I do not know the Swift family nor do I know anyone who has been murdered. I form my opinions based on observing people around me, and reading up on crime cases. I am not a defense attorney or a juror in this case. The 'innocent until proven guilty' guideline applies to a court of law, not to personal opinion. As a participant in a crime forum that seeks to gather clues and information, I see others discussing and sharing opinions on their findings, and I feel free to do the same. I see persons in any situation as innocent until red flags begin to appear.
In a murder investigation, the first person to be checked out is usually the spouse. Statistics show that of all women murdered in the U.S., 30% are in the process of separating or filing for divorce, and are killed by their spouse/intimate partner. The average age of women in this group is 35-49. As an investigator (sleuth), I would look for characteristics that would eliminate the spouse as a suspect, or implicate the spouse as a suspect. (One positive in favor of Mr. Swift as a suspect would be the fact that no domestic battery charges have been filed against him, to my knowledge, although Karen's friends insist their relationship was volatile). Characteristics that I think would implicate Mr. Swift have already been given.
The positives are weighed against the negatives, and if positive characteristics prevail and the negatives can be explained away, the suspect may be cleared. Once the individual is eliminated as a suspect, the investigator moves on to the next likely suspect.
Note: I never said or insinuated that Mr. Swift would harm his daughter.
Regarding which daughter was at the sleepover:
http://www.stategazette.com/story/1779590.html
"(Sheriff) Box said Swift had arrived home late Saturday evening/early Sunday morning and dropped her children off at her house on Willie Johnson Road. He stated Swift's husband said he spoke to her in the stairwell and then went to bed and that was the last time she was seen". (I don't make things up out of whole cloth. Anything I introduce is based on news reports. I read a lot of news).
One poster on this site (no names) said both girls were at the sleepover. Some of the news articles say it was the younger daughter, some say it was the older daughter, and some say it was the teenage daughter. I went with Sheriff Box's statement.
If you recall, during the Laci Peterson investigation, LE was reading forums (it may have been this one) and found a clue they were able to use to their advantage in the investigation. We are all brainstorming and gathering our ideas about what we think may have happened. Who knows, one of us may provide a clue that makes a difference.
FYI- Foul play refers to a death which occurs outside of "normal" circumstances-- that is the person didn't just have a heart attack, stroke, etc.
In most cases that means murder, or something very suspicious that led to the individual's death--(i.e. foul play)
example: "Theres nothing to indicate a struggle. No blood," says Sheriff Box.
http://www.abc24.com/news/local/stor...Cw.cspx?rss=59
Thanks for sharing your thoughts.