https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.ga...famous-court-cases-you-could-have-bet-on/amp/
Does Vegas have prop bets on this case yet?
If so, what are the current odds for a conviction?
At this point I would not bet a dime on the state obtaining a conviction....I also would not bet any money on an aquittal either.
Based on over two decades of trying jury cases, including serious criminal cases, this is starting to smell like a potential mistrial if it proceeds to trial at all.
At this point in the proceedings the government should have a very sound theory of the case and a timeline that fits that theory. The government's case should be in a position to easily obtain a conviction and thier case should be getting stronger. Here, it is more like a "choose your own ending" theory, basically leaving the jury to assume or guess how and where the defendant hid the body.
In my experience, the state needs to make an easy road map to a conviction for the jury. If not, the jury is not going to fill in the blank for the state or make up possible scenarios to bolster the state's case.
If the state's case also has a witness with credibility issues, like Agent Cahill, it makes it even harder to prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt. Cahill was removed from the case right after the preliminary hearing because the government did not like his testimony according to the LS recap. This was prior to the accidental discharge of the firearm in his home. Cahill was the lead on the DNA match follow ups. The fact that he was removed from the case because of his testimony at the PH and then received a Brady letter is very troubling to say the least.
Most attorneys who practice criminal law would agree that this is a huge red flag and trouble for the government.
Beyond those issues, you have to take into account the potential DNA evidence and digitl data from the victim's vehicle, which apparently had not been turned over to the defense as of a couple of weeks ago.
It does not help that the state has already been precluded by the judge from seeking testimony from a witness concerning prior bad acts of the defendant.
Additionally, no person who has read the AA will be allowed to set as a jury on this case because it is full of inadmissable evidence.
People who look at the AA as a bible to this case need to understand that the AA is not evidence, nor will it be admitted as evidence.
The State will have their entire case in chief to establish the narrative of the AA, minus inadmissible evidence. How the first two days of the government's testimony goes will determine the outcome of the trial...IMO.
If their case comes in clean the first couple of days, they will have a good foundation.
If their case is picked apart like an elk carcass on the side of a mountain, then they will be in trouble and it will be an uphil climb to obtain a conviction for murder.
IMO