Hurricane Florence - September 2018

[CARIIS]

Now is when barometric pressures become real helpful.

Good chance the intensification will be rapid -- the pressure drops first before the winds gather speed ---it gives ya like a heads up !

Sadly ,IMO conditions are ripening for us to be looking at a cat 4 (130–156 mph) for a period of time and then another reduction cycle

 

[CARIIS]

thanx jax for this just putting in red it makes it easier to scroll and send trends

997 mb

the water vapor stuff is neat too !

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE ANIMATION

 

[Jax49]

thanx jax for this just putting in red it makes it easier to scroll and send trends

997 mb

the water vapor stuff is neat too !

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE ANIMATION

Thanks. I'll try to remember to do that if I post updates. Dang, it is scary to look at all those systems. Doesn't help that every weather person I see talking about Florence looks very concerned.

 

[CARIIS]

Thanks. I'll try to remember to do that if I post updates. Dang, it is scary to look at all those systems. Doesn't help that every weather person I see talking about Florence looks very concerned.

ahhhhh I wanted to make sure I stated it like the last number I got was from your link-- certainly not telling you how you do it!!

 

[Jax49]

ahhhhh I wanted to make sure I stated it like the last number I got was from your link-- certainly not telling you how you do it!!

Didn't take it that way at all. It works, so it's good.

I'm already getting antsy. Going to be lots of frayed nerves for the next few weeks.

 

[MelmothTheLost]

Tropical Storm Florence Increasingly Likely to Strike the East Coast Next Week as a Strong Hurricane | The Weather Channel

At a Glance

• It expected to become a formidably strong hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.
• While the exact path is still uncertain, a strike on the U.S. East Coast is increasingly likely.

I'm guessing that "formidably strong" means a Category 3 or 4.

 

[Jax49]

I'm guessing that "formidably strong" means a Category 3 or 4.

They did leave us guessing. Used the term four times and never defined it. But, one of their prediction maps shows it as a Cat 4 on Thursday.

 

[MelmothTheLost]

The Weather Channel's latest track forecast for Florence is very different from earlier projections. The latter had shown her passing north of Bermuda and heading towards DC and New York. WC has it passing south of Bermuda and heading for the Carolinas, ie into more traditional hurricane territory.

I'm guessing that evacuating the low-lying islands along the coast of the Carolinas would be a pretty big job, even if some decide to stay and ride it out.

 

[Jax49]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 08 2018

...FLORENCE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 54.3W
ABOUT 835 MI...1340 KM SE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

 

[CARIIS]

ha

Am , emotionally unavailable for ziploc ice production factory to began operations!

Operations are advancing ! Now, do I sound like a Tupperman man?

Nope!

So I am going to have to go buy tuperware (which I will never use if I remain alive in the next six weeks or dead for winds!

So I shall purchase tupperware that is packaged for easy return should I be the winner of "Survivor"!!

That articel you put up about hurricanes after may diminsih has a dash of hope here!

Doubtful

I am crazy - but lets be real - a major hurricane costs what 15 billion?

So why dont we take 1 billion get an entire fleet of ships that have huge water cooling machines and huge like vacuums that pull up cold water from bottom and have 187 of them (!) cruising around ahead of a storm churning up the water making it cooler in its path?

We can actually have the operation running right off africa year round!!

then the bastaRd4 might not even form !

I have also drept about towing icebergs but even in the dreams I could not solve them melting before they got there

There have also been action movies in brain about humongous dry ice drops

So there solved !

shoot back to trying to be prepared !

 

[JerseyGirl]

On Friday, North Carolina declared a state of emergency.

South Carolina declared a state of emergency on Saturday.

By Saturday morning, Florence was located 835 miles southeast of Bermuda, and had winds of 65 mph.

The storm is expected to evolve into a major hurricane by Tuesday night.

Florence Forecast To Become A Major Hurricane; Risk To The East Coast Is Rising

 

[MaryG12]

Hurricane Florence will most likely miss us - but I have some close friends who live in NC and have been checking up on them...

 

[CARIIS]

Storms that cat 4 by month

After Wilma, (lowest barm pressure for usa in history at 884 )no other major hurricane made landfall in the contiguous United States until Hurricane Harvey made landfall in southern Texas on August 26, 2017, ending a record period of nearly 12 years. Also, after Wilma, no hurricane struck the state of Florida until Hurricane Hermine did so nearly 11 years later in 2016, and no major hurricane struck Florida until Hurricane Irma made landfall in early September 2017.

Miss wilma was fun in central fl . It was daylight and diminished but still exciting. Just weird - it got cold right after she moved out of here (like 4 hours!00 it was cool (ha)

Hurricane Irma was the top Google searched term in the US and globally in 2017.[ record 6.5 million Floridians evacuated, making it the largest evacuation in the state's history.


Charlie was a true mess - cause they really missed landfall . Folks in Tampa fled to orlando then got clobbered when it veered right into Orlando -- a mess.

I felt bad for them -- can you imagine? Going through all that and then get stuck here

List of Category 4 Atlantic hurricanes - Wikipedia

tidbits flooding in ! (pardon pun) whenever we are looking at them -- turn it into a clock -- the quadrant from noon to 3 o'clock is always the worst --cause at like 1 and 2 o'clock the winds are wrapping around to go around again!

same for storm surge -- but 6 - 12 is when storm surge pushes out just a tid bit

 

[CARIIS]

Hurricane Florence will most likely miss us - but I have some close friends who live in NC and have been checking up on them...

THe models are slowly meeting -- seems pretty clear that USA landfall is inevitable moo


989

 

[JerseyGirl]

The Governor in Virginia declared a state of emergency Saturday.

South Carolina, Virginia declare state of emergency ahead of Florence, which could become hurricane

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Florence will most likely miss us - but I have some close friends who live in NC and have been checking up on them...

So nice to see you Mary! It was this time last year we were praying for you with Irma.

 

[lonetraveler]

I live on the coast of Southeastern NC. This storm is really concerning me. I've been through many hurricanes but a Cat 4 is extremely concerning. I live in Wilmington, NC on the Cape Fear River. It looks like we are in the center of cone of impact. Please pray for me and my family.

 

[MaryG12]

So nice to see you Mary! It was this time last year we were praying for you with Irma.

Nice to see you JerseyGirl! Thank you (and everyone else here!) for the prayers - I honestly never thought we'd pull through it. Can't believe it's been a whole year since Irma tore through here! I was genuinely scared too.

 

[JerseyGirl]

I live on the coast of Southeastern NC. This storm is really concerning me. I've been through many hurricanes but a Cat 4 is extremely concerning. I live in Wilmington, NC on the Cape Fear River. It looks like we are in the center of cone of impact. Please pray for me and my family.

We are here for you lonetraveler!

Where you in the area when Hurricane Fran made landfall there in 1996?

 

[MaryG12]

I live on the coast of Southeastern NC. This storm is really concerning me. I've been through many hurricanes but a Cat 4 is extremely concerning. I live in Wilmington, NC on the Cape Fear River. It looks like we are in the center of cone of impact. Please pray for me and my family.

Please stay safe! Does Wilmington provide sand bags? Any evacuation possibility?