Known evidence that she made it back to the house:
- Two second hand accounts of what people say LE told them
Known evidence that she was abducted on a jog/walk:
- LE says that she was last seen jogging and had no further communication after that
- Earbuds, Fitbit, phone and running clothes are only items missing from the house which are all what she typically brought with her when jogging. Items that she may take if she left to go somewhere else after returning (ID/wallet) were still there.
I'd add in the fact that the dogs were put away in the basement as a piece of evidence supporting something happened on a jog/walk. It doesn't support that directly, but it supports the idea that she was not in the house when whatever happened happened and likely left the house on her own accord. She could have left to meet someone she knew or something like that, but I'd point back to the fact that the only items missing were things she typically took with her when jogging.
To me it's pretty clear which one makes the most sense, but I understand it that a lot of us get entrenched in our theories and don't want to back off. We aren't going to know 100% for certain unless LE tells us, but I know which one of those looks more probable.
- Two second hand accounts of what people say LE told them
Known evidence that she was abducted on a jog/walk:
- LE says that she was last seen jogging and had no further communication after that
- Earbuds, Fitbit, phone and running clothes are only items missing from the house which are all what she typically brought with her when jogging. Items that she may take if she left to go somewhere else after returning (ID/wallet) were still there.
I'd add in the fact that the dogs were put away in the basement as a piece of evidence supporting something happened on a jog/walk. It doesn't support that directly, but it supports the idea that she was not in the house when whatever happened happened and likely left the house on her own accord. She could have left to meet someone she knew or something like that, but I'd point back to the fact that the only items missing were things she typically took with her when jogging.
To me it's pretty clear which one makes the most sense, but I understand it that a lot of us get entrenched in our theories and don't want to back off. We aren't going to know 100% for certain unless LE tells us, but I know which one of those looks more probable.