I had had it with attempting to sleuth this case after the most recent presser but, true to form, I could not just drop it so I reviewed some things...
'She hated to be sad and hated others to be sad': Brotherly love for missing sister
bbm
Laura Calderwood was just getting back from an early morning of thinking about what else she could do to find her daughter.
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last seen taking an evening run on July 18. Her longtime boyfriend,
Dalton Jack, said he received a Snapchat at nearly 10 p.m., and it looked as if she was in a home. She never answered text messages after that.
The frustrating part for Calderwood is that
agents are telling her they have few clues.
“A DCI agent told us she had been in this
23 years and this is the only case where there was nothing to go on,” Calderwood said.
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She [MT's mother] took a call from an
agent who was trying to determine if Mollie was in a home at 9:45 p.m., “and that was with my morning coffee.”
Snapchat collects various information from its users; this is the relevant point:
- how you communicate with other Snapchatters, such as their names, the time and date of your communications, the number of messages you exchange with your friends, which friends you exchange messages with the most, and your interactions with messages (such as when you open a message or capture a screenshot).
And Snapchat's default Delete policy:
In most cases, opened Snaps are automatically deleted once they have been viewed or have expired. Also, any unopened Snaps are deleted after 30 days.
We may comfortably assume LE has obtained MT's and DJ' communication information from Snapchat but are unable to view the Snapchat content. MT's snap was deleted after DJ viewed it.
With all that, we may safely conclude:
The previously reported "10:00 pm" time regarding the Snapchat DJ either 'received' or 'viewed' was likely
sent by MT @ 9:45 pm. An agent called MT's mother to determine if MT was in "a home" at that time (curious: "
a home", not "
your home").
That was LE constructing pieces of their "accurate timeline".
We also may comfortably assume if MT had appeared as under duress (in uncomfortable presence of a perp) at the time the Snapchat image was captured and sent I believe DJ would have raised a red flag when he viewed the image.
IMO:
MT had not gone 'missing' until after 9:45 pm July 18.
If MT wears her Fitbit to bed and has it set to record inactivity/sleep time then LE likely knows MT's activity after 9:45 pm... assuming that information was synced to MT's phone and uploaded to Fitbit servers.
And this...
Authorities search hog farm in Guernsey for Mollie Tibbetts
Iowa DCI agent Mitch Mortvedt has confirmed to KCCI that authorities searched
several places including a hog farm
near Guernsey for 20-year-old Mollie Tibbetts.
Guernsey is about a 15 minute drive from her hometown of Brooklyn.
Mortvedt said the searches yielded no results.
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Authorities have recently
received information from Fitbit, but they haven't shared what they learned from that information yet.
Guernsey is ~11 miles from Brooklyn, the hog farm was likely closer but not necessarily by enough to support a jog route so why would LE search that far out?
This...
Hog farm searched, nothing found from Mollie Tibbetts
1. Investigators have been following up leads and conducting searches on a few properties the past 24 hours [July 25-26]. They haven't found any traces of Mollie.
2. These searches have not required a search warrant; folks are voluntarily allowing police on to their properties.
3. DCI would not confirm which hog farm was searched.
4. Mollie's Fitbit data is still being examined by investigators. They have not found her Fitbit.
This confirms in my mind that MT's Fitbit data placed the device(s) in the locations of the farm and other ~nearby properties... I see no other reason for LE to search very specific location
s (plural) within a 24-hour period. They had to be going on hard data.
At that time LE focused on locations ~south of Brooklyn.
Given all of the above, IMO:
• LE knows when MT sent the Snapchat to DJ (9:45 pm). LE believes MT was not in duress at that time.
• LE knows when MT left the "home" where the Snapchat image was captured as per Fitbit data.
• Fitbit data led LE to search various properties southward from Brooklyn.
• LE knows when the Fitbit data feed was cut off. MT and Fitbit not found to date.
• LE regrouped and retraced their search steps by going back to the corn fields bordering Brooklyn.
• LE gave a mostly non-relevant presser, although IMO body language and hesitations bolster the theory that LE was able to build the timeline to a certain point... and no farther. They're still reviewing SM data, working tips gathered thus far and awaiting for that one tip that would lead them in the next proper direction.