i've gone through and read most of previous threads (seriously, wow) and i have a couple thoughts. would love feedback.
in a case this publicized you really have to work hard to separate the fact from the rumor. you have to boil it all down to things which are indisputable otherwise you end up with theories out the wazoo based on nothing but conjecture.
everything else can be piled on later, but if you start with what is certain then you immediately start to eliminate things which aren't plausible. so, what do we KNOW about this case? what are the indisputable facts?
1) hb remains missing for more than a year
2) her blood was found near her car on the day she went missing
3) several personal items were later found nowhere near where her blood was found
4) whatever happened to her had to have happened in a small window of time (approx twenty minutes)
almost everything else (again, correct me if i'm wrong) is based on someone seeing or reporting something - they report witnessing something, they report calling 911, they report what the scene looked like, LE reports what they can tell
us, etc and every one of those reports differs at least a little bit from each other because that's how human beings work. we recall things from our imperfect memory and sometimes what we remember differs greatly from what happened.
sometimes we remember things based on our opinions of events. we're not perfect and that's ok.
so let's see what we can determine from those things above. from there we try to move to making sense of those three things in the way that causes us to make the LEAST number of assumptions. every time you make an assumption it's like
taking a left or right turn off the main road. pretty soon you're so far removed from your original path that you wonder how you got where you are.
1) hb remains missing for more than a year - it takes virtually no assumptions to claim that she didn't go missing of her own volition. coupled with #2 it would take many more assumptions to create a scenario where she tried to fake an
abduction or some similar scenario where she caused an injury to herself leaving blood near her car, so we're left to assume someone did something to her (i'm trying hard to be brief, although brevity isn't my strength). ok, so we're
exactly where we thought we'd be. someone did something to her. let's look at #2.
2) her blood was found near her car on the day she went missing - it takes virtually no assumptions to claim that someone who isn't hb caused an injury to her and that injury was likely during the process of causing her to go missing. i
know this seems so far like "duh, we know" but think about it. there have been months of questioning motives of family and friends but stop and think - someone caused an injury to her around her car, outside of her house. how plausible
is it that this would be in any way connected to someone inside her house? if it was a premeditated attack from someone with access to the inside of her house why would they make their move outside? it takes more assumptions to believe
someone with access to her house would cause an injury to her near her car unless there were a reason to do so (this includes the often posited "someone was in her house" series of theories).
3) several personal items were found nowhere near where her blood was found - again, we don't have all of the specifics, but it has reliably been stated that personal items she was reported to have on her have been found in various
locations well after she went missing, none of which was near (meaning within a frame of space that she could have put them there without external influence) where her blood was found near her car. this indicates either hb herself is
placing items around various locations or the perpetrator(s) did so. what again doesn't seem plausible is that anyone who was part of LE's initial investigation (specifically the people who live with her, her boyfriend, etc) would have been able to conceal
these personal effects through various searches of their property in order to day(s) later plant them somewhere. again, it takes more assumptions to find a way to involve anyone from her immediate circle. the least number of assumptions again points to an external perpetrator.
4) whatever happened to her had to have happened in a small window of time - it's not assumptive to be suspicious of a single person's report (corroboration is always a strong way forward), but given that at least five separate people
reported speaking with her the morning of her disappearance (three family members from the home, a friend external to the house, and a boyfriend external to the house) we can assume she was ok as of approximately 740am. law enforcement
arrived at approximately 8am. that gives a twenty minute window of opportunity. again, the conjecture about the involvement of anyone close to her just doesn't add up. if it was someone close to her they had twenty minutes to a) harm her
near her car, b) hide her or her body so well that over a year's worth of subsequent searches have found nothing, hide her personal items so well that they would not be found during any search, and then plant those items in various
locations after the fact without being detected.
it doesn't add up in any way, shape, or form that anyone other than an external perpetrator would have the time to commit the act, the ability to conceal evidence of the act within the timeframe, and the ability to place (or cause to be
placed) her personal items in various locations after the fact. i know this probably seems obvious to a lot of you but reading through all of these threads the past few days there are just so many branches of theories that simply don't (to me) make any sense given what we know. just my 2 cents.