CA - Jonathan Gerrish, Ellen Chung, daughter, 1 & dog, suspicious death hiking area, Aug 2021 #2

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  • #421
Agreed, about a 3.5 hour hike IMO.
Gosh you guys are fast hikers. I think it would have taken them a lot longer than 3 1/2 hours, even with everything going right. In that heat, with the dog and baby in a pack, I don’t believe they would be that fast or even to expect being that fast. MOO. I must be a slowpoke!
 
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  • #422
The kinds of tips in that article are just not sufficient and may be contributing to more deaths.
What do you believe is inadequate? I agree in extreme temperatures the correct answer is to wait for cooler weather, but I’m not sure if telling people to abstain works, in many areas of life.

I think the very hot temperatures combined with more people getting outdoors since the start of COVID (more flexibility and work-from-home situations) is certainly making this year terrible for heat-related deaths around here. This couple’s tragedy is likely indirectly related to COVID life changes because of their recent move. I believe there are more people doing recreational activities they’ve never tried before. Although this couple was fairly experienced, but perhaps not in deadly heat.
 
  • #423
Ugh, DBM, double post again
 
  • #424
I just read this last night, so apologies if it has already been posted. This was this first time I knew that a witness says the family was seen at 7:45 am traveling toward the trailhead in their vehicle.

https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article253770788.html
Yes, this is important IMO. Now we know they did leave early which makes WAY more sense. Still it heated up FAST, so leaving early wasn’t going to help much, sadly. Since they went in the morning though, it makes it even more likely IMO that this was a heat related tragedy. It was a bad idea to do that hike at all that day but understandable. I could not understand at all if they had actually left in the afternoon. I really think this was a tragic heatstroke event for all of them. It’s possible toxic water could have begun this event, but I think the heat did them in.
 
  • #425
The updated article posted yesterday says LE thinks they were doing the whole 8.5 mile loop. I don’t know how or why they know but that’s what they said. So that would be more like 4+ hours. And I’m betting they were not fast at all considering it was already SO hot and they had a dog and baby in a pack.

Exactly. That's probably why they were out there so long....you can't rush it in that heat, carrying a baby, looking out for the dog....plus I think they may have decided to bag the whole trail too, or at least tried to. If they started at 08.00hrs, I bet they were still out in it around 12.00hrs - 13.00hrs. And then in heat really hit!
How can you cope when you've already spent energy, effort and water and your body is starting to shutdown?
 
  • #426
Gosh you guys are fast hikers. I think it would have taken them a lot longer than 3 1/2 hours, even with everything going right. In that heat, with the dog and baby in a pack, I don’t believe they would be that fast or even to expect being that fast. MOO. I must be a slowpoke!
I'm doing 12, all flat and shaded, in a couple weeks. It'll be 95 degrees/80% humidity, we've budgeted 5 hours.
 
  • #427
From the Bee:
  • Monday, Aug. 23: Additional water samples are collected from water sources “along the trail area.”
Huh. This suggests they did do the full loop, or at least made it down to the Merced, which was approx halfway no matter which direction they went. Like someone commented up the thread, if they saw rushing water, they might have assumed it was safe to drink, perhaps made more confident if they carried a Lifestraw or similar. I have to assume they had a bottle or two in addition to a bladder, just based on their experience and years of hiking.

As for not notifying anyone, iirc they texted or posted the baby backpack to a friend or friends via social media. But it is gut wrenching that no one called police until Monday night. Perhaps being new to the area they just didn’t have friends that they texted with every single day.
 
  • #428
The Mariposa County Sheriff’s Office also shared the following timeline of recent events and their investigation.
  • Saturday, Aug. 14: Jonathan Gerrish researches Hites Cove hike via a phone app.
  • Sunday, Aug. 15: 7:45 a.m., witness sees the Gerrish/Chung family traveling toward the trailhead in their vehicle.
  • Monday, Aug. 16: 11 p.m., a family friend reports the family missing.
  • Tuesday, Aug. 17: 1:53 a.m., the family’s car is located down Hites Cove Road north of Jerseydale.
  • Tuesday, Aug. 17: 1:55 a.m., a search and rescue mission is initiated.
  • Tuesday, Aug. 17: 11 a.m., the family is found dead on the Savage-Lundy Trail by a search and rescue team.
  • Thursday, Aug. 19: Autopsies are completed on the family and dog, “all currently pending toxicology.”
  • Friday, Aug. 20: Search warrants issued for a phone found with the family.
  • Friday, Aug. 20: Search warrants issued for the family’s home and cars. “Nothing significant” is found.

    https://www.fresnobee.com/news/local/article253770788.html#storylink=cpy
 
  • #429
Just waiting to see how the toxicology would turn up.
If still no answers by then, wth it could be another "fire in the sky" story, who knows.
oh wait, but I had posted a pic from google map on my first comment (I"m new here btw).
It looks like a devil's face with horns and where the family was found is pretty much right in between the devil's horns, they couldn't escape the gulch maybe? IDK I think the place is cursed (all trees now burnt too)

Earlier this year I hiked a small mountain here in NY called "Elephant Head", and I can tell you that it was not an elephant's head. Tuesday I went swimming at Buttermilk Falls -- just water, no buttermilk at all. A woman I work with just got back from riding a motorcycle over Back of the Dragon in VA, and would you believe that she didn't see one dragon?

Sometimes a name is just a name.
 
  • #430
If you're used to going to a hot, miserable, inhospitable environment (Burning Man) where the guidance for water is 5.7L per person per 24 hours, then bringing 8L (4L each) for a 4hr hike might have felt excessive. That said, it's possible they had the Camelback and some Nalgene bottles and other sources of liquid (juicebox, applesauce, etc. for the baby). LE has not disclosed everything they had in the backpack.

I talked to my BF who is an experienced hiker. Prior to the pandemic, he would go out on all day, very strenuous hikes every weekend. He usually brings 5-6L, but said he hardly ever drinks more than 3L. He said he ran out of water once, in 2019, when the return leg of a hike he had done many times before (Mt. Baldy) was much hotter than had been predicted in the weather report. (He was with friends who shared water.) He also told me that he has had to share his water with random people multiple times on trails.

All this to say, I think even the most experienced hiker can make a mistake. Underestimate how much water is needed, overestimate their own ability. There but for the grace of god, etc. :(
 
  • #431
I am much clearer on the maps today, but I'm still very unclear about which direction they trekked out from the car (i.e, Hites Cover or SL), or if they started out on one trail & doubled back & switched to the other. Does anyone know, or have an opinion based on your understanding of the evidence?

Another thing I've been pondering is if, say they were a few hours in on their proper chosen route, & already experiencing a degree of heat exhaustion (with cognition already being affected), might they have made a spontaneous decision to go further than they had planned or prepared for?
 
  • #432
Oh - on the topic of Personal Locator Beacons. They are awesome, but you have to turn them on for them to send the distress signal. So that's great if you're conscious or thinking clearly. If you're not thinking clearly, you might think you're fine and flipping the switch is unnecessary. If you don't turn it on, the PLB is basically as useful as a rock.
 
  • #433
If you're used to going to a hot, miserable, inhospitable environment (Burning Man) where the guidance for water is 5.7L per person per 24 hours, then bringing 8L (4L each) for a 4hr hike might have felt excessive. That said, it's possible they had the Camelback and some Nalgene bottles and other sources of liquid (juicebox, applesauce, etc. for the baby). LE has not disclosed everything they had in the backpack.

I talked to my BF who is an experienced hiker. Prior to the pandemic, he would go out on all day, very strenuous hikes every weekend. He usually brings 5-6L, but said he hardly ever drinks more than 3L. He said he ran out of water once, in 2019, when the return leg of a hike he had done many times before (Mt. Baldy) was much hotter than had been predicted in the weather report. (He was with friends who shared water.) He also told me that he has had to share his water with random people multiple times on trails.

All this to say, I think even the most experienced hiker can make a mistake. Underestimate how much water is needed, overestimate their own ability. There but for the grace of god, etc. :(

I’ve been wondering if mum might still have been breastfeeding her little one. If they were following baby-led weaning (very popular, especially with parents who are well educated and liberal-leaning), most or all of baby’s fluids would still be via breast milk. So if baby was looking dehydrated, they’d have stopped to feed her on route.

That would have increased Mom’s need for fluids significantly, as she’d essentially be drinking (water) for two, and could have led to some specific choices around prioritising her needs for the water they were carrying when things got rough.

Doesn’t give any answers, just could be another complicating factor.
 
  • #434
I found this blog about hot weather hiking interesting. There are many comments below this story about other people’s experiences with heat exhaustion too. It gave me a little insight on the symptoms that can sneak up on a hiker because of the high heat.

A Close Call with Heat Exhaustion
 
  • #435
I found this blog about hot weather hiking interesting. There are many comments below this story about other people’s experiences with heat exhaustion too. It gave me a little insight on the symptoms that can sneak up on a hiker because of the high heat.

A Close Call with Heat Exhaustion

This is very interesting, thank you for sharing! The comment there about getting sick on switchbacks, the sole of a shoe even melting, & how they were fortunate to be in an area with cel service was particularly informative. Without cel service & the reflective blanket he laid out for searchers, it seems like this could have had a very bleak outcome.
 
  • #436
I’m still stuck on why they didn’t tell someone where they were going, the route they were taking and when they would be expected back? This is really rule #1 in hiking. It puzzles me that it appears the first person to notice they were missing was the nanny on Monday morning and that they weren’t even reported as missing to authorities until Monday Night.

I’m not a professional hiker BY any means, but I travel by car extensively and if I go ANYWHERE that there’s a potential to be out of communication or off-grid. someone knows about it, is waiting for me to return, and would contact authorities if I’m not back in communication within an hour if my predicted time.

It makes me wonder why they weren’t reported missing for what appears to be almost 2 days?? (Last communication 6:45am Sunday, reported missing late Monday night). This the most puzzling part. It’s almost as if they didn’t want anyone to know where they were going or come find them too soon…???

On a final note, immediate SARS contact doesn’t always guarantee rescue alive as was the case of Paul Miller in JTNP, however he was NOT found on the trail. All this leads me to conclude that if they had communicated to someone their plans they very well May have been found alive once they missed their return time.

Odd.

JMOO
They were hiking close to home, so perhaps they didn’t think it was necessary to tell someone the details of their hike. They assumed it was not a dangerous hike. Besides, they were new residents in the area. It was probably hard to get to know people in the area because of Covid. They most likely kept to themselves. Sometimes I don’t hear back from people right away when I text or call. I don’t think it is unusual.
 
  • #437
If you're used to going to a hot, miserable, inhospitable environment (Burning Man) where the guidance for water is 5.7L per person per 24 hours, then bringing 8L (4L each) for a 4hr hike might have felt excessive. That said, it's possible they had the Camelback and some Nalgene bottles and other sources of liquid (juicebox, applesauce, etc. for the baby). LE has not disclosed everything they had in the backpack.

I talked to my BF who is an experienced hiker. Prior to the pandemic, he would go out on all day, very strenuous hikes every weekend. He usually brings 5-6L, but said he hardly ever drinks more than 3L. He said he ran out of water once, in 2019, when the return leg of a hike he had done many times before (Mt. Baldy) was much hotter than had been predicted in the weather report. (He was with friends who shared water.) He also told me that he has had to share his water with random people multiple times on trails.

All this to say, I think even the most experienced hiker can make a mistake. Underestimate how much water is needed, overestimate their own ability. There but for the grace of god, etc. :(
Yes, experienced hikers can make mistakes.

When I hike I typically have a backpack w/survival basics such as a first aid kit, fire starting kit, knife, and a handgun. If it's going to be hot, which is almost always, I carry a cool towel I can wet to cool me down. I always carry snacks, for a longer hike I'll pack a lunch. I almost always have rain gear and a rope. I also go out with a 3L bladder full and usually some 1L Smartwater bottles.

I can't tell you how many bottles I've given out on the trail but it's been many.

I almost always have a cooler in my truck with water, beer, and juice.

One of the worst hikes I ever did was last November when I hiked out to Nobles camp where Mostly Harmless died. Only a 5 mile hike on a gravel road. It was brutally hot and even though I started early, by the time I made it to the camp the sun was out and I bet it was over 100 degrees with the humidity. I actually hung around the well shaded campsite for a couple of hours looking for stuff and waiting for the sun to pass a bit. I had been smart enough to drop a liter of water a couple miles in for the way back and wouldn't you know it, I needed it.
 
  • #438
This is just a mind blowing case. Nothing makes sense, nothing fits. As a hiker myself getting heat exhaustion can definitely happen...but to everyone at once?..that ones out in my opinion.

The toxic algae seems a little weird to me to, I seriously doubt they bathed or drank that water? I can't believe this algae would be so bad it's airborne? Others would be sick?

This is what seems important to me.. Were there other animals sick nearby? If not then it had to be in something only they had....water bottles? Food?
 
  • #439
According to a map (same as SF Chronicle map) I found which has the distances for each leg of the hike. I found the same distances on other maps. It doesn't add up to 8.5 miles, though. I may have where the car was located wrong.

Hites Cove OHV (off highway vehicle) Trail. 2.1 miles

South Fork Trail (along the river) 1.8 miles

Savage Lundy Trail. 2.9 miles

SL trailhead to HC trailhead where car parked. .3 miles

On AllTrails a poster mentions there is a swimming hole at the end of the Hite Cove ohv Trail called Nutmeg Gulch. It's located a short ways to the left when you get to the bottom. Maybe they planned to play in the water and found they couldn't. They could have planned to filter their water but found the algae, maybe the sign wasn't at that trailhead since it's been closed to ohvs, summer fire danger. Maybe they walked along the river looking for safe water and ended at the other trailhead. Maybe the water looked fine and they drank it.

Just throwing it out there. I think though, most likely heat stroke killed them.
 
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  • #440
This is just a mind blowing case. Nothing makes sense, nothing fits. As a hiker myself getting heat exhaustion can definitely happen...but to everyone at once?..that ones out in my opinion.

The toxic algae seems a little weird to me to, I seriously doubt they bathed or drank that water? I can't believe this algae would be so bad it's airborne? Others would be sick?

This is what seems important to me.. Were there other animals sick nearby? If not then it had to be in something only they had....water bottles? Food?
I agree. Heat stroke would probably affect the baby, then Ellen, then John. You would think John would have made a mad dash to get help if somebody was overwhelmed.

LEO said no other dead animals in the area which sort of eliminates a CO2 cloud, but you never know. Lake Nyos killed a bunch of people and livestock on one side of a lake. Maybe this was a smaller release?

I don't think ingesting tainted water would act that fast and there would have been evidence on autopsy if they had gotten ill from tainted water. Throw up, abrasions in the throat, etc.

Toxicology can't come fast enough.
 
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