Something to consider....
Belize is a major trans-shipment point for drugs coming from Columbia and going to the U.S.. According to the U.S. State Dept. as well as much in the media (esp. Belize media), drug cartels ship them in via air as well as sea. They use the 100's of little cayes Belieze has for trans-shipment, (they also do this in the Bahamas and other mjr trans-ship points). Sometimes airplanes do "wet-drops" and drop the drugs in the area and boats pick them up or sometimes larger boats can be used and smaller boats go out to deeper waters to meet them and pick up the goods. There are probably a number of other possible scenarios that occur in these trans-ship operations. They use stealthy "go-fast" boats and probably other stealthy craft, but they operate mostly at night where (at least in Belieze) they go virtually undetected because the government does not have the means to detect and track them. (When I lived in SoCal, the press would occassionally report that such craft would show up abandoned on the shores not far from where I lived). In Belieze there are rival gangs competing for control of these trans-ship routes. The crime that happens around drug trafficking is not a mystery to the local people and press. It could be that the captain and crew of this tour knew there is a possibilty of drug traffickers showing up (and making an exchange or smthg) on the dock of the island. The captain supposedly told Allison at 2:30 a.m. that she should go back to her tent and that she shouldnt be out there at night. Why would he say this if he didnt think dangerous elements could turn up on the island. Also in a recent interview the Belieze police chief gave to the media he said "I dont know what security measures they have out there (on the island)". Buy saying this the police chief is implying that there is a need for such measures. So it is a possibility that Allison was up late contemplating things(she had family deaths she was recovering from) and hanging out at late hours maybe on the dock (its a good place to sit at night if you want to enjoy a nightime view of the moon and water and maybe fish below the dock. Perhaps drug runners stealthily approached the dock to do a quite trans-shipment in the early hours and she accidentally witnessed this or encountered them. They may have kidnapped her or worse. This activity might not have been heard by the others who were sound asleep in a tent and probably under one of those huts with the ambient noise of the ocean. At night especially the noise of the lapping waves can muffle and drown out noises made a little further away. If you take a look at the local press you can easily find that such a tragedy has happened numerous times to both locals and tourists over the past years. People go missing or their bodies sometimes eventually turn up, float up etc. Unfortunately the police, coast gaurd and most of the government is grossly underfunded and they dont have the technology, manpower or trainning to see these cases through to any kind of justice (in the case of foul play).
Hi thank you (and others) for your kind welcome. =)
The "7 news" news feed from the link you have above is very interesting. The police said the following about Allison:
"We understand that they were drinking on the boat heavily and she may have gotten drunk before going to bed. We're not sure but it can be assumed that she might have left her tent and went into the sea and something happened there are watchmen on the island and they have also been interviewed by the police and they have shared some information but I don't want to take that information public."
This is a confusing statement: on the one hand they suggest she became drunk and went into the water and had some sort of accident, on the other hand they say there were watchmen on the island (thats new news) and that they interviewed them, but apparently these watchmen did not know what happened to Allison. What (or who) were they watching for and how could they miss the supposed drunk lady going into the water herself and having some sort of accident/problem? The island is about an acre, so it would be hard to miss. Then he says that the watchmen shared information but that he does not want to share that with the public. The implication may be that her behavior was such that it may be embarassing for her or family to reveal publicly. This all sounds very muddled to me.
It may be that she had too much to drink and had an accident. But a middle-aged lady, who has raised two adult girls who adore her and seems to have survived life well thus far- I would question that even if she had drinks that she would go in the water at night, especially if she is afraid to swim in the ocean as her family had stated. I love swimming, diving, snorkeling in the ocean but definitely not at night. I am willing to give her the benefit of the doubt that she is/was able to take care of herself. On the other hand the authorities, crew and watchmen seem to have inconsistencies in their story. The captain or crew claimed she was behaving "erratically" but the police (when asked) are unable to explain what that means, what her behavior was more specifically. The captain was suppose to have brought her to her tent at 2:30 and told her to stay in there. There were watchmen there, and they didnt see her come out of her tent again and what ultimately happened to her? Yet they shared information with the police about her that cant be shared publicly. Hmmm. It seems like a lot of confusion and perhaps some negligence. Or perhaps something altogether different, maybe Allison was a victim of a crime and its being kept quiet. Employees and authorities alike might not want to share the realities of crime (as well as slack safety measures) there as it would detour tourism which is vital for this developing country. (I have lived and stayed in developing countries myself and found sometimes the truth of these matters are not always shared as it is embarassing and/or hurts business.) You can see the dangers yourself by reading the channel 7 news feed ()for just today) above, there are at least two cases of homicide where suspects are returning to court for their second of such charge. There are two cases of kidnapping too. And the drug trafficking flight landing in the interior of the country that the police said they had no prior knowledge of, but the press seems to believe otherwise, and that the traffickers could have been caught by the police had they acted on that warning. You can see there are ample problems with crime and probably probelms with adequate law enforcment (as stated by our US State Dept in their country report of Belieze).
Im afraid for Allsion and her family that they will never know what has happened to her.
It is so sad. Its also eye-opening, and hopefully people will research more and take more precaution before traveling to places unfamiliar.