Maybe the closings will help to pull it together for everyone and lean people in a different direction.
For those that aren't sold on the chloro do you think she drowned accidentally and then covered it up? Do the chloro searches and chloro in car bother you at all? What wasn't met for her in regards to the chloro?
While I could find for 1st I still think jury will comprise with lesser charges. I hope it's not hung.
Okay... My issues with chloroform... Sorry, this is going to be long.
The state has two main pieces to tie chloroform to the crime, the searches ~ 3 months prior and the air sample testing done ~ 1 month after. Because of the time intervals, you really need both pieces to be solid. There'd be more leeway if you could show how, when or where Casey made it, or evidence that she obtained it some other way, but we don't have that. I doubt the state could have gotten the searches in without the air sample evidence, due to the time frame involved, and the air samples appear to have been requested due to the searches, so again both pieces have to be solid in order to draw the inference that it was used (for me anyway).
First the trunk... The FBI expert said that he found chloroform in the carpet, but it wasn't alarming. Chloroform exists naturally at very low levels, so this isn't really a red flag. Next you have the air sample testing, which is a very new technology. Excellent idea, because chloroform likes to be a gas, so it evaporates quickly, and then hangs around. New technology isn't inherently bad, and you can't discount the findings because it's a new technology but there are several things that lead me to question whether it's truly relevant evidence to the issue at hand. Dr. Vass testified that there were "shockingly high" levels, which is a red flag, but then goes on to say that the test is not truly quantitative, in the strict sense. He and his partner both testified that they could not determine the source of the high chloroform levels (whether from manufactured chloroform or a chemical reaction due to solvents used, etc) and that they could not extrapolate how long the chloroform had been present or what the original quantity was. The defense's expert raised questions, pointing out that the test results couldn't be independently validated and that it was an extremely new technology and there was a lot of work to be done to determine what the presence and quantities of elements in air samples actually translates to in a forensic capacity. Independent verification is a fairly big deal, even scientists with the best of intentions can make mistakes. He also confirmed that there was no way to determine what the original source of the compounds were once they were broken down and dispersed into the air. No, I don't think the chloroform was from the trash or the body, but there was no testing to exclude the possibility that it was produced by the chemical reaction of multiple cleaning solvents. In other words they tested the positive hypothesis (if Casey used chloroform, was it present in the trunk) but didn't fully explore and disprove the negative hypothesis (if chloroform was in the trunk, is there another reasonable explanation for it).
So I'm left with this, is it possible that Casey had chloroform and left evidence in the trunk? Yes. Is there any other reasonable explanation for it? I don't know, because the alternate reasonable possibilities were not fully explored. Possible is not beyond a reasonable doubt.
Even if exclude the trunk evidence, I'm left with the searches. Did Casey search how to make chloroform, yes. Were those searches made along with other concerning searches, yes. Did those other searches paint a clear picture of someone who is researching ways to kill a toddler? No, not really. Are any of those other searches tied to the state's theory of how Caylee died? No, there were no signs of antemortem trauma. But 84 times, 84 times! Was it really eighty four times? The discrepancy between the two software programs suggests it might not have been, and the issue was never resolved or clarified by the state.
So I have some unusual searches, done 3 months prior, which may or may not show intent to Caylee, nothing in between to tie Casey to the manufacturing or purchase of any chloroform, and some evidence collected a month later that possibly points to manufactured chloroform being present, but doesn't fully explore alternate reasonable scenarios. The only thing that gives me pause is the well timed deletion of the Internet searches, but it's still not enough for me to say that I believe with moral certainly that Casey used chloroform on Caylee. That's my thought process, and I understand if you disagree, but it's enough to give me, personally, reasonable doubt.
MOO