From the above link:
March 17, 2020
“Though the U.S. health care system is projected to be overwhelmed by an influx of patients infected with the novel coronavirus, the pressure on hospitals will vary dramatically across the country. That’s according to new data released by the Harvard Global Health Institute, which for the first time gives a sense of which regions will be particularly stressed and should be preparing most aggressively right now. The maps we’ve created based on the data shows why public health officials are so intent on “flattening the curve,” or slowing the spread of infections over a longer period of time, like 18 months instead of six.
In most scenarios, “vast communities in America are not prepared to take care of the COVID-19 patients showing up,” said Dr. Ashish Jha, director of the Harvard Global Health Institute, who led a team of researchers that developed the analysis.
Under the researchers’ best-case scenario, Americans will act quickly to slow the spread of the virus through social distancing, and the infection rate among adults will remain relatively low at 20%, or 49.4 million people over the age of 18, less than
twice the number of people who get the flu each year.“
-much more at link
-nice graphics at link
(“Aquariuuuuuus..”)
ETA:
“According to the model, about a fifth of adults who are infected will need to be hospitalized.
This is how many hospital beds will be needed in Boulder, CO if infections are spread out over 6 months, 12 months or 18 monthsand...”