us. Our case numbers are moving in the wrong direction, and now is the time to make sure we are wearing our masks, physically distancing, keeping our gatherings small and infrequent, and washing our hands. #Covid19Colorado
—-







Colorado Department of Public Health & Environment
@CDPHE

·
1h

COVID-19 case summary for Colorado (Nov 5).


121,006 cases
1,287,081 people tested
1,350 outbreaks
2,353 deaths among cases
2,153 deaths due to COVID-19



Record number of COVID-19 hospitalizations, new cases in Oregon
 
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Louisiana

John Bel Edwards extends Phase 3 coronavirus rules in Louisiana for four more weeks

Governor renews Louisiana's COVID-19 restrictions for 4 more weeks
—-

Kentucky

Highest number of new cases of the coronavirus confirmed in Kentucky in one day

University of Kentucky selected as site for COVID-19 vaccine clinical trial

Kentucky red zone counties
80 of Kentucky's 120 counties now listed in 'red zone'

Lexington has more than 150 new COVID-19 cases. Contact tracers being ignored


Nevada:

Nevada sees largest single-day total in new COVID cases since mid-July

NEW: Nevada reports more than 1,000 COVID-19 cases, test positivity continues to climb | KLAS

Week in coronavirus: COVID-19 cases continue to surge in Washoe County
Nov. 2, 2020
Week in COVID-19: Washoe County's new case rate continues to lead Nevada, nearly every age group sees spike

Nevada reports 1,068 new COVID-19 cases, 7 additional deaths


NEW: 23 deaths, 911 cases added in Nevada as hospitalizations grow | KLAS
Nov. 3, 2020

Strip resort gets fine for violating COVID-19 safety measures
Nov. 2, 2020

More Nevada comapnies fined for COVID-19 safety violations
Nov. 5, 2020


Mississippi

766 new COVID-19 cases, 13 new deaths reported Wednesday in Mississippi
Nov.4, 2020

1,612 new COVID-19 cases, 8 new deaths reported Thursday in Mississippi
Nov.5, 2020

Coronavirus in Mississippi: 1,612 new cases, 8 deaths Nov. 5
Mississippi reports huge spike in COVID-19 cases at 1,612; 8 deaths also reported Thursday

In Mississippi, more White people now have gotten Covid-19 than African Americans. Attitudes about masks might help explain why, official says - CNN
Oct.23, 2020



Alabama:

Alabama adds 1,300-plus COVID cases since yesterday, nears 200,000 cases

Will Election Day lines impact COVID-19 numbers in Alabama?

Alabama Legislature seeks voice on state mask order

Alabama volunteers needed to test COVID-19 vaccine

Alabama extends mask order through Dec. 11; some restrictions eased

Alabama lifts COVID-19 occupancy limits on businesses

UPDATE: Alabama reports 169,266 confirmed COVID-19 cases statewide, with 4,371 in Lee County | WRBL

Alabama’s ‘safer at home’ order extended to December

Senator: State should help with cost of COVID-19 rules

Mapping Alabama’s 3,000 coronavirus deaths

Alabama coronavirus: Governor Kay Ivey gives update

Coronavirus cases in Alabama takes big 1-day jump, 1,848 new cases added; deaths top 3,000
Nov. 4, 2020

North Alabama prison facility reports 69 new COVID-19 cases
Nov. 3, 2020

Alabama’s COVID deaths were up in October
Nov. 3, 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/10/22/alabama-ainsworth-covid-masks-ltgovernor/
Oct. 22, 2020

 
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The US surpassed 116,000 daily new COVID-19 cases, again breaking the record for highest single-day count


“The Associated Press looked at 376 counties with the highest number of new COVID-19 infections per capita — and found that 93 percent of them went for Trump, a rate above areas that were less severely hit by the virus.“

Counties with surges in COVID-19 cases overwhelmingly voted Trump: report
—-

Austin, TX:
UT students still need COVID test to attend football games as cases in young people surge
—-

9 injured after vehicle crashes into University of Utah COVID-19 testing site
—-







Colorado Department of Public Health & Environment
@CDPHE

·
50m

Sick of COVID-19? We are too, but the virus isn't sick of us. Our case numbers are moving in the wrong direction, and now is the time to make sure we are wearing our masks, physically distancing, keeping our gatherings small and infrequent, and washing our hands. #Covid19Colorado
—-







Colorado Department of Public Health & Environment
@CDPHE

·
1h

COVID-19 case summary for Colorado (Nov 5).


121,006 cases
1,287,081 people tested
1,350 outbreaks
2,353 deaths among cases
2,153 deaths due to COVID-19



Record number of COVID-19 hospitalizations, new cases in Oregon

Sadly, with all that's going on - this barely registered. Nor can anyone explain to us how it is acceptable to have more than 1 million people getting Covid every 9-10 days.

Predictions are that even in wealthier states with lower rates of Covid, hospitals will be overwhelmed around Thanksgiving and increasing into December (with dire consequences for healthcare workers and sick people around Christmas).

Of course, hospitals are already overwhelmed in some places.

Death rates have risen slightly (we're back to 4% dead from Covid - and yet no clear plan on handling this).

And about 10-20% will end up in hospital - based off of 110,000 daily counts, that's an enormous number, completely unmanageable in most places.

We aren't alone though - France is outdoing us.
 
On a light note, I accidentally typed “Ovid” into google-

View attachment 270755

“Publius Ovidius Naso, known as Ovid in the English-speaking world, was a Roman poet who lived during the reign of Augustus. Wikipedia
Born: March 20, 43 BC, Sulmona, Italy
Died: Constanța, Romania
Full name: Publius Ovidius Naso
Poems: P. Ouidii Metamorphosis *advertiser censored* integris ac emendatissimis Raphaelis Regii enarrationibus..., Ars Amatoria, Heroides, Fasti, Remedia Amoris, Medicamina Faciei Femineae, Ibis


Here is a quote from “Ovid” I thought was cool, and seems to speak to me at this moment, thought I’d share. (If too o/t, please delete.) I think we could all probably use some rest, idk.

“Take rest; a field that has rested gives a bountiful crop.“
-
Ovid

Ovid is definitely talking to you (and sends his love).

I think there's hope for America. First of all, we know what to do (staged mitigation and shielding). We've seen places that didn't take it seriously (Arizona) suddenly realize...they had to take it seriously (except for Pima County or where ever it is that Sedona is).

(It's actually in Yavapai - sorry I besmirched Pima County).

Now the question remains: how quickly can we bring the numbers down. Answer: not very quickly. Good news is that if we older people and people with "conditions" stay home for another couple of months, it will help (we'll just increase the death rates if we go out).

I know it's hard. We're all going whacky, but the tide should turn and this time, hopefully all the European nations and North America will learn to pay attention. (Canada is still doing really well - but there are signs that some places in Canada are cracking, too).
 
First, CV19 is a slow-mutating virus.

Second, all the virologists are in agreement that it is so closely related to the bat virus that the chances are something like 1 in 18 trillion that it came from someplace else. It's such a long sequence of bases (think of them as letters - there are 4 letters in the code; we're talking thousands of slots at which 4 different variables could appear (so 4 to the 1000th or higher power). CV-19 is a particularly long RNA virus. The code is random, the mutations started with just 1 mutation, creating 2 "sibling" styles of CV-19 and went from there. Each can be traced back to the original form.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/201...cterization-of-2019-nCoV-Lancet-1-29-2020.pdf

(It's pretty technical stuff, and some of the next citations are even more technical):

Complete Genomic Sequence of Human Coronavirus OC43: Molecular Clock Analysis Suggests a Relatively Recent Zoonotic Coronavirus Transmission Event

Genomic characterization of a novel SARS-CoV-2

I have a metaphor though. If you just started randomly punching at your keyboard (and it has to be totally random, not favoring any part of the keyboard) and you typed say 500,000 letters...that would be the original virus. The next version has a 1 letter change. Obviously, it's very similar to the first.

And so it goes on - each branch related to the prior one by just one change. That's how genetics always works. The difference, for example, between blue eyes and brown eyes is not large - only a few of these bases. And it took thousands of years for that to happen.

Viruses do mutate faster than our own genes, but CV-19 is slower than the flu. Its clock and its structure relate entirely back to a bat virus (with only one section that is a bit mysterious - apparently an insertion from someplace else).

I know that COVID has been mutating slowly in humans and that they are tracking the mutations carefully- there is a web site that has data on that. I believe that they were suggesting it might mutate more rapidly in bats- supposedly took a long time to trace the original SARS to the source but we have more tech now every year and more information with so many researchers working on this. I thought the NPR presentations said that the suspect bat virus was 4% different than the human version in China, but they still could not quite "connect the dots."
 
Covid-19: How a 'warm vaccine' could help India tackle coronavirus
(@dixiegirl1035)

“In India's boiling summers, temperatures can easily rise to 50C (122F).

Nearly all vaccines need to be transported and distributed between 2C and 8C in what comprises the so-called cold chain. And most of the Covid-19 vaccines under development, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO), will need to be refrigerated at temperatures well below 0C, the freezing point of water.

Imagine a Covid-19 vaccine that is heat tolerant and can be transported to remote towns and villages for tens of millions of jabs without depending on the cold chain.

A group of Indian scientists are working on such a vaccine. The "warm" or a heat-stable vaccine, they claim, can be stored at 100C for 90 minutes, at 70C for about 16 hours, and at 37C for more than a month and more.“
 
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I've been busy this week studying those "other state counts" but now see that we are at 115,000+ cases today. That's nuts! Did testing increase after 11/3? Texas in particular looks to have spiked, though Thursday's numbers always seem to be among the worst.

Testing is almost entirely reserved for people with symptoms heading into the hospital at this point. So it's serious.

As Fauci and others predicted (he relies on expert virologists and epidemiologists), we're going even higher before people get the message. We could go very, very high in the next month. Like 200,000 a day. Hopefully not - hopefully people are paying attention, staying home, wearing masks.
 
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