Coronavirus Global Health Emergency, 2019-nCoV

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Infections from China's coronavirus have spread to more than 8100 people globally, surpassing the SARS epidemic's total.
A ninth person has been diagnosed with the deadly coronavirus in Australia, with four cases in NSW, three in Victoria and two in Queensland.
China coronavirus cases surpass SARS as ninth Aussie diagnosed
That is a misleading way to state the number. Almost all of those cases are within China. The way it states "8100 people globally" makes it sound like thousands of people across the world are infected, when that is not accurate. Thousands within China are affected with smaller numbers in other countries reported, the highest being 14 cases in Thailand.

Watch out for fear-mongering. It's possible to be serious about the situation and accurate at the same time.

jmo
 
Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
30 January 2020
Statement
Geneva, Switzerland

“The second meeting of the Emergency Committee convened by the WHO Director-General under the International Health Regulations (IHR) (2005) regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV in the People’s Republic of China, with exportations to other countries, took place on Thursday, 30 January 2020, from 13:30 to 18:35 Geneva time (CEST). The Committee’s role is to give advice to the Director-General, who makes the final decision on the determination of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). The Committee also provides public health advice or suggests formal Temporary Recommendations as appropriate.”

—-

“There are now 7711 confirmed and 12167 suspected cases throughout the country. Of the confirmed cases, 1370 are severe and 170 people have died. 124 people have recovered and been discharged from hospital.

The WHO Secretariat provided an overview of the situation in other countries. There are now 82 cases in 18 countries. Of these, only 7 had no history of travel in China. There has been human-to-human transmission in 3 countries outside China. One of these cases is severe and there have been no deaths.”

[...]

“This second meeting takes place in view of significant increases in numbers of cases and additional countries reporting confirmed cases.”
 
From 2017 about the current head of W.H.O.

Candidate to Lead the W.H.O. Accused of Covering Up Epidemics

A leading candidate to head the World Health Organization was accused this week of covering up three cholera epidemics in his home country, Ethiopia, when he was health minister — a charge that could seriously undermine his campaign to run the agency.

Candidate to Lead the W.H.O. Accused of Covering Up Epidemics
 
“The Committee believes that it is still possible to interrupt virus spread, provided that countries put in place strong measures to detect disease early, isolate and treat cases, trace contacts, and promote social distancing measures commensurate with the risk. It is important to note that as the situation continues to evolve, so will the strategic goals and measures to prevent and reduce spread of the infection. The Committee agreed that the outbreak now meets the criteria for a Public Health Emergency of International Concern and proposed the following advice to be issued as Temporary Recommendations.

The Committee emphasized that the declaration of a PHEIC should be seen in the spirit of support and appreciation for China, its people, and the actions China has taken on the frontlines of this outbreak, with transparency, and, it is to be hoped, with success. In line with the need for global solidarity, the committee felt that a global coordinated effort is needed to enhance preparedness in other regions of the world that may need additional support for that.”

[...]

“To all countries
It is expected that further international exportation of cases may appear in any country. Thus, all countries should be prepared for containment, including active surveillance, early detection, isolation and case management, contact tracing and prevention of onward spread of 2019-nCoV infection, and to share full data with WHO. Technical advice is available on the WHO website.

Countries are reminded that they are legally required to share information with WHO under the IHR (2005).

Countries should place particular emphasis on reducing human infection, prevention of secondary transmission and international spread, and contributing to the international response though multi-sectoral communication and collaboration and active participation in increasing knowledge on the virus and the disease, as well as advancing research.

The Committee acknowledged that, in general, evidence has shown that restricting the movement of people and goods during public health emergencies may be ineffective and may divert resources from other interventions. Further, restrictions may interrupt needed aid and technical support, may disrupt businesses, and may have negative effects on the economies of countries affected by the emergencies.

However, in certain specific circumstances, measures that restrict the movement of people may prove temporarily useful, such as in settings with limited response capacities and capabilities, or where there is high intensity of transmission among vulnerable populations.

In such situations, countries should perform risk and cost-benefit analyses before implementing such restrictions to assess whether the benefits would outweigh the drawbacks. Countries must inform WHO about any travel measures taken, as required by the IHR. Countries are cautioned against actions that promote stigma or discrimination, in line with the principles of Article 3 of the IHR.

The Committee asked the Director-General to provide further advice on these matters and, if necessary, to make new case-by-case recommendations, in view of this rapidly evolving situation.”

Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
 
IMO at this point casual contact I'm not really concerned about with good hygiene practice. Direct contact yes. If I was living with someone who had it.
 
“To the global community
As this is a new coronavirus, and it has been previously shown that similar coronaviruses required substantial efforts to enable regular information sharing and research, the global community should continue to demonstrate solidarity and cooperation, in compliance with Article 44 of the IHR (2005), in supporting each other on the identification of the source of this new virus, its full potential for human-to-human transmission, preparedness for potential importation of cases, and research for developing necessary treatment.

Provide support to low- and middle-income countries to enable their response to this event, as well as to facilitate access to diagnostics, potential vaccines and therapeutics.

Under Article 43 of the IHR, States Parties implementing additional health measures that significantly interfere with international traffic (refusal of entry or departure of international travellers, baggage, cargo, containers, conveyances, goods, and the like, or their delay, for more than 24 hours) are obliged to send to WHO the public health rationale and justification within 48 hours of their implementation. WHO will review the justification and may request countries to reconsider their measures. WHO is required to share with other States Parties the information about measures and the justification received.

The Emergency Committee will be reconvened within three months or earlier, at the discretion of the Director-General.

The Director-General thanked the Committee for its work.“

Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
 
Just saw an interesting question in the comments of another site.

The person was asking about the mortality rate and we were told so far it is a really small mortality rate as compared to total confirmed cases, but if they are keeping track of all the confirmed cases till either a person recovers or dies, then when we look at just the recovered VS dead, the mortality rate seems much higher.

Right now from the link below the total number of dead = 171

Total number of recovered = 143

If those are the only two results (either recovered or dead), then why wouldnt the Mortality Rate be more like 50% mortality rate?

The only thing I can think of is of the 8,235 confirmed cases right now, some people must be recovering and are not tracked till the end or maybe they are still sick ?

It does seem like people get really sick from this so maybe it takes a long time to get well so maybe they are still monitoring a lot of the 8,000 people.

IMO, I think getting this virus would be really bad just from being sick with it, even if you dont perish. It sounds pretty bad and from some of the pictures of the ill in the hospital some of them look very ill so getting sick with it seems pretty bad to me.

Operations Dashboard for ArcGIS

I’m pretty sure that any information regarding mortality rates at this point are based on educated guesses. Because I believe you’re correct that in calculating mortality rates, it’s a direct comparison of deaths versus recovery.
With this being a new virus with limited data and with so many confirmed cases still pending final outcome, there’s just not enough data for a conclusive rate.
MOO
 
Thailand - 14 cases of infection
Japan - 11
Hong Kong - 10
Singapore - 10
Taiwan - 8
Australia - 7
Malaysia - 7
Macau - 7
France - 6
United States - 6
South Korea - 4
Germany - 4
United Arab Emirates - 4
Canada - 3
Vietnam - 2
India - 1
Philippines - 1
Nepal - 1
Cambodia - 1
Sri Lanka - 1
Finland - 1
Tibet - 1

Coronavirus Live Updates: W.H.O. Declares a Global Health Emergency

Tibet reported its first confirmed case. This means that all of China’s provinces and territories have now been touched by the outbreak.
 
China is reportedly cremating bodies in secret as the number of coronavirus patients soars past 7,000,

The superbug has now infected more people in China than SARS, which caused chaos in the country in 2002, with 5,327 confirmed cases.

Despite 7,771 people being diagnosed with the illness in China, only 170 people have died - less than half that of SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

William Yang, a reporter for Deutsche-Welle, claims China is concealing the real number of deaths by sending people to crematoriums without identifying them.

He tweeted: "Credible Chinese media outlet @initiumnews interviewed people working at local cremation centers, confirming that many dead bodies were sent directly from the hospitals to the cremation centers without properly identifying these patients, which means there are patients who died from the virus but not adding to the official record.

China is 'cremating bodies in secret' as coronavirus death toll reaches 170
 
I’m pretty sure that any information regarding mortality rates at this point are based on educated guesses. Because I believe you’re correct that in calculating mortality rates, it’s a direct comparison of deaths versus recovery.
With this being a new virus with limited data and with so many confirmed cases still pending final outcome, there’s just not enough data for a conclusive rate.
MOO

I totally agree.
The numbers are changing so fast and Im sure they are just now getting a handle on how to accurately report and track cases to the very end (either recovered or died). Its pretty complicated when you think about all the different provinces and cities having to report their counts into one central place that can give accurate statistics. It may be a week or two before we really can get an accurate mortality rate.

Im sure there are a few "Hanging Chads" that are misconstruing the numbers right now. :)
 
I must say, following this thread, that the MSM out of UK including the SUN and the Mirror and Daily Mail to me are so strange and inflammatory, all the reports here from them on this dire event seem like the Enquirer is in the US which I see on newstands. Tabloid press MOO

The more I read them, the more that I think of salacious rags.

No offense intended, yet their reports are so.................well, great for tabloids and Harry and Meghan stuff, but are they the recognized ones in UK for , or what do they have over there that does other stuff than such?

What is the MSM in UK that y'all follow that is different from those for your global hard hitting news?
 
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