I understand that there has to be a lot of legal mumbo jumbo and did A kill B but intend to kill C, etc., etc.. But, what it all boils down to, IMO, is did Oscar know that it was Reeva in the toilet or not when he was shooting into the toilet room?
For that, it's necessary to take into account all the evidence in the case, including forensics, witnesses, Oscar's testimony, and all other evidence.
I find it almost impossible to believe that he did not know that it was Reeva who was in the toilet room.
I can see exactly where you're coming from.
Naturally, the legal pundits are focusing on error of law in relation to eventualis, but this, of course, does not preclude mistake of fact in respect of directus. And I really can't see how a finding of eventualis would have satisfied Reeva's parents either.
I - like so many of us - was completely deflated when Masipa ruled each and everyone of the State's 'scream' witnesses to be unreliable because, despite the absence of a State timeline, I'd hoped she'd be as convinced by the oral evidence as I was.
The tone of the Judgement suggests to me that Masipa was anticipating and seeking to deflect criticism from the State by including statements to the effect of: 'I gave you a chance to contradict the Defence's timeline, but you didn't take it. You also failed to contradict the Defence's assertion that the shots came before the batstrikes...' (Apologies for paraphrasing, but I'm unable to copy and paste from the judgement).
Masipa goes onto say that it is 'significant' that, although the State introduced most of the timelines, it was the Defence that analysed them and 'addressed the Court on each....'.
So, I think she knew that there was another story to be told, but she accepted the Defence's timeline because, in the absence of a written timeline from the State, she simply couldn't reconcile the State's witness evidence with the Defence's timeline.
Had she been absolutely determined to get to the bottom of things, she could have asked Nel to produce his own timeline, but, unfortunately, this didn't happen and, presumably, Nel thought he'd done enough to convince her, given also the evidence of Prof Saayman and OP himself.
I definitely think that Roux and his team read Masipa better than Nel did.
And, just to clarify, I'm not talking about the failure to establish premeditation, but the failure to prove directus without premeditation.