Hurricane Katrina to possibly become a Cat 4

[lilpony]

YW lilpony,

I don't usually post in the Jury Room, but Katrina has me captivated with concern. I've about worn off the F5 button on my puter trying to keep this thread Refreshed for any up-dates.

Oh you should always visit the Jury room. We have great fun in here most times. Don't stay away!!

 

[concernedperson]

My nephew had just flown into New Orleans Fri. to begin school at Tulane. They promptly got all the students onto buses and took them up to Jackson, Ms. where he is now at a shelter. All his stuff is back at the dorm.

If this is a category 5 and hits New Orleans head-on, it essentially will be gone; under water. Water from Ponchatraine and the river will come in from all sides. I just hope they get everyone out. Evidently they were somewhat prepared for this possibility.

I lived in Baton Rouge and my parents are from the Shreveport area, so this is my second home; it will have to be built back; it will never be the same New Orleans. But just hope the people survive; and I feel so bad about the animals.

I am just praying that it turns and hits to the right of New Orleans.

Amen.Keep praying!

 

[Shadow205]

Astronomical isn't it? You know Buzz, I have been through many hurricanes myself and have faithfully watched all the others, but this storm is scaring me so much I can't even say.Right now I am glued to the TV and I am so fearful for the people in New Orleans.I don't think a lot of people understand the ramifications. This is not just homes being leveled, this is major loss of human life. Not trying to be dramatic but I saw Kathleen Blanco's face this morning and I have known her all my life, and her agony was blatant. The mayor wasn't much better. The weather girl on Fox earlier grabbed her stomach. Prayers!!!!!

I am afraid that you are right. I think that this is going to be something that we have never seen before. I pray that those who chose to stay in the path of this storm or had no way to leave are spared from its fury. I can't even find words to say. They keep saying that this is something of "Bibical Proportions". I don't think that I like the sounds of that....

 

[Beyond Belief]

heraldo is talking to the guys in the airplane inside the hurricane. tornardo activity on the eastern side of the hurricane. camille but bigger.

 

[JBean]

My nephew had just flown into New Orleans Fri. to begin school at Tulane. They promptly got all the students onto buses and took them up to Jackson, Ms. where he is now at a shelter. All his stuff is back at the dorm.

If this is a category 5 and hits New Orleans head-on, it essentially will be gone; under water. Water from Ponchatraine and the river will come in from all sides. I just hope they get everyone out. Evidently they were somewhat prepared for this possibility.

I lived in Baton Rouge and my parents are from the Shreveport area, so this is my second home; it will have to be built back; it will never be the same New Orleans. But just hope the people survive; and I feel so bad about the animals.

I am just praying that it turns and hits to the right of New Orleans.

MarthaT I have been particualrly worried about all the students . Please keep us posted on your nephew.

My understanding is that if it hits a little east it will be an even worse scenario as it will hit the Lake with greater force, sending even more water into NO. The only hope they have is if it pulls west..but there doesn't seem to be any indication that that will happen.

 

[Marthatex]

Truly, I can't believe this is happening. OK, don't go right, PULL TO THE WEST. Just don't hit N. O. head on, please.

Let us pray for a miracle.

 

[Nore]

I am still keeping watch and I am hoping and praying for all..

 

[Buzz Mills]

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO APPROACH
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES
SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE
ALREADY DETERIORATING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA
IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND KATRINA
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT EITHER CATEGORY FOUR OR FIVE
INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 90 MPH WAS
RECENTLY REPORTED FROM SOUTHWEST PASS LOUISIANA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 904 MB...26.70 INCHES. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE REACHING THE
CENTER OF KATRINA VERY SHORTLY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.6 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 904 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

 

[Tom'sGirl]

Truly, I can't believe this is happening. OK, don't go right, PULL TO THE WEST. Just don't hit N. O. head on, please.

Let us pray for a miracle.

I think tonight I'm NOT turning off the T.V. even though they say it won't hit until tomorrow morning..........is that right

 

[JBean]

Truly, I can't believe this is happening. OK, don't go right, PULL TO THE WEST. Just don't hit N. O. head on, please.

Let us pray for a miracle.

Even my teens and young adult sons appreciate the magnitude of this and they are all glued to the television. It IS unbelievable.
Miracle sounds good.

 

[Buzz Mills]

Highest Probability--New Orleans, Buras, LA, Gulfport, MS, Mpbile, AL

MOBILE AL 40 X X X 40
GULFPORT MS 54 X X X 54
BURAS LA 77 X X X 77
NEW ORLEANS LA 59 X X X 59


CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT WED AUG 31 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

31.8N 89.5W 43 2 X X 45 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
34.8N 88.1W 3 30 1 X 34 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
37.7N 85.9W X 3 20 1 24 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL 1 1 X X 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL 18 3 1 X 22
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL 40 X X X 40
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS 54 X X X 54
NORFOLK VA X X X 4 4 BURAS LA 77 X X X 77
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 5 5 NEW ORLEANS LA 59 X X X 59
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5 NEW IBERIA LA 28 1 X X 29
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W 8 2 X X 10
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 99 X X X 99
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W 47 X X X 47

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE
C FROM 7AM TUE TO 7PM TUE
D FROM 7PM TUE TO 7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

 

[concernedperson]

I am afraid that you are right. I think that this is going to be something that we have never seen before. I pray that those who chose to stay in the path of this storm or had no way to leave are spared from its fury. I can't even find words to say. They keep saying that this is something of "Bibical Proportions". I don't think that I like the sounds of that....

The only thing I can say is pray..I have been in this mode all day.I am so upset as you can tell...pray, pray. I can't even think of another forum right now. I think we need to all be one this time because this is unpredicable and so potentially horrible.

 

[Buzz Mills]

Camille and Katrina are of equal intensity---160mph winds

 

[LadyLuck]

Prayers for all in the path of this terrible storm. I hope it loses some of its strength before hitting land.

 

[Liz]

My thoughts and prayers are with all who are in the path of this monstrocity of a hurricane; and all who have family members there, as well!

May God be with you and protect you all!

Also praying Katrina somehow miraculously decreases in strength!

 

[Liz]

Prayers for all in the path of this terrible storm. I hope it loses some of its strength before hitting land.

LadyLuck, I'm with you, dear! May the power of two or more coming together in prayer, work some miracles, soon!

 

[Buzz Mills]

The only thing I can say is pray..I have been in this mode all day.I am so upset as you can tell...pray, pray. I can't even think of another forum right now. I think we need to all be one this time because this is unpredicable and so potentially horrible.

Highest Probabilities of where Katrina will come ashore

MOBILE AL 40 X X X 40
GULFPORT MS 54 X X X 54
BURAS LA 77 X X X 77
NEW ORLEANS LA 59 X X X 59

 

[concernedperson]

LadyLuck, I'm with you, dear! May the power of two or more coming together in prayer, work some miracles, soon!

More than two keep praying. The predictions are 50,000 deaths. This is beyond horrible, keep praying all through the night.

 

[Beyond Belief]

that webcam i have been watching which i think is on Napoleon St is showing more rain activity and still cars moving around. i thought there was a curfew, unless these are emergency workers moving around. the weather is definitely getting rough.

 

[Buzz Mills]

I think tonight I'm NOT turning off the T.V. even though they say it won't hit until tomorrow morning..........is that right

Hurricane force winds are being felt now along the LA/MS coast. They eye is about 100 miles South of MS moving at 10mph. The eye will be there in 9 hours, or so.