Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #99

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  • #361
  • #362
Come on. You're absolutely smart enough to know the answer to that one.

There should be an emoticon for a facetious question ;)

ETA: When families have strong religious or moral convictions that don't mesh with public schools, they should seek educational options that support their beliefs. My parents wanted me and my siblings to have a Catholic education, so they made sacrifices to send us to a parochial school. Parents who do not want their children in public schools for whatever reason can also opt to homeschool them.
 
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  • #364
Good news! This judge has just saved God only knows how many lives. Yea!

Judge overrules Florida governor’s ban on mask mandates inside schools

Judge overrules Florida governor’s ban on mask mandates inside schools

A judge ruled that Florida school districts may impose mask mandates on Friday, overruling Gov. Ron DeSantis’ executive order.

The governor’s order gave parents the sole right to decide if their child wears a mask at school.

More at link above.
 
  • #365
My Mom's senior living comp-lex just closed the dining room and we cannot visit anymore. I am glad we just did recently and my brother and his wife did just last week. But it is shut down again now.

Mom has to stay in her apartment, no more walking around the complex for now.
I'm sorry Katydid. We hadn't seen my husbands father in quite a while so we drove three hours to see him for his 96th birthday a few days ago. Hearing about your mom makes me feel like it was a good thing we did. This may start happening at other assisted living facilities too.
 
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I wonder if either of the teens (or their father) have been vaccinated?

Probably not vaccinated but there goes the irony.

By not allowing the man's 2 teens to go to school maskless it actually helps protect the dad from getting Covid himself.

Some people have to be protected from themselves.

Also, I believe bad cases of Covid are often due to a higher viral load which can happen with maskless long term indoor exposure.

Schools = Long term indoor exposure.

Maskless at school = You will likely end up testing positive for Covid and giving a bad case to your parent.
 
  • #370
Only 6 days until my 2nd shot. Can't wait!

How long should I wait after this shot before I venture out to the bookstore in the Mall for my house coffee with 3 shots of raspberry and some 1/2 & 1/2 ?

Hummm.....
 
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  • #371
Two weeks

Only 6 days until my 2nd shot. Can't wait!

How long should I wait after this shot before I venture out to the bookstore for my coffee with 3 shots of raspberry and some 1/2 & 1/2 ?

Hummm.....
 
  • #372
Two weeks

Thanks!

Lisa Shaw: Presenter's death due to complications of Covid vaccine

Lisa Shaw, who worked for BBC Radio Newcastle, died at the age of 44 in May after developing headaches a week after getting her first dose of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine.

Newcastle coroner Karen Dilks heard Ms Shaw suffered blood clots in the brain which ultimately led to her death.

The inquest heard the condition linked to the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine was very rare.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cn...s-presents-biggest-blood-clot-risk-study.html

Covid — not vaccination — presents biggest blood clot risk, large study finds
 
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  • #373
Updated projections for the Delta variant in the U.S. from IHME at the University of Washington. Seems to me like some good news in there about Delta cases peaking soon--see red bolded text by me, plus the link at the bottom to data charts.

Insights from IHME's latest COVID-19 model update

IHME director and lead modeler Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray shares insights from our latest COVID-19 model run. Explore the forecasts: covid19.healthdata.org.

In this week’s update from IHME on modeling the COVID-19 pandemic, we have made some changes to the assumptions around the transmissibility of the Alpha, Beta, and Delta variants – particularly the Delta variant. These changes in assumptions are based on a statistical analysis on the speed of Delta invasion. We did this analysis in June, and now we have a couple more months of data. We’ve re-estimated the combinations of cross-variant immunity (that’s how much protection you get from previous infection against the new variants) as well as transmissibility compared to the ancestral or Wuhan variants. That analysis has led us to lower cross-variant immunity for the Delta variant, down to about 50% on average, ranging in our models from 30% to 70%, and increased transmissibility. This has some effects on our forecasts, particularly in countries where there are many people who are still susceptible, whether they had previously low infection and/or low vaccination rates.

When we look around the world, we see diverse patterns for the epidemic right now. A lot of the Delta-driven surges have actually peaked and some are coming down. We’re seeing peaks in the United States in places like Arkansas, Missouri, Louisiana, and northern Florida. We’re also seeing peaks in a number of countries in Europe and Africa. At the same time, we’re seeing Delta show up and start to trigger surges in places where it hasn’t happened yet, like in Central Europe, the Philippines, Ethiopia, and Nigeria.

The unusual pattern in the United Kingdom warrants attention, and it’s certainly a challenge on the modelling front, where we saw a Delta surge go up, peaks come down, but now transmission is going back up – albeit much more slowly than the surge in July, but still important for us to understand what has led to that increase. The other place that everyone is watching very closely for the insights it gives on vaccine effectiveness and how it wanes, as well as cross-variant immunity, is the very substantial surge we are now seeing in Israel.

When you put this all together in our COVID-19 forecasts, we see in the Northern Hemisphere continued quite substantial epidemics from Delta in aggregate running through to peaks of deaths in, for example, the United States in late September. Peaks in US cases – probably late August or early September at the national level – vary by state. In the national forecasts, we expect transmission in aggregate to keep going up in Western Europe, and peaks may come later in the year. And we’re actually seeing the phenomenon where you get a Delta surge now, then it comes down, and then you go into the winter surge in the Northern Hemisphere, which will be smaller because of the Delta variant infecting more people (fewer susceptibles), but in many ways there are two waves that are starting to combine in many countries in our forecasts.

Here are their projections for the U.S. shown in charts.
COVID-19 resources

Similar charts are available for other countries.
 
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U.S. vet denied ICU bed due to COVID crisis dies of treatable illness — CBS News

“When U.S. Army veteran Daniel Wilkinson started feeling sick last week, he went to the hospital in Bellville, Texas, outside Houston. His health problem wasn't related to COVID-19, but Wilkinson needed advanced care, and with the coronavirus filling up intensive care beds, he couldn't get it in time to save his life.

"He loved his country," his mother, Michelle Puget, told "CBS This Morning" lead national correspondent David Begnaud. "He served two deployments in Afghanistan, came home with a Purple Heart, and it was a gallstone that took him out.

Kakli told Begnaud that if it weren't for the COVID crisis, the procedure for Wilkinson would have taken 30 minutes, and he'd have been back out the door.

As of last night, there were 102 people waiting for an ICU bed in the greater Houston area.”
 
  • #376
Don't come down here........

Florida reports 901 more COVID-19 deaths, CDC data shows

More than 26,000 new cases were reported Wednesday, a one-day record.

This past Friday’s report showed that the new-case positivity rate statewide had reached 19.8%, a ninth consecutive week of increases in that metric.

“97 percent of the people we have in the hospital today are unvaccinated,” Broward Health Chief Medical Officer Dr. Joshua Lenchaus said. “That’s the same number we had last week. It’s the same number we have three weeks ago.”
 
  • #377
CORRECTED-COVID SCIENCE-mRNA vaccines trigger backup immune response; some cancer drugs may help

A new study may help explain why mRNA vaccines by Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna are more effective at preventing hospitalizations and deaths than they are at preventing infection.

Test-tube experiments on blood samples from 61 fully vaccinated adults showed that by six months, vaccine-induced antibodies that can immediately neutralize the virus had declined.

But so-called memory B cells, which produce new antibodies if they encounter the virus later on, had increased and become better at recognizing viral variants, "Your immune system has a backup," B-cell production of antibodies might take a few days to get underway, but then these memory B cells "kick into action and prevent severe disease."

Certain cancer drugs may help protect patients with malignancies from being infected with the new coronavirus, preliminary data suggests.

The drugs, known as mTOR/PI3K inhibitors and antimetabolites, target the parts of cells that the virus uses to enter and make copies of itself, including a "gateway" protein on cell surfaces called angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2).
 
  • #378
Updated projections for the Delta variant in the U.S. from IHME at the University of Washington. Seems to me like some good news in there about Delta cases peaking soon--see red bolded text by me, plus the link at the bottom to data charts.

Insights from IHME's latest COVID-19 model update

Quoting my previous post to add this:
Newsnodes USA COVID-19 Monitor

Check out the two U.S. maps on this page, showing week-over-week trends in new confirmed cases and new deaths by state. Case downtrends in CA, LA, AR, MO, and FL. The map showing deaths is another story.

From the table below, you can click on a state to get the latest data.
 
  • #379
This is an example of what is happening at the University of Central Florida. Unfortunately, I couldn't upload the video so I took a still shot of it. The class is standing-room only and just a couple of students are wearing masks that I could see. Apparently this isn't the only class where this is happening. The news crews were on campus today preparing a story about it, so I'll post a follow-up link if there is one. (Sorry about the pic quality...like I said, it is a still shot from a video)
 

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  • #380
CDC article:

Outbreak Associated with SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta)...

Outbreak Associated with SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant in an Elementary School — Marin County, California, May–June 2021
Early Release / August 27, 2021 / 70

Summary
What is already known about this topic?

The SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant is highly transmissible. Prevention guidance in schools varies by jurisdiction.

What is added by this report?

During May 23–June 12, 2021, 26 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases occurred among Marin County, California, elementary school students and their contacts following exposure to an unvaccinated infected teacher. The attack rate in one affected classroom was 50%; risk correlated with seating proximity to the teacher.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Vaccines are effective against the Delta variant, but transmission risk remains elevated among unvaccinated persons in schools. In addition to vaccination, strict adherence to multiple nonpharmaceutical prevention strategies, including masking, are important to ensure safe school instruction.
 
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