My Theory:
The Gilgo Beach 4 were murdered by Unsub. The time frame matches and the modus operandi is identical.
Unidentified Asian Male was also murdered by Unsub, even though Asian Male was not strangled but was murdered by blunt force trauma to the head.
My theory regarding Unidentified Asian Male is that he was the first to meet with Unsub in 2006. Unsub realizes Unidentified Asian male is a transvestite, and in a fit of rage beats him to death as opposed to strangling him.
Maureen Brainard-Barnes meets and is killed by Unsub in 2007.
Unsub has a traumatic or life changing event in 2008, i.e. loss of close relative or friend, injury, incarceration, relocation, etc..
Melissa Barthelemy meets and is killed by Unsub in 2009.
Megan Waterman meets and is killed by Unsub in June 2010.
Amber Lynn Costello meets and is killed by Unsub in September 2010.
The victim's remains are discovered is December 2010, and Unsub stops using Ocean Parkway to dump his victims.
Unsub is still killing and using a different area to dump his victims.
My psychological profile of Unsub partially based on the FBI profile:
a. He is a white male in his mid-30s to mid-late-40s.
b. He is financially secure.
c. He lives now or used to live on or near Ocean Parkway on the South Shore of Long Island.
d. He had a domineering mother.
e. He has relatives or close friends who are in law enforcement.
f. He has a summer job that allows him to commute between Long Island & New York City.
g. He has an explosive temper and a history of violent episodes.
h. He has a history of drug abuse.
i. He dabbles in the occult.
j. He has a criminal record.
k. He is very charming and attractive to women, especially those of the victims age group.
l. He suffers from limerence and has a history of heartbreaking relationships with women.
m. The victims remind him of a woman from a past heartbreaking relationship.
o. He was familiar to Megan Waterman and Amber Lynn Costello prior to the night he murdered them.
I saw this post by a member called inspctrgadget in the thread “Victim - Amber Lynn Costello”.
If anyone can ascertain the times or approximate times of the phone calls from Unsub to Amber Lynn Costello on the night of her disappearance, using this idea we could create a perimeter of the possible location of where Unsub lived in September 2010.
“This might be a long shot, but worth thinking about.
According to Dave Schaller, Amber received multiple calls on the day she disappeared. The last call came at 10:30 and she walked out "moments later".
So assume for a second that the serial killer called from his cell phone and said "I'm down the block - come meet me".
Now, assume for a second that the serial killer's previous call was made from his home. If we knew exactly what time the second-to-last call from Amber's phone, we could:
- estimate the SK's travel time taking into account the time it takes to put shoes on, get out to his car, traffic conditions at 10PM that night, local speed limits, highway vs. local miles, etc.
- determine the distance traveled by the SK (the radius)
- plot the circumference on a map, with the center being Amber's house on America Ave. in West Babylon
The serial killer should live somewhere on the perimeter of the circle, assuming our assumption was correct. Probably the closer the time period between the last call and the call just prior, the more accurate this method would be.
Does anyone remember Dave Schaller or Kim Overstreet mentioning anything about the timing of the last 2 calls?”
The Belt Evidence:
Unsub's initials could possibly be HM or MH, depending on which way the belt buckle was aligned.
Please let me know what you think. I would be happy to discuss any aspect of this theory or profile in more detail.