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You are right about the events of that morning. No black and white testimony and a lot of 'ifs'. The phone may or may not have made a difference but I would like to know what was on it regardless of whether the info held any importance or not.
When it's all said and done, I still don't see anybody but Brad killing her after she returned from the party on the night of the 11th/12th. It's a difficult case to sort out with too many coincidences and not enough hard evidence.
We may not have enough information to really understand alternative theories. It certainly wouldn't be the first time a lack of information led to the wrong conclusions. For example, Chandra Levy disappeared while jogging. She was having an affair with Condit. He was seen disposing of a gift in a garbage dump. Many people were convinced of his guilty until years later when new information surfaced.