Maddie McCann case: International poll by Focus
61% say that they are guilty
an article by: João Vasco Almeida
The first international poll about the Maddie case, done by Focus, reveals that both Portuguese and British are certain that Kate and Gerry McCann are guilty over their daughters disappearance. Concerning the little girls destiny, the numbers are even colder: She is dead.
The number is crushing: more than two thirds of the British and the Portuguese population blame the McCann couple for the disappearance of their daughter Madeleine, aged three, on the 3rd of May 2008 [sic], from an apartment in Praia da Luz, in the Algarve. An opinion poll that was commended to Eurosondagem by Portuguese Focus, and carried out in Portugal, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland leaves no margin for doubts. Despite the behavioural and cultural differences, the majority of populations replies affirmatively to two of the most direct questions of this inedited poll.
Nevertheless, when the numbers are evaluated according to nationalities, it becomes clear that in Portugal the blame that is popularly attributed to the McCanns rises to 77.5 percent. This means that only 22% of the population still believes that the Scottish couple has no responsibility in the disappearance of their eldest daughter.
The British, on the other hand, are divided, although the majority agrees with the Portuguese. The majority, 44.6 percent, states without a doubt that doctors Kate and Gerry are guilty over the disappearance of little Maddie.
The first question of the poll is unequivocal. In both countries, all the persons say that they know what happened on the 3rd of May. This means that it is not necessary to explain the McCann couples drama to anyone. Everyone, really everyone knows.
What divides the Portuguese and the British is the belief in Maddies destiny. While in Portugal it is believed that the child is dead, far away there is a hope that she is well. The abduction theory collects the sympathy of 72.9 percent of the British, against only 11 percent that sustain the death theory. But it is significant that 15 percent of the British wish to reply I dont know to the question concerning the cause of the disappearance.
Q1. Did you hear about the disappearance of an English child, on holidays in the Algarve, during the summer of 2007?
Portugal Yes: 100%
United Kingdom Yes: 100%
Yes: 100%*
Everyone knows
The disappearance of Madeleine McCann is the most covered event by the entire media in 2007 and 2008. There is no disaster, no attack or political subject that surpasses the media treatment that was given to the case of the little British girl in the media. As an example, there are one and a half million internet pages that are dedicated to the disappearance of the little British child. Sky News, an English television station, broadcast more than one thousand hours, dedicated to the case. In the four Portuguese channels, the number attains almost three thousand hours, with news, debates and special programmes. All the national newspapers, both in Portugal and in the UK, placed the case on their front cover hundreds of times. During the first few days, no element of the media in the whole world ignored the case, with news being published from Germany to Zimbabwe. It is even more interesting to know that for the same news item, like the possible sighting of the girl in Amsterdam, there are 1553 different texts in English, ranging from the BBC to the Public Australian Radio.
More than news, there are already four books about the Madeleine case, three essays and one work of fiction, which together sold, and only in Portugal, almost 200 thousand copies. The champion of sales is the book by Gonçalo Amaral, the policeman who coordinated the investigation of the case during the first few months and who is now retired from the Polícia Judiciária. Due to him, editor Guerra e Paz has already sold more than 140 thousand books and prepares editions in Spain and in the United Kingdom.
No: 0%*
News became a soap opera
Several voices were raised against the apparatus that surrounded the cases coverage. If Kelvin MacKenzie, an editor with The Sun, classified the news piece as the story of a lifetime, others underlined the danger of turning Maddies disappearance into a pure soap opera. Clarence Mitchell, a former BBC correspondent and presently the McCann couples spokesman, has issued hard criticism against the media coverage, classifying it as soft and unprofessional.
Q2. Do you consider Maddies parents, Kate and Gerry McCann, guilty over their daughters disappearance?
Portugal Yes: 77.5%
No: 22.3%
Dont know/No reply: 0.2%
United Kingdom Yes: 44.6%
No: 38.4%
Dont know/No reply: 17%
Yes: 61%*
McCanns guilty
The fact that they left three children alone in an apartment in a foreign location leads to most replies to this question being affirmative. Here, what is asked is whether or not Madeleines parents could have avoided the disappearance, if they were in their childrens company. Much was speculated about the possibility of the couple being accused of neglecting the childrens guard, while they were still in Portugal. Gonçalo Amaral, the man who conducted the case investigation during the first few months, sustains in a statement to Focus that there is an indicium that the parents did not take care of their three children. But the Public Ministry did not consider the possibility of accusing them over that issue, the inspector says.
The law foresees that the couple can still be held responsible over abandonment or mistreatment, according to article 152, number 1, item a) of the Penal Code of 95, and presently according to article 152-A, item a) of the Penal Code in the redaction that was introduced by Law nr. 59/2007, of 04/09. But for that to be true, facts that are not sufficiently sustained by indicia or evidence would have to be proved, according to the Public Ministry. So it is common sense that prevails over this answer, given the fact that for the Latin culture, leaving children alone at home is something that completely contradicts a costume of permanent surveillance over children. The British accept this type of behaviour more easily, and give their children more freedom, leading to the McCanns behaviour being less penalized in the British poll.
No: 30%*
They are not guilty
If it is true that little Maddie disappeared from the room where she was sleeping with her siblings and without the supervision of an adult, it is also true, if the testimonies from the couple, from their friends and even from the employees of the Tapas Bar, the restaurant where they had dinner, are to be believed, that a system had been set into place that ensured checking on the children every ten minutes. Kate, Gerry and Matt were only some of the adults that went to the apartment on the night that the little girl disappeared, to verify that everything was quiet.
Q3. Do you think that Maddie was abducted?
Portugal Yes: 25.3%
No: 74.4%
Dont know/No reply: 0.3%
United Kingdom Yes: 72.9%
No: 11.3%
Dont know/No reply: 15.8%
Yes: 49%*
She was abducted
The British continue to believe that Maddie was abducted and is missing. The Portuguese, on the other hand, believe that the little girl is dead. The abduction theory is sustained on several testimonies, like that from the couples friend, Jane Taylor [sic], who asserts that she saw a man on the street that led to the McCanns apartment, only a few minutes after the consensual hour at which Maddie supposedly disappeared. There is also the issue of the window to the three siblings bedroom. It was supposedly closed until Kate made her last visit to the bedroom when the mother noticed her daughters disappearance. Another important testimony in the process comes from an Irish couple that asserts they saw, on the same night, a man carrying a child on the same street where the McCanns apartment is located. But this couple, apart from assuring to 80 percent that the man was Gerry McCann carrying a child, also places his march in the contrary direction of Jane Taylors [sic]. Summarizing: There are two more or less credible, but contradictory statements about a man carrying a child in his arms on the night of the 3rd of May, in Praia da Luz. Apart from this point, the Polícia Judiciária and the media received hundreds of testimonies about sightings of Madeleine at various points of the planet. More: Scotland Yard, the British investigation police, even sent information to Portugal about the possibility of Maddie being involved in an abduction by a Belgian paedophile network.
No: 43%*
She was not abducted
The dogs that specialize in finding cadaver and blood odour found both in the McCanns holiday apartment and a vehicle that was rented by them, two weeks after their daughters disappearance. The collected blood, according to analyses that were carried out both in England and in Portugal, belongs to one of the McCanns children, although only 14 out of 19 alleles are detected. But it is also certain that it does not belong to any of the younger twin siblings. Therefore, those who sustain the death theory, defend that if it belongs to one of the children, but not to the twins, and if the couple has no other children, then the blood belongs to Madeleine. There is also the cadaver odour and the fluids that were found in a rental car, which supposedly belong to Maddie. If DNA that could belong to the little girl is present in a car that was rented days after her disappearance, there are indicia that she may have been transported inside it. But once more, the scientific police was not able to obtain evidence.
Q4. Do you think the child is alive or dead?
Portugal Alive: 12.2%
Dead: 77.0%
Dont know/No reply: 10.8%
United Kingdom Alive: 36.7%
Dead: 47.1%
Dont know/No reply: 16.2%
Yes: 24.5%*
She is alive
Those who believe that Madeleine is still alive are a small minority, both in Portugal and in England. The police knows that, even if the little girl was abducted, the possibilities of remaining alive one and a half year after her disappearance are few. Kate McCann said, weeks ago, in despair: Id rather know that she is dead than to remain in this uncertainty, the mother said. The cases where a missing person that attained such a high media exposure remains alive are rare. The case of Mariluz, the Spanish girl that disappeared after Maddie, ended badly because her abductor killed her in fear of the media pressure. The cases of missing children have rare happy endings, but it is still possible that Maddie was delivered to a paedophile network for sexual slavery and due to the fact that she is blond with greenish eyes, she has a higher market value or even that Maddie was kidnapped and kept as a hostage to this day. The best known case of a hostage that survived captivity is that of Natalia Kampush, the young Austrian who was kept imprisoned in a basement for 14 years.
No: 62%*
She is dead
Dead: Out of the three main theories that were joined in the investigation abduction, homicide and voluntary disappearance none leaves major opportunities for Madeleine McCann to remain alive. The first one, which is explained above in greater detail, leads to any abductor, due to the girls media expression, wanting to get rid of the most searched child in the world. The homicide theory contains the solution in itself: If Maddie was killed inside the apartment in Praia da Luz, there is no hope that she could resist. The third hypothesis, that the girl could have left the house on her own and fell off a ravine, into a hole or into the sea, leads to the belief that, one and a half year later, there is no possibility that the human body could survive such an ordeal. In one word, Maddie is dead.
Q5. In your opinion, even if they were not directly involved in their daughters death, do you think that Kate and Gerry are responsible for her death, or not?
Portugal Yes: 89.6%
No: 6.6%
Dont know/No reply: 3.8%
United Kingdom Yes: 54.9%
No: 34.3%
Dont know/No reply: 10.7%
Yes: 72%*
They are responsible
Here, the opinion is the same in both countries. Above all, there is an important piece of data: This question was only answered by those who previously considered that Maddie is dead. Gerry and Kate McCann are held responsible over their daughters death even if they had nothing to do with that possible homicide. During the first few months, analysts like Francisco Moita Flores or Barra da Costa underlined the cold behaviour of the parents, mainly of the little girls mother. Gonçalo Amaral, on the other hand, pointed at the atypical behaviour of the couple. The PJ inspector says that the mother, after noticing her daughters disappearance, abandoned the twins in the bedroom and ran to the restaurant where her husband was. If Maddie had disappeared, Gonçalo Amaral questions, wouldnt it be logical to at least protect the twins, phoning her husband and, above all, not leaving them alone?
There is more. The police was only called almost 40 minutes after the little girls disappearance. If the phone call had been made earlier, the cited former policemen say, the case might have taken another direction. Another aspect of the guilt that is pointed at the McCanns is the contamination of the crime scene: the apartment where they spent their holidays. At the moment when they noticed Maddies absence, all the friends went to the location, mixing fingerprints, footprints and DNA traces with those of the possible abductor. This means: Apart from leaving the child to death, the parents did not defend the crime scene, both Portuguese and British believe.
No: 20.5%*
They are not responsible
Contradicting the numbers, there is the simple fact that the disappearance of a child is something unusual and to which no father or mother is certainly prepared. It has been widely speculated that if Madeleines parents were Portuguese, today they would be imprisoned over their behaviour. But there are some who believe that despite thinking that the child is dead, the parents are not responsible for the case. Namely: At the moment when the mother noticed the disappearance, she ran towards the restaurant, located only 50 metres as the crow flies, from the apartment, to call her husband in a moment of despair. All the testimonies coincide on the fact that Kate was very upset when she reached the restaurant. The friends immediately got up to attend to the situation and it is more than natural that they searched for the little girl, inside the apartment and in its surroundings, shouting out her name and even walking the streets, looking for her. The hard number of minutes that ranges from the discovery of the disappearance until the GNR was called may also be explained by the fact that the McCanns asked their friends to call the police from the resorts reception. Furthermore, the process that Focus was given access to reports that the receptionist first notified the resorts management before she dialed 112. The result: While the friends helped the couple to search for their daughter, the resort delayed calling the authorities.
Q6. In your opinion, is the McCann couple hiding something?
Portugal Yes: 78.3%
No: 9.7%
Dont know/No reply: 12.2%
United Kingdom Yes: 26.1%
No: 61.6%
Dont know/No reply: 12.3%
Yes: 52%*
They are hiding
The biggest doubt concerning the participation of the parents in the solution of the case resides in the 48 questions that Kate McCann, after being made an arguida in her daughters disappearance, refused to answer. Therefore, the Portuguese majority says that the McCanns are hiding something. These replies do not allow concluding that the McCanns are hiding something that could lead to the discovery of truth about the case. Merely that the perception of the public is that the parents behaviour is suspicious and that their media exposure, repeating the same message, asking everyone to do everything to find their daughter, while at the same time refusing to cooperate with the police, leaves the impression that they are withholding information. Kate McCann entered the Judiciária in Portimão as a witness, and after hours of questioning, the authorities decided to make her an arguida. At that point in time, being officially a suspect over the disappearance, Kate defended herself as the law permits. Another doubt that is left to those who answered yes is the refusal to return to Portugal for a reconstitution of the evening of the crime, and the leaving of the Algarve on the morning after the couple was constituted arguidos, in a trip that contradicted what the couple had always stated: We will never leave Portugal until we find our little girl.
No: 36%*
They dont hide anything
Contrary to the Portuguese, the British do not believe that the McCann couple is hiding anything. The British press, which has always questioned the Portuguese polices methods, was quick to point out the failures of the investigation. More than the McCanns hiding something, what the British public opinion seems to believe in is that the right questions werent asked. Therefore, when the McCanns are made arguidos, it is better for them to return home with their children, than to stay in Portugal, risking ending up in prison. It is also conceded that the presence of Clarence Mitchell, a former BBC journalist and then an aide to the British prime minister, as the McCanns spokesman, contributed to raise their prestige with the population.
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