I believe the father.
http://www.news4jax.com/video/18684460/index.html
In this interview, especially part two, he does not talk about her in past tense. He says things like "I love her, she is so well mannered, she is afraid of the dark, she is such a good girl" etc. The only thing he says that is really questionable, IMO is "I'd give my life to have my child's life back" but I think he meant "to have my child back" and I chalk it up to grief. At first I found this suspicious, but after watching the rest of the interview, he didn't mix tenses again, his eyelids are VISIBLY swollen, his faces reddens and tenses, tears actually fall, and you can't fake congestion like that from crying...he also subconsciously seems to wipe his nose on his hand. Not like a guilty way of touching ones face, as you'd expect from someone lying, like staged or primping way (ala Casey Anthony) but as someone who is unconsciously doing it as a physical reaction from crying...
Also, notice how his tone changes when he starts to talk about the girlfriend, and what he came home to... like he resents her for this happening. I'm not saying she's guilty of anything, I'm just saying his tone changes.
The only things that threw me off at first ares the word "stolen" and "my child". Stolen comes off as if someone stole a possession, and "my child" the same way...it's like we're not being introduced to her. It sounds like he feels guilty for being at work while she was taken, because he seems to justify being at work to himself while she was taken ("I was just trying to make a honest living to support her, because I have custody of her.") This might sound suspicious at first, like he's shifting the focus to him, but he actually takes responsibility by saying he has custody. He knows he's charged with her care. Unlike, (not to beat a dead horse) but Casey Anthony who swears she was with a nanny. Casey left Caylee in someone ELSE'S care.
Just my two cents. I follow A LOT of statement wording/body language/microexpression books/websites, etc, but I'm
obviously by no means an expert...or even close. Just an enthusiast
All things considered, I believe him. I know a lot of people thought he sounded dramatic and forced, but after watching that interview in its entirety, I think he is really grief stricken.
