Tropical Storm Andrea
- Thread starter raine1212
- Start date
Welcome to Websleuths!
Click to learn how to make a missing person's thread
Click to learn how to make a missing person's thread
New Posts
-
-
-
CA Lynette Brewer 15 missing from San Leandro, California Nov 2002- Latest: martinca17
Tropical storm andrea special discussion number 1
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012013
600 pm edt wed jun 05 2013
the air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the
large area of disturbed weather over the eastern gulf of mexico has
found a circulation center located near the western edge of the
large mass of thunderstorms. This center appears to have formed
very recently so the initial motion estimate is uncertain.
The aircraft measured an extrapolated surface pressure of 1002
mb...peak 1000 ft flight-level winds of 47 kt...and believable
bias-corrected sfmr surface winds of around 35 kt. These data
support an initial intensity of 35 kt. Strong southwesterly shear
is expected to continue during the next couple of days and
significant strengthening appears unlikely. The intensity forecast
shows little overall change in strength...even after the system
becomes extratropical in 2 to 3 days.
Andrea is forecast to move slowly northward tonight...then
accelerate northeastward on thursday ahead of a mid- to upper-level
trough moving into the southeastern united states. The global
models are in good agreement on this general scenario...although
they also suggest the possibility of jumps or reformations of the
center during the next 24 hours. Landfall along the coast of the
florida big bend on thursday afternoon or evening is expected.
After that...the system is forecast to accelerate northeastward
along the coast of the southeast united states. There will be some
baroclinic forcing by that time...but it is unclear when andrea
will become post-tropical. The nhc forecast shows andrea remaining
a tropical cyclone through 48 hours...but the transition to a
post-tropical cyclone could occur sooner.
The current forecast requires the issuance of a tropical storm
warning along the west coast of the florida peninsula and a
tropical storm watch along the southeast united states coast. The
primary effects from andrea are expected to be heavy rainfall
across much of the florida peninsula...storm surge flooding along
portions of the west coast of florida...and isolated tornadoes late
tonight and thursday across the florida peninsula.
The pronunciation of this name is ann- dree uh.
Forecast positions and max winds
init 05/2200z 25.3n 86.5w 35 kt 40 mph
12h 06/0600z 26.5n 86.4w 35 kt 40 mph
24h 06/1800z 28.3n 85.0w 40 kt 45 mph
36h 07/0600z 31.0n 82.0w 40 kt 45 mph...inland
48h 07/1800z 34.5n 78.5w 40 kt 45 mph...inland
72h 08/1800z 43.0n 67.5w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
96h 09/1800z 45.0n 48.0w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
120h 10/1800z 47.0n 25.0w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012013
600 pm edt wed jun 05 2013
the air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the
large area of disturbed weather over the eastern gulf of mexico has
found a circulation center located near the western edge of the
large mass of thunderstorms. This center appears to have formed
very recently so the initial motion estimate is uncertain.
The aircraft measured an extrapolated surface pressure of 1002
mb...peak 1000 ft flight-level winds of 47 kt...and believable
bias-corrected sfmr surface winds of around 35 kt. These data
support an initial intensity of 35 kt. Strong southwesterly shear
is expected to continue during the next couple of days and
significant strengthening appears unlikely. The intensity forecast
shows little overall change in strength...even after the system
becomes extratropical in 2 to 3 days.
Andrea is forecast to move slowly northward tonight...then
accelerate northeastward on thursday ahead of a mid- to upper-level
trough moving into the southeastern united states. The global
models are in good agreement on this general scenario...although
they also suggest the possibility of jumps or reformations of the
center during the next 24 hours. Landfall along the coast of the
florida big bend on thursday afternoon or evening is expected.
After that...the system is forecast to accelerate northeastward
along the coast of the southeast united states. There will be some
baroclinic forcing by that time...but it is unclear when andrea
will become post-tropical. The nhc forecast shows andrea remaining
a tropical cyclone through 48 hours...but the transition to a
post-tropical cyclone could occur sooner.
The current forecast requires the issuance of a tropical storm
warning along the west coast of the florida peninsula and a
tropical storm watch along the southeast united states coast. The
primary effects from andrea are expected to be heavy rainfall
across much of the florida peninsula...storm surge flooding along
portions of the west coast of florida...and isolated tornadoes late
tonight and thursday across the florida peninsula.
The pronunciation of this name is ann- dree uh.
Forecast positions and max winds
init 05/2200z 25.3n 86.5w 35 kt 40 mph
12h 06/0600z 26.5n 86.4w 35 kt 40 mph
24h 06/1800z 28.3n 85.0w 40 kt 45 mph
36h 07/0600z 31.0n 82.0w 40 kt 45 mph...inland
48h 07/1800z 34.5n 78.5w 40 kt 45 mph...inland
72h 08/1800z 43.0n 67.5w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
96h 09/1800z 45.0n 48.0w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
120h 10/1800z 47.0n 25.0w 40 kt 45 mph...post-trop/extratrop
It looks big also, but I think that's typical from storms coming from that area.
What'sThatClue
Active Member
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2008
- Messages
- 4,168
- Reaction score
- -17
I hate storm season. We lost most of our home in 2004 to Hurricanes Charlie, Francis and then Jeanne, so you can imagine I shudder. Prepared but shuddering....
geevee
Well-Known Stickie
- Joined
- Mar 11, 2013
- Messages
- 17,621
- Reaction score
- 16,576
Here's weather underground's satellite of the storm, you can animate/zoom in and out (near the top center):
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201301_sat.html
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201301_sat.html
Flood watch for my area
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
847 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013
...FLOOD WATCH FOR THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA...
.POTENTIAL EXIST FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-
061015-
/O.NEW.KCAE.FA.A.0001.130606T1200Z-130608T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLNTON...THOMSON...MARTINEZ...
EVANS...AUGUSTA...HEPHZIBAH...WAYNESBORO...LANCASTER...ELGIN...
CHERAW...PAGELAND...MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...WINNSBORO...CAMDEN...
LUGOFF...EDGEFIELD...JOHNSTON...SALUDA...RIDGE SPRING...
WEST COLUMBIA...CAYCE...LEXINGTON...RED BANK...COLUMBIA...
BISHOPVILLE...SAVANNAH RIVER SITE...AIKEN...NORTH AUGUSTA...
SUMTER...BARNWELL...WILLISTON...BLACKVILLE...ORANGEBURG...
ST. MATTHEWS...MANNING...SUMMERTON...BAMBERG...DENMARK
847 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND CENTRAL
SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST
CENTRAL GEORGIA...BURKE...COLUMBIA...LINCOLN...MCDUFFIE AND
RICHMOND. IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA...AIKEN...BAMBERG...
BARNWELL...CALHOUN...CHESTERFIELD...CLARENDON...EDGEFIELD...
FAIRFIELD...KERSHAW...LANCASTER...LEE...LEXINGTON...
MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...ORANGEBURG...RICHLAND...SALUDA AND
SUMTER.
* FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
* POTENTIAL EXIST FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES AS
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE REGION. THE
AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MOIST THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ACROSS THE EASTERN MIDLANDS...ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 26. MANY AREAS OF THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION.
* FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...LOW LYING AREAS...URBAN AREAS AND
AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
&&
$$
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
847 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013
...FLOOD WATCH FOR THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA...
.POTENTIAL EXIST FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-
061015-
/O.NEW.KCAE.FA.A.0001.130606T1200Z-130608T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLNTON...THOMSON...MARTINEZ...
EVANS...AUGUSTA...HEPHZIBAH...WAYNESBORO...LANCASTER...ELGIN...
CHERAW...PAGELAND...MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...WINNSBORO...CAMDEN...
LUGOFF...EDGEFIELD...JOHNSTON...SALUDA...RIDGE SPRING...
WEST COLUMBIA...CAYCE...LEXINGTON...RED BANK...COLUMBIA...
BISHOPVILLE...SAVANNAH RIVER SITE...AIKEN...NORTH AUGUSTA...
SUMTER...BARNWELL...WILLISTON...BLACKVILLE...ORANGEBURG...
ST. MATTHEWS...MANNING...SUMMERTON...BAMBERG...DENMARK
847 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND CENTRAL
SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST
CENTRAL GEORGIA...BURKE...COLUMBIA...LINCOLN...MCDUFFIE AND
RICHMOND. IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA...AIKEN...BAMBERG...
BARNWELL...CALHOUN...CHESTERFIELD...CLARENDON...EDGEFIELD...
FAIRFIELD...KERSHAW...LANCASTER...LEE...LEXINGTON...
MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...ORANGEBURG...RICHLAND...SALUDA AND
SUMTER.
* FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
* POTENTIAL EXIST FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES AS
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE REGION. THE
AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MOIST THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ACROSS THE EASTERN MIDLANDS...ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 26. MANY AREAS OF THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION.
* FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...LOW LYING AREAS...URBAN AREAS AND
AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
&&
$$
Coldpizza
Retired WS Staff
- Joined
- Aug 28, 2009
- Messages
- 19,821
- Reaction score
- 1,103
A break in the weather associated with Tropical Storm Andrea early this morning to the south of Tampa Bay after plenty of overnight storms. This is a temporary lull, as a strong band of thunderstorms is lurking offshore, and will be approaching the coast later this morning. This band of strong thunderstorms will bring another potential for heavy rainfall, strong winds, and additional isolated tornadoes.
https://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.TampaBay.gov
https://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.TampaBay.gov
Show Me
New Member
Spaghetti map is fairly consistent. Lots of potential for flooding all over. Lots of potential for tornadoes. Stay safe my friends and keep us informed.
Tropical Storm Andrea Moving Toward Florida Big Bend
Tropical Storm Andrea is gaining strength as it moves in the Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida Big Bend. Maximum sustained winds are at 60 mph. There is a potential for tornadoes across central & southern Florida as Andrea approaches the coast Thursday morning. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for parts of the Florida west coast, as well as from Flagler Beach, Fla., to Cape Charles Light, Va.
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...ite=CAE&lat=33.5138&lon=-82.1455#.UbCRzvPD_ce
Tropical Storm Andrea is gaining strength as it moves in the Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida Big Bend. Maximum sustained winds are at 60 mph. There is a potential for tornadoes across central & southern Florida as Andrea approaches the coast Thursday morning. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for parts of the Florida west coast, as well as from Flagler Beach, Fla., to Cape Charles Light, Va.
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...ite=CAE&lat=33.5138&lon=-82.1455#.UbCRzvPD_ce
DNASolves
Staff online
-
WS AdminAdministrator
Online statistics
- Members online
- 128
- Guests online
- 1,572
- Total visitors
- 1,700