If - if, and deep inside this is not how I view him - but if indeed he is from the US and escaped to the US, then he will never get back to Japan. If so, he is the biggest danger for the people in the US, and maybe, in some countries he can visit. But this is very hypothetical and tbh, I read different world articles about it - the version that he is from US base is by far not on top of the list.
RSBM: Charlot, respectfully, everything is hypothetical. Which list exactly do you refer to? Which would be the prevailing version? Which is the 'most likely'? If the TMPD cannot say which theory is the most likely, then nor can you or I. That the crime took place in Japan makes the killer likely Japanese has logic to it. But then again, this isn't a numbers game. This is one man. Given the circumstances around him, I think the argument that he
isn't Japanese is equally sound. You may not view him as American but I do. Neither holds more weight. But there is absolutely no 'list' of more or less likely theories here. (I exclude the ideas of Ichihashi here which are unfailingly garbage and, I would add, espoused for profit without any kind of consideration for Setsuko Miyazawa et al. Or, to put another way, the only theory which made Chief Tsuchita laugh out loud then shake his head).
So let’s assume that it was someone from the base who later returned back. The Miyazawas deserve justice, but don’t we, living in the US, deserve safety?
Of course, Americans deserve safety. Who doesn't? But this killer, as far as we know, has never struck again anywhere on earth. Whether he's dead or simply has never re-offended, the past 24 years
suggest that he's unlikely to murder again. Then again, if safety from violent crime were the overarching concern, then why live in America and not Iceland?
I don’t believe that this guy just did it once. He either is on high doses of medications and shouldn’t ever stop, or he still does something very cruel, but quietly.
Speculation on my part but I do happen to believe he never acted out again. As per FACELESS, this is supported by the multiple experts I spoke to. The idea that once a killer kills, he'll always kill again--is not supported by reality. For every Ted Bundy, there are thousands of secret murderers, mowing their lawns, nodding to their neighbours in the morning. And it follows, half of homicides go unsolved each year in the US.
So the amount of anger from the US citizens if it is found out that 1) he is American and 2) that he did it here, too, I can’t even fathom. People of Japan are more placid, maybe it is Buddhism or Shinto that helps. But can you imagine the reaction here? Especially if he killed someone before or after that stay. I can’t even imagine.
There are 127 million people in Japan. The crime-rate is lower, yes. But I don't put much stock in blanket statements about an entire populace. Moreover, I think the idea that there would be one iota of outrage compared to what we'd see back in Japan is just plain wrong. The outrage would be for multiple reasons, too. In 2021, some 25,000 Americans were murdered by gun alone. In Japan that same year the figure was below 300, taking into account all methods. So ignoring the sociopolitics, the history, the fact that this one of Japan's most notorious crimes (whereas most Americans have never even heard of it), just by the numbers alone, I strongly disagree.
So - I don’t care how they handle the political angle, but our respected bodies dealing with the allegations should rule out the possibility of the perpetrator living in the US. For us. It is not that difficult.
But clearly it is that difficult or it would've been done by now. And it's all well and good to ignore politics but it doesn't mean they vanish. Or, if we flip this around, why haven't the TMPD investigated and eliminated this angle?
