Hi L2L,
I did attempt to answer this in the previous thread if you want to look back. I'm browsing this on my iPad at the moment so it's a chore to go back and reference it. If you can't find it I'll look again tomorrow when I have my PC to hand.
I have just watched it for the first time. Not sure if this is the correct answer to the original question but Nel said he only agreed to bail based on the conditions he argued for - eg. not leaving the house without permission.
Beyond that specific reason I have also read Opinions that speculate he is allowing bail so the Defence have nothing further to object about in the forthcoming appeal. ( Doesn't make sense to me. )
Personally I think he shouldn't have made any pre-agreement with the Defence to not oppose bail. I think this must have been pragmatic. As others have said, as the SCA did not stipulate he return to jail to await a sentence date, State may have thought he they may not successfully win this round.
Is this really about SAfrican post apartheid attitudes to bail and the inability to house their prison population or is it just because once he was out on house arrest it was going to be difficult to get him back in, especially because it's Oscar, he's a celebrity?
( Rather like today's bail judge used the precedent of his previous compliance with restrictions to "prove" he would not be heading to the airport - he didn't flee before so he has proved he won't check out now even though this is illogical as the circumstances are different.)
Sorry if those answers are of no help L2L - can't find your original post.
(If you asked me last week I would have said/did say, bail will not be granted by the judge as this is a murder conviction, the only risk is a Defence appeal will be submitted the same day, thereby yielding a chance of bail as per Mannie Witz's guess 6 months ago. So I was wrong on both counts.)
Also I was wrong in that OP actually looked very healthy, very together. Not scrawny, nor overweight due to his prison tinned tucker and his voluntary segregation from his "brothers" ( as he calls them) on the Kgosi ward. Nor did he look medicated at all, from the facial responses and the predictable look he always gives a Judge when they are addressing him- deferential, schoolboyish, almost eager. Rest of the time he displayed flashes of defiance, mocking etc. NO change in him whatsoever in the 11 months inside. ( Would rec. that he needs a new psychotherapist in there as he isn't making a lot of progress.)
Yuck to read on J13 that in his recent interview he " rested his head on his Aunty's shoulder" bemoaning his situation, almost as if he "had lost a puppy".
Its just like the first bail and then the whittling away of restrictions. NPA & Defence agree to terms, deal is undermined once they get in there.
There was no victory as such for Roux, but he got his 7am -12 pm because of odd reasons based on this judge, more work to check up on him. Don't want to disadvantage Johnson's Xmas hols so she won't need to be informed (even when it was her side's choice) and a silly reason for me as this runs Dec - April, not just in relation to Xmas hols.
Anyway over - long post so I won't add more. Even my OH, who has zero interest in this matter, overheard judge's ref to "the accused" and was mind-boggled with that. Don't get me started on judge not wanting to use the word murder and also reading out the mobile number.....
