Nel relied to Roux that the motive is "I want to kill" so the prosecution has to prove intent. Nel did that by saying that he put on his prosthetics, grabbed his gun and shot through the door. So that shows planning and intent. It does not matter who it was - intruder or Reeva. It is premeditation.
This surprised me as I always thought that motive had to be proven. In any case I am wondering what you think. If this is a case of premeditated murder, what was his motive in murdering his "baba" whom he told friends he hoped to marry one day and most thought they were very much in love. Reeva seemed like such a loving person. So what could have gone wrong that night - possibly the first time they had argued since they met 3 months before?
In this case, IMO there could be several motives according to media reports so this is pure speculation:
1.
Domestic argument - It appears that there were messages on Facebook from her male friends and her iPad was still on at the foot of her bed when police arrived.
https://www.facebook.com/ReevaSteenkamp?fref=ts Reeva had made a comment to a friend that OP was too possessive and was not happy about that. Francois Hougaard allegedly sent her a Facebook message that night and perhaps when Reeva was doing her yoga, OP took a look at her Facebook page and became jealous which led to an argument about his possessiveness - hence why neighbours called police. Maybe Reeva threatened to leave him so he locked the bedroom door and hid the key so she could not get out. He claimed in his affidavit that he did it for security reasons. It will be interesting to hear what the police who were called earlier have to say. After the police left perhaps the argument continued and OP made threats of violence so she went to the toilet and locked herself in and refused to come out. It would be interesting to know how long she had been in there. IMO he could have been holding her captive.
2.
Alcohol and drugs (steroids) Reports have alluded to much alcohol having been drunk that night plus many steroids were found in his bedroom drawers. IMO if Reeva found out about his taking these steroids that night, there could be two possibilities - one is that she could have been totally terrified of his drunken and drugged behaviour that night and secondly she might have asked him if he had been taking them to enhance his performance and asked him to stop taking them or she would expose him as a possible sport drug cheat which would have been a big threat to his career and income. So in his irrational state, he could have decided that Reeva now knew too much and had to be silenced and/or she might now leave him and he decided that if he could not have her, no one else could. He then devised a plan for the next time she went into the bathroom to fire shots through the door and lie about his thinking she was an intruder. I don't think they had much sleep that night.
Is there proof of the ladders being there? Was the fan in the bedroom when police arrived? Why leave the balcony door open until 3am when you have locked the bedroom door?
3. Narcissism - feeling entitled - IMO OP is used to winning on the athletic field and expected to win in love as well. OP could not have faced being dropped by Reeva as he felt entitled to her love and attention. IMO that night she could have seen a different side of OP. Romantic love lasts from 3 months to 3 years! But once one of them sees the warts and all as Reeva could have done that night (if media) reports are true, then it's over.
This has been speculation only but would be very interested to hear what others think about this.