Couple of things stand out to me...
1) It appears that the video where LE saw Maddie in the car was when HE was discarding her belongings in the dumpster. I was thinking it was a different video from a different time. (I really need to listen to that new video. I'm behind and trying to catch up on this thread.)
2) He also threw away a tire? I'm guessing it was his flat thinking he didn't want it to match tire tracks.... but did he not think that his car has FOUR tires, and they can do a match with the other 3? LOL
Boy, dude isn't real smart. JMO if that wasn't obvious!