MOO, outlining scenarios:
Accidental death via drowning or fall or other.
Animal attack - dog, wild animal, etc.
Wandered off or lost maybe headed towards a village or the outlying wilderness
Abduction by a known person - more common than a stranger. Close knit community, supportive, small area but still possible
Abduction by a stranger - statistically less common. Area is high traffic for boats and planes, sometimes with strangers
Runaway - she’s very young for this scenario but still possible. Opportunities to stow away on boats and planes. <snip>