If I were in Warren, Massachusetts at Commins Pond and I was trying an amateur web sleuth experiment concerning this case, this is what I would try to do. It does not prove anything, but sometimes running scenarios through can help lead to questions that need to be answered.
You get at least 5 or 6 officers and tell them to position themselves on the hillside behind where Commins Pond beach is as if they were the abductor waiting for Molly Bish. The reason you need 5 or 6 is because you have no idea where the abductor is going to be located on the hillside waiting for Molly Bish. You also have no idea what part of the beach Molly Bish will choose to stop and set up her lifeguard station. At the time of the abduction there was not a big lifeguard chair there at Commins Pond(according to old video).
Then you get 2 other officers pretending to be Molly Bish and her mother. In order to get the timing as accurate as possible, it would help to have her mother's input, but nonetheless you can still run the experiment. The officer pretending to be Molly Bish would get out and do the same things as Molly Bish and start walking towards the beach area.
The scenarios to be tested out:
1. First ask each of the officers on the hillside if they can see Molly Bish's car when it arrives and when it leaves? Second, tell each of the officers to start walking down the hill the moment the officer pretending to be Molly Bish comes into their view? Have the officer pretending to be Molly Bish go through the same motions and set up the lifeguard stuff up until the point the officer coming down the hill arrives at the spot on the beach the lifeguard stuff was set up. Was everything able to be set up by the time the officer from the top of the hill arrives at the lifeguard location?
2. Run the same experiment, but this time tell the officers on the hillside to wait to move until the lawn chair is set up by the officer pretending to be Molly Bish. Then see how far into the lifeguard setup the officer pretending to be Molly Bish gets before someone arrives at the lifeguard station.
The one question to ask the officer pretending to be Molly Bish afterwards is when could you spot someone coming down the hill out of your peripheral vision?
I know that the answer to all of this could be that the abductor simply watched and waited for some reason, maybe because they thought Molly Bish's mother might still be there and come out onto the beach after what happened the day before.
But if it were the person in the white car that was seen the day before in the Commins Pond parking lot wouldn't they have taken that into consideration? Why not setup the abduction to happen at 10:15am instead of 10am to arrive at the path in the cemetery to make sure her mother is gone, and Molly Bish is sitting facing towards the water?
So, your last couple of (great) posts have got me thinking about the abduction phase of this case. I'll respond to a few points below:
1 - In terms of why the offender would need a rouse (such as feigning an injury), I think it simply comes down to getting access to Bish. There would always be a risk that she would see him approaching and be spooked. If the suspect was the same male who her mother saw the day before, we have to bear in mind he doesn't know what conversation Bish and her mother had about him, but we do know he noticed her mother staring back at him. He was likely on guard and didn't want to spook Bish. Feigning injury would likely cause Bish to be a little more open to allowing him to approach her and get up close. It could even be something as simple as it's just what the offender planned to do.
2 - I don't believe the offender parked in the main car park for Commis Pond. If the suspect was the same male as the day before (which IMO it was), he knows that he risks being spotted by Bish's mother again. Or, indeed, anybody else who may arrive early. Bish's mother did not report seeing anybody strange in the car park on the day of the abduction, or on the journey to and from the pool. Given the incident the day before, had she seen the same vehicle or male, I think she would have noticed this. I think it makes sense that the suspect parked in the cemetery car park.
3 - From satellite view, the pond seems to have 3 distinct beach areas in and around where Bish was abducted from. It would make sense for her to sit one of the 2 beaches to the right. These are the largest areas and also have the best view of the pond. If she was sat here, then she would almost certainly have had a view of anybody approaching from the cemetery path. This takes me back to point 1 and the need for the suspect to have some kind of rouse.
For what it's worth, I've listened to a few podcasts about this case now and read quite a bit about it. The below is just my own opinion on what may have happened. It would be interesting to hear anybody's thoughts.
For the reasons I've outlined above I think the offender approached from the cemetery path. He approaches Bish, who by now has just sat down in her chair and is relaxing before families start to arrive. He approaches her pretending to have a medical problem, causing her to bend down and open the first aid kit. She was not attacked there - there were no signs of a disturbance and no blood etc., but I do believe that he likely pulled out a gun (or another weapon, but most likely a firearm), and threatened her with it. It would have been completely impractical for her to be carried up the path, and also risky, so I think he made her walk there under the threat of violence/being shot. Once at his vehicle, I believe he likely restrained her using some form of binding - to not do so would be very risky as she would have been able to assault him or try to exit the vehicle whilst he was driving. Therefore, it makes sense to me that she was bound and places in the trunk of the vehicle or the rear seats. She was then transported to Whiskey Hill where she was likely sexually assaulted and murdered.
I would be interested to know anybody's thoughts on the above
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