Hurricane Irma

[ATasteOfHoney]

When I was watching Chad Myers (who used to be in Detroit) on CNN a couple of days ago, I called his storm models "ribbons" because the different-colored strands looked like streamers at a birthday party. Spaghetti (or other pasta) would totally disintegrate in a major storm, but satin, gross grain, silk, etc. "ribbons" might sustain damage for a longer period of time. Dear Honey, please be safe and leave your home if/when the approaching storm becomes imminent. raying:

Thank you, Bette!
I'm beginning to think my 2 evacuation plans/reservations are not good enough. Orlando and Sarasota....

Either one may not be far enough away but both large resorts are new & concrete with generators & not near Flood zones. I always leave a few days early too.

What do you'all think?

???????

 

[Bently]

Thank you, Bette!
I'm beginning to think my 2 evacuation plans/reservations are not good enough. Orlando and Sarasota....

Either one may not be far enough away but both large resorts are new & concrete with generators & not near Flood zones. I always leave a few days early too.

What do you'all think?

???????

My thoughts with Harvey, and now Irma heading to family... is that I wish technology could do a ??? whatever it's called they do with financial models to scroll left right lol... and then that affect the outcome of what you are looking at...

Anyway, I can't communicate what I want, but it would be that on a map. Where you could say what areas are above x feet so that you would know the safest escape...vs. what was implemented years (30?) ago with evacuation routes. Don't trust them, and want local levels above sea level and where is higher ground. I want the topography to be seen with a mere ruler that you can adjust on the screen to see what is above that level. e.g. I live in Sarasota, I want to see what is above 20 feet above sea level, and see what local roads there are for that, and then adjust up/down on those to see best evacuation.

Pfffff, then that idea falls apart in Houston with levees, but with Florida, perhaps?

:gaah: I cannot communicate what I mean to say as I don't understand enough about technology to explain my thoughts ullhair:

 

[ATasteOfHoney]

Are you staying put in Sarasota, Bentley?

 

[Henry2326]

Both the noon and 6:00 runs of the GFS model held with Florida landfall at a pressure below 900. Both Katrina and Wilma had pressures at 900 or below, while Andrew's lowest pressure was 922.

A slight twist introduced in the 6:00 model is shown in the second pic. The system stays more or less on land and moves quickly through the state. The first pic is noon on Sunday, while the second pic is 6:00 am Monday.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana...rzn&runtime=2017090418&fh=132&xpos=0&ypos=312

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[JerseyGirl]

Meteorologists expect the hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, to remain a “dangerous major hurricane” through the week and to arrive in South Florida by Friday morning.

Modeling by the NHC shows the outer bands of the slow-moving, potentially dangerous storm lashing Key West and Miami by 2 p.m. Saturday.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/weather/hurricane/os-hurricane-irma-labor-day-20170904-story.html

Irma is considered a “Cape Verde hurricane” which frequently become some of the largest and most intense storms. Hurricanes Hugo, Floyd and Ivan were Cape Verdes, forming in the far eastern Atlantic — near the Cape Verde Islands — and tracking across the ocean.

 

[Henry2326]

http://spaghettimodels.com

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[JerseyGirl]

CNN meteorologist Tom Sater said. "It definitely looks like we will be impacted by a major hurricane that is a Category 3, 4 or 5." The storm is also likely to strengthen over the next few days and could become the biggest hurricane to hit South Florida since Hurricane Andrew struck as a Category 5 storm in 1992.

“There is an increasing chance of seeing some impacts from Irma in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys later this week and this weekend. In addition, rough surf and dangerous marine conditions will begin to affect the southeastern U.S. coast by later this week,” the center said.

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slat...s_hurricane_irma_strengthens_to_category.html

 

[JerseyGirl]

Central Florida prepares for Hurricane Irma
https://www.clickorlando.com/news/central-florida-prepares-for-hurricane-irma

Stores run low on supplies as South Florida prepares for Irma
https://www.local10.com/weather/hur...n-supplies-as-south-florida-prepares-for-irma

Florida Keys prepare for evacuations should Irma threaten
https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/florida-keys-prepare-for-evacuations-should-irma-threaten

 

[lonetraveler]

Oh me. I've followed hurricanes since I was very young, always been fasinated with them. That said, it's only been three weeks since I've made the final payment for hurricane damage to my house caused by Hurricane Mathew. It's been a very stressing time trying to deal with a massive oak tree that came down through the roof all the way to the floor of my bedroom. Entire roof on back of house, patio doors, bedroom windows, broken roof trusses, 8' by 10' open hole in my bedroom, flooring replacement, all drywall, doors, windows, ceiling, kitchen roof and ceiling, bathroom door and drywall. Now I'm nervously watching Irma. I live on the very southeastern coast of NC, right next to SC border.
I've been through many hurricanes in my lifetime. I've lived on the NC coast most of my life but also lived in New Orleans, LA, Mobile, AL, Gulf coast and East coast of Florida, Gulfport, MS, so I guess you can say I'm a veteran.

I'm hoping for a miracle here.

I feel so bad for the Texas folks who are dealing with the aftermath of Harvey.

Glad I have company here to help me watch and wait.

 

[JazzTune]

CNN meteorologist Tom Sater said. "It definitely looks like we will be impacted by a major hurricane that is a Category 3, 4 or 5." The storm is also likely to strengthen over the next few days and could become the biggest hurricane to hit South Florida since Hurricane Andrew struck as a Category 5 storm in 1992.

“There is an increasing chance of seeing some impacts from Irma in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys later this week and this weekend. In addition, rough surf and dangerous marine conditions will begin to affect the southeastern U.S. coast by later this week,” the center said.

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slat...s_hurricane_irma_strengthens_to_category.html

JerseyGirl, I think I remember you saying you had relatives in Florida. I know you're bound to be concerned for them.

We'll add them to our list too. Praying for their safety..

 

[JazzTune]

Oh me. I've followed hurricanes since I was very young, always been fasinated with them. That said, it's only been three weeks since I've made the final payment for hurricane damage to my house caused by Hurricane Mathew. It's been a very stressing time trying to deal with a massive oak tree that came down through the roof all the way to the floor of my bedroom. Entire roof on back of house, patio doors, bedroom windows, broken roof trusses, 8' by 10' open hole in my bedroom, flooring replacement, all drywall, doors, windows, ceiling, kitchen roof and ceiling, bathroom door and drywall. Now I'm nervously watching Irma. I live on the very southeastern coast of NC, right next to SC border.
I've been through many hurricanes in my lifetime. I've lived on the NC coast most of my life but also lived in New Orleans, LA, Mobile, AL, Gulf coast and East coast of Florida, Gulfport, MS, so I guess you can say I'm a veteran.

I'm hoping for a miracle here.

I feel so bad for the Texas folks who are dealing with the aftermath of Harvey.

Glad I have company here to help me watch and wait.

Oh, lonetraveler, so sorry to hear about all you've gone through! So unfair that you're having to deal with the worry and anxiety again. Hate that for you.

But yes, you will have lots of company here, watching and waiting. Praying for safety for you and yours...

 

[Henry2326]

This is a great visual to help understand the variables that are causing difficulty in forecasting landing spots.

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http://spaghettimodels.com

 

[Henry2326]

Good points....

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[cady]

Hope all will be safe! Maybe you all should evacuate to the same place and have a hurricane party!.......just a thought....I know it's scary, but it might be fun to meet under the same conditions.

 

[CARIIS]

My thoughts with Harvey, and now Irma heading to family... is that I wish technology could do a ??? whatever it's called they do with financial models to scroll left right lol... and then that affect the outcome of what you are looking at...

Anyway, I can't communicate what I want, but it would be that on a map. Where you could say what areas are above x feet so that you would know the safest escape...vs. what was implemented years (30?) ago with evacuation routes. Don't trust them, and want local levels above sea level and where is higher ground. I want the topography to be seen with a mere ruler that you can adjust on the screen to see what is above that level. e.g. I live in Sarasota, I want to see what is above 20 feet above sea level, and see what local roads there are for that, and then adjust up/down on those to see best evacuation.

Pfffff, then that idea falls apart in Houston with levees, but with Florida, perhaps?

:gaah: I cannot communicate what I mean to say as I don't understand enough about technology to explain my thoughts ullhair:

Unless your oceanfront our primary oncerns are going to be power and structural damage. We cant do anything about strutural so it takes us back to trying to figure out what you need for 5-6 days with no stores .


There will be storm surge flooding if that impaces you moving inward might be smart.

where are you?

 

[CARIIS]

Thank you, Bette!
I'm beginning to think my 2 evacuation plans/reservations are not good enough. Orlando and Sarasota....

Either one may not be far enough away but both large resorts are new & concrete with generators & not near Flood zones. I always leave a few days early too.

What do you'all think?

???????

I am not sure if North is ideal. You open to going west--My thing with Orlando or Sarasota is we dont know if it is gonna be a straight in or a cruiser up the state - whcih might make return south more of a hassle because you wont know what downed trees are all over on the way back south.

If she stays on the east what happens west is less and if she goes across there should be some diminishing of strength as she crosses.

She looks like she will keep forward speed so flooding inland seems unlikely.

And we have to all rememeber there about 200 miles off. and that is huge in terms of what we each go through as far as power issues.

My deal in terms of processing this is what do i need to have because there will be access to retailer for a week

Because FL is the number one destination for these beautiful beasts we have real agreements with power companies from other areas so I am confident they are staging as we speak

Were you in WIlma - she was a bad girl down there

 

[CARIIS]

Southern Louisiana here.....making Cariis' bags of ice - just in case. I have been testing them for a couple of days. I will never buy ice cubes again. Thanks...!!

i am glad other folks are doing it! If we get bad they last much longer than cubes - my production factory is almost up to speed!!

And surprise , I never knew I had a pickup truck! When I got rid of the all the stuff the car now sits 4 feet higher! Ha!

DId gas

Lady love bug and I may have to sleep in the car with AC if it gets horrid, but if I did not clear it out there would have been nowhere to put us!!

 

[CARIIS]

Where are you exactly your scaring me?

 

[CARIIS]

I think she may hit cat5 got an awful lot of hot water to go over still The barometric press is really good indicator of what she is going to do for the following several hours

 

[JerseyGirl]

Family on Marco Island say that if Irma doesn't turn north soon that they will be evacuating.


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