1. Incorrect. "Reasonable doubt" and "reasonable degree of certainty" mean the same. A "reasonable degree of certainty" simply substitutes "degree of certainty" for "doubt".
2. You're correct in saying that the degree of certainty is up to the individual. However, you are incorrect in your belief that in a criminal trial this degree of certainty is spelled out in jury instructions or elsewhere stated.
3.Regarding "accumulating" circumstantial evidence, independent items of circumstance evidence that have a reliability factor of less than 100% are not additive. For example, if one item of circumstantial evidence is deemed to be 90% reliable (9 times out of 10) as regards evidence supporting proof of guilt and a second item of circumstantial evidence is deemed to be 70% reliable (7 times out of 10) as regards evidence supporting of proof of guilt, a juror can't add the 90% and the 70% and then use the sum of 160% to say that because 160% is beyond a 100%, the sum proves the defendant is absolutely guilty.
4.As for what I said that you bolded, that's basic applied logic -- the reliability of an inferred conclusion cannot exceed the reliability of its premises. Statutes are not written to address such basics.
(The reliability of the conclusion cannot exceed the reliability of the best evidence.)
Numbers added in red to facilitate reply.
Once again,
please cite your reference(s) so that we may all see the context. Otherwise, I cannot agree with the inferences you drew therefrom.
1. If one adds 'beyond' as in, '
beyond a reasonable doubt' equates reasonable certainty, you'd be correct. Perhaps it was a typo but I felt it should be clarified.
2. Again, I disagree. I think the standard jury instructions are pretty clear and there will no doubt be amendments to make it even more clear. Marspiter was kind enough to post portions of standard jury instructions for all of us here in several posts but
here is the link to the full chapter from the Florida Supreme Court. One may download the entire thing in pdf or Word for future reference. Hope this helps explain. For example, as has been previously posted, you'll notice in section 3.7 the following passage:
"
A reasonable doubt is not a mere possible doubt, a speculative, imaginary or forced doubt. Such a doubt must not influence you to return a verdict of not guilty if you have an abiding conviction of guilt. On the other hand, if, after carefully considering, comparing and weighing all the evidence, there is not an abiding conviction of guilt, or, if, having a conviction, it is one which is not stable but one which wavers and vacillates, then the charge is not proved beyond every reasonable doubt and you must find the defendant not guilty because the doubt is reasonable.
It is to the evidence introduced in this trial, and to it alone, that you are to look for that proof.
A reasonable doubt as to the guilt of the defendant may arise from the evidence, conflict in the evidence, or the lack of evidence.
If you have a reasonable doubt, you should find the defendant not guilty. If you have no reasonable doubt, you should find the defendant guilty."
(emphasis added)
I find those instructions perfectly clear and apparently so has the panel that wrote and approved them. That they continue to be used speaks to the clarity and effectiveness so I must disagree with your personal opinion of these instructions. In court it is the legal opinion that matters.
3.
Please cite your source for these statements because they seem counterintuitive to what I know of criminal law. Although admittedly no expert and having little interest in criminal law, due to the circumstances I'd be interested to see what treatise, paper, statute, opinion or other writing supports your opinion because if read in context, we may all be able to adopt the same opinion. However, as posted, out of context, it seems to contradict what has been approved and adopted by the Florida Supreme Court and other references cited throughout this thread.
4. What I bolded indicated there must be a single "smoking gun" and I disagree with this logic as it flies in the face of any circumstantial case. For example, even DNA is not a convincing single piece of evidence without other evidence to support it, much, if not all, of the time. DNA in the case of a suspected rape may be the result of consensual sex and should be assumed to be the cause if there is not
other evidence which renders this unlikely or impossible, such as the defendant's admission they had never met the victim and had never had any contact with the victim. Bye bye consensual.
Perhaps I am just misunderstanding the point you are trying to make. Are you really suggesting there must be one (1) single piece of inculpatory evidence? For your convenience, here is an excerpt from your original post:
By Wudge: "In Casey's case, is there any single piece of inculpatory evidence that meets or exceeds this "reasonable degree of certainty"?
(The reliability of an inferred conclusion of "guilty" cannot exceed the reliability of the most inculpatory item of evidence.)"
Surely you can see how I could have misunderstood. I'll bet others may have also. Perhaps if you rephrase, we can come to an understanding that makes sense to all of us. It is not my intent to argue this, I'm trying to understand your position(s). TIA