All MO and throwing things out there to ponder.
#1 VIDEO / REPORTING of SK being missing. I'm nearly certain that the way this happened was based on JK's reporting to LE. My GUT (so IMO) says that initially JK and DT figured that SK had gotten picked up by someone else / gone out partying / whatever. The next morning
something changed that made them believe there was much more to her being "missing". A text ? An email ? A rumor ? Just the fact that she hasn't answered ? Leads them to the coffee hut, saying SK didn't make it home.
LE views the video and says no suspicion of foul play. Hrmm. That's interesting.
With 24 hours LE changes their tune to possible abduction. I think LE changed their stance based on information provided by JK and/or DT. They tell LE they have reason to believe she was taken. LE looks at the tapes in a new light, sees a reaction from her and decides to be prudent.
JK OBVIOUSLY has had a theory or idea about what happened to SK and he believes she was taken for a personal reason. Evidenced by his pleas on facebook / letters. JK clearly thinks he knows who did this and he thinks he knows exactly why. I think he's right.
#2 There are way too many potential "bad" guys in this case. LE has to be looking every direction and getting darn dizzy while doing it. We've got gang members, drugs, hell's angels, disgruntled X boyfriends, current flimsy relationships, notorious strip club guys offering their club as reward (?) .... and now some random construction worker pops up? What are the chances that this is an infatuation / psychopath kidnapping with all that history? I'm betting about ZERO.
#3 Israel Keyes ~ I realize that the only public charge right now is access fraud. There are supposedly also "sealed" charges. Charges don't = guilt.
Unlike most, I DO think the access fraud charge is related to SK. For me it's too coincidental that LE suddenly reports "We have reason to believe Sam is alive" ... then poof within a few days they are arresting someone on access fraud. To be that seems to scream that LE believed that Sam was using her card. I think it's possible that IK ended up with SK's credit card as "payment" OR possibly for "materials" on a job. It's not uncommon to hand a home contractor a credit card to go get materials for a job. Especially if it's someone you had worked with before. And it's not a reach to believe that someone couldn't pay him for work...said we have no cash, but my girlfriend/sister's/wives card has room on it ... just take it and use it for what we owe you. He didn't have to be aware that someone with SK's name was missing. We, at websleuths are aware of the names of the missing, but your average joe is NOT ... by any means.
Or it's possible that he was the one to kidnap her and that's how he got her card. But I honestly think he's too smart for that. He served 3 years in the army. They know how easily things are traced / etc. IMO if the access fraud charge is because of SK's card, there is no WAY he was the kidnapper.
In the end, I don't think IK has any idea where Sam is and sadly, I honestly don't believe ANY ONE will ever know what happened to her
