So this is pretty much what I thought would happen. That she would reject the state's version so have little choice but to believe OP's version. The burden of proof is on the state, of course. And there are factors working in his favor: the timeline supports his version, the state did not even get into it, which seems to suggest they could not explain it. He began telling people right away he thought it was an intruder. That is awfully quick to come up with a story and have it remain consistent before he even knew what the evidence was. And, his show of what seems to be genuine emotion throughout, even to those who didn't know him. Sure, there could be other explanations, but the judge cannot entertain anything that is mere speculation, so she has to go on what she knows to be true. So far, everything she has said I agree with. Wow.