I guess in one scenario, everyone runs about and does their level best to get CoVid. We reopen schools as normal, put kids on school buses, open up the colleges and universities, recruit new medical students (from a very thin pool) as the current ones get CoVid and take a month or two to recover. We live with decreasing numbers of nurses and techs per patient.
New York only managed to get to about 20-22% of its population being CV+ after what they went through.
It'll still take a long time to get through the entire population.
BTW, people who leave nursing homes after an average of 13.7 months are not always leaving due to death.
And people stay far, far longer in assisted living.
Further, please keep in mind that in several states (including mine), people who were not in nursing homes to begin with were transferred to nursing homes for their very brief stays/hospice care before dying.
At any rate, the average age of death in Italy was 79 (hardly any nursing homes) and in the US, we don't know what it is, but perhaps 70-72. The earliest data said 69, but I do not believe that got through peer review.
If you all think 70-72 is the point in time where we just give up on folks, please let me know, as it changes my worldview considerably.
Anyway, if "Society" decides to get all focused on everyone getting CoVid ASAP, I'll just remain my usual avoidant, a-social self, as I intend to avoid it. Too late for me to move to Australia or New Zealand or Vietnam, so I'll just have to avoid it here at home. Currently, that means 4X more people have to get CoVid (and 4X will die) in my county, before we ever get to where Sweden is - and that's surely where we're going.
Given, however, that the overall health indices of my State (California) are not as good as Sweden's (but better than many other U.S. states), we'll have lots of hospital expenses to cover. There goes the state budget (which is about half of total spending in many states - so the shift away from police, fire, education, roads and infrastructure into health expenses will be quite dramatic).
How long will this take? I've decided I'm not as interested in that question today, but welcome any estimates.