Gardener1850
Timeline Guru (Still Remembering Cupcake)
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Do you believe, then, that LE does indeed know whether it was random vs targeted, they just don't want to say?
Yes. I think they at least have a solid theory on which it is. IMO, it is similar to them listing SP as "voluntarily missing" when they later had to come out and say they didn't really know if she was abducted or voluntarily missing but at the same time they said she was possibly endangered. All the while the family is saying she was abducted. IMO the sheriff may have thought she was abducted all along but did not want to say that and then face public backlash if it turned out he was wrong. It would lead to all kinds of panic if they said they thought SP was abducted (I'm talking back before she was found) and they did not have enough solid evidence like her blood or a ransom note or something. So LE played it safe and said they were "keeping an open mind" and following all leads. I see this refusal to declare a motive as similar. I think they have a good idea/working theory but they are not going to say what that is publicly unless the perps are caught. Why would the Sheriff propose a motive and risk being wrong about it? Plus, if he gave a motive it would reveal a lot about the investigation and lead to more questions he probably doesn't want to answer. He is protecting the investigation, IMO.